• On 21 May 2013, Moody’s announced rating actions on MBIA Insurance Corp., National Public Finance Guarantee Corp., MBIA Inc. and other related entities. Because of the large number of credits across several asset classes affected by these rating actions, including Moody's-rated securities that are guaranteed or "wrapped" by these companies, ratings appearing on this website may not yet reflect current information. For current information on affected credits, please visit www.moodys.com/fig.
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25 May 2013
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The Ghost of 1994 Haunts Financial Markets
May 23, 2013

 

Moody's Credit Outlook
May 23, 2013
Credit implications of current events.
Now published twice a week.
 
Monthly Default Reoprt
Effectively Monitoring Corporate Risk
 
European Credits
Under Pressure
Read our latest research on sovereign and other affected credits.
Moody's Covenant Service  
Discover the latest covenant quality
assessments and trends.
  • Market Outlook Market Outlook
  • Credit Outlook Credit Outlook
  • Monthly Default Monthly Default
  • Euro Sovereigns Euro Sovereigns
  • Covenants Covenants
  • 22 May 2013

    Looser covenants could leave investors exposed in a downturn

    Robust issuance of covenant-lite loans and high-yield bonds with weak protections suggests a "covenant bubble" that could leave fixed-income investors exposed to losses in a credit cycle downturn. Currently, the risk remains in the background, but conditions could change quickly. In a distressed scenario, subordinated bondholders would suffer the brunt of losses… Full Report
  • 22 May 2013

    Volatility of Solvency II ratios could have broad implications for European insurers

    Although the Solvency II regime has yet to be finalised, we expect that solvency ratios will ultimately exhibit a more complex volatility under Solvency II than under Solvency I, as both the available capital and the capital requirements of the solvency ratio will change with market conditions. While we acknowledge that the move to Solvency II will not change insurers' economic reality, the introduction of new solvency ratios may influence the behaviour of investors, insurers and regulators... Full Report
  • 20 May 2013

    New budget projections are credit positive for US

    The non-partisan US Congressional Budget Office’s updated outlook for the US shows an improvement in government debt-to-GDP trends, assuming no additional policy measures. Despite the still subdued economic performance, the growth outlook appears to be more supportive of fiscal consolidation. Successful budget negotiations would contribute to further downward revisions to the debt trajectory, but their outcome remains uncertain... Full Report
  • 17 May 2013

    SGL Monitor: Liquidity index rises from record low but far from historical average

    Moody’s Liquidity-Stress Index (LSI) rose to 3.2% as of mid-May from 2.8% at the end of April, remaining in the low and tight range in which it has fluctuated all year. The still-low LSI signals that most US speculative-grade companies continue to avoid liquidity problems despite tepid growth in corporate sales and continued softness in the economy… Full Report
  • 16 May 2013

    Strong European high-yield issuance continues despite weak economy

    The strong pace of European corporate high-yield bond issuance continued in April, despite confirmation that the euro area is in recession. Year-to-date high-yield issuance by EMEA companies is just shy of $50 billion, and we expect this strong issuance trend to continue through 2013 from companies across a diverse range of industries, geographies and ratings...Full Report
U.S. Fiscal Outlook
Read our research and analysis on the U.S. ratings and related credits.
  • Euro Area Sovereign Crisis & Affected Credits

    Euro area sovereigns continue to be subject to significant market pressure and face economic and policy challenges affecting their credit. Sovereign credit problems affect other issuers in the region. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s rating actions and research related to sovereigns and other credits affected by the crisis.
  • US Fiscal Outlook

    The Aaa rating of the US government carries a negative outlook, which was assigned primarily due to the rapid increase in federal government debt during the past five years and the uncertain debt trajectory in the medium term. The rating outlook will likely be either moved back to stable or the rating downgraded during the course of 2013, depending on the outcome of budget negotiations at the federal level and a further assessment of the resulting medium-term debt trajectory. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to credits with both direct and indirect linkages to the U.S. fiscal outlook.
  • Structured Finance: Effect of 2012 Sovereign and Bank Rating Actions

    Find all of our structured finance rating actions and research relating to our sovereign and bank rating actions here.
  • Accounting & Financial Reporting Analysis

    Since its creation in 2002, Moody's Accounting Specialist Group has worked alongside Moody's credit analysts to incorporate accounting, financial reporting and internal control practices more systematically into the credit rating process. The group publishes research comments on issues within its area of expertise which Moody’s believes impact rated issuers’ credit quality. The group also conducts training for Moody’s analysts on relevant financial reporting, accounting and internal control issues which impact ratings. The Accounting Specialist Group is part of broader initiative to bring specialized expertise to Moody’s credit rating process. Along with specialists in accounting, financial reporting and internal controls, Moody’s Enhanced Analytic Group also has specialists with expertise in corporate governance; risk management; and complex financial instruments.
  • Global Macro-Economic & Financial Risk Analysis

    Moody's global macro-economic and financial risk analysis helps credit professionals to "put the pieces together" in order to develop a robust risk management/investment strategy by analyzing early trends, and by uncovering the linkages between the worlds of politics, economics and finance and their impact on credit.
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