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Moody's Credit Outlook
May 6, 2013
Credit implications of current events.
Now published twice a week.
 


Low Pay, Low Inflation,
Trimmer Spreads
May 2, 2013

 

ABS Spotlight
Illuminating key credit developments
in the U.S. and Canadian ABS markets.
European Credits
Under Pressure
Read our latest research on sovereign and other affected credits.
Monthly Default Reoprt
Effectively Monitoring Corporate Risk
 
  • Credit Outlook Credit Outlook
  • Market Outlook Market Outlook
  • ABS Spotlight ABS Spotlight
  • Euro Sovereigns Euro Sovereigns
  • Monthly Default Monthly Default
  • 07 May 2013

    US Macro Outlook: The Resilient Recovery

    The recovery’s resilience is evident in the job market as employers continue to add around 175,000 jobs per month, according to Moody’s Analytics. While fiscal headwinds will intensify in the summer, growth will continue and accelerate going into next year. For all of 2013, we forecast real GDP to advance close to 2%, with some 2 million jobs created on net, about the same as last year and the year before… Full Report
  • 02 May 2013

    UK general insurance sector outlook

    Our outlook remains stable for the UK general insurance sector, reflecting our expectation that rate rises and expense reductions will mitigate challenging operating conditions over the next 12 to 18 months. While upcoming civil, legal and regulatory reforms may be positive for the industry, they also elevate uncertainty and are insufficient to positively influence the outlook… Full Report
  • 26 Apr 2013

    Why Apple is Not Aaa

    We assigned Apple a Aa1 rating and not a Aaa rating for three main reasons: the business risk inherent in the consumer technology sector; the potential for the company to adopt an increasingly shareholder-friendly financial policy; and the possibility that the company’s diminishing US cash holdings will eventually require it to issue more debt to meet shareholder payouts...Full Report
  • 24 Apr 2013

    12 most-active private equity bond sponsors offer weak covenant protections

    The 12 most-active private equity sponsors provide the weakest covenant protections, on average, our study of more than 200 high-yield bonds issued by sponsored North American companies shows. Weaker covenants leave creditors at greater risk of debt-funded dividend recapitalizations and subordination that could see them take losses in a default… Full Report
  • 25 Apr 2013

    BRIC's leading banks peer comparison

    Deposit ratings range from Baa3 to A1 for the four largest BRIC banks -- Banco do Brasil S.A. (Baa2 positive), Sberbank (Baa1 stable), State Bank of India (Baa3 stable) and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd (A1 stable). The difference in ratings reflect different levels of systemic support uplift, rather than significant differences in these banks' standalone credit profiles. Top BRIC banks' deposit ratings are very closely aligned to their governments' debt ratings, because BRIC governments will provide very high systemic support to these banks, reflecting these banks' very high systemic importance and government ownership... Full Report
U.S. Fiscal Outlook
Read our research and analysis on the U.S. ratings and related credits.
  • Euro Area Sovereign Crisis & Affected Credits

    Euro area sovereigns continue to be subject to significant market pressure and face economic and policy challenges affecting their credit. Sovereign credit problems affect other issuers in the region. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s rating actions and research related to sovereigns and other credits affected by the crisis.
  • US Fiscal Outlook

    The Aaa rating of the US government carries a negative outlook, which was assigned primarily due to the rapid increase in federal government debt during the past five years and the uncertain debt trajectory in the medium term. The rating outlook will likely be either moved back to stable or the rating downgraded during the course of 2013, depending on the outcome of budget negotiations at the federal level and a further assessment of the resulting medium-term debt trajectory. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to credits with both direct and indirect linkages to the U.S. fiscal outlook.
  • Structured Finance: Effect of 2012 Sovereign and Bank Rating Actions

    Find all of our structured finance rating actions and research relating to our sovereign and bank rating actions here.
  • Accounting & Financial Reporting Analysis

    Since its creation in 2002, Moody's Accounting Specialist Group has worked alongside Moody's credit analysts to incorporate accounting, financial reporting and internal control practices more systematically into the credit rating process. The group publishes research comments on issues within its area of expertise which Moody’s believes impact rated issuers’ credit quality. The group also conducts training for Moody’s analysts on relevant financial reporting, accounting and internal control issues which impact ratings. The Accounting Specialist Group is part of broader initiative to bring specialized expertise to Moody’s credit rating process. Along with specialists in accounting, financial reporting and internal controls, Moody’s Enhanced Analytic Group also has specialists with expertise in corporate governance; risk management; and complex financial instruments.
  • Global Macro-Economic & Financial Risk Analysis

    Moody's global macro-economic and financial risk analysis helps credit professionals to "put the pieces together" in order to develop a robust risk management/investment strategy by analyzing early trends, and by uncovering the linkages between the worlds of politics, economics and finance and their impact on credit.
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