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Moody's Credit Outlook
June 20, 2013
Credit implications of current events.
Now published twice a week.
 

 



Markets Caution Fed
June 13, 2013

 

European Covered Bonds
Monitoring Overview
A quarterly overview of key credit measures
for European covered bond programmes.
European Credits
Under Pressure
Read our latest research on sovereign and other affected credits.
Moody's Covenant Service  
Discover the latest covenant quality
assessments and trends.
  • Credit Outlook Credit Outlook
  • Market Outlook Market Outlook
  • Covered Bonds Covered Bonds
  • Euro Sovereigns Euro Sovereigns
  • Covenants Covenants
  • 17 Jun 2013

    Detroit defaults; restructuring offered

    Last Friday, Detroit defaulted on a $39.7 million payment on its pension obligation certificates of participation, Separately, we downgraded the ratings on several classes of Detroit debt on Thursday, and placed all ratings on review for downgrade... Full Report
  • 18 Jun 2013

    China life insurance industry outlook is stable as industry approaches inflection point

    We expect insurers to preserve their profitability and capitalization levels in the face of subdued premium growth in the next 12-18 months. The industry is approaching an inflection point in its development that would result in a healthier profile if insurers can successfully manage the changes. Although growth in the domestic economy and a stable monetary policy over next 12-18 months will continue to support the financial performance of life insurers, we believe that how insurers manage risks and opportunities during the transition period from a focus on short-term and savings-type products to longer-term life insurance products will dictate the direction for the credit fundamentals of the industry...Full Report
  • 13 Jun 2013

    Europe high-yield bond issuance reaches $60 billion

    With $11 billion of high-yield bond issuance in May, year-to-date issuance by speculative-grade rated companies in Europe has reached $60 billion, compared to $70 billion for the whole of 2012, which was a record year. Although the pace of issuance may decrease given current market turbulence, we still see a strong pipeline that is driven by refinancing needs and the overriding trend of bank disintermediation...Full Report
  • 12 Jun 2013

    Sovereign default and recovery rates, 1983-2012

    The adverse conditions since the start of the global financial crisis have led to an increase in the number of sovereign defaults, our ninth annual sovereign default study says, with three defaults in 2012, two by the government of Greece and one by the government of Belize. Previously, only one default, by the government of Jamaica, was reported between 2009 and 2011… Full Report
  • 12 Jun 2013

    North American high-yield covenant quality index remains near record low in May

    While the three-month rolling average and single-month scores improved slightly, May was still the fifth-worst month in terms of bond covenant quality of the past year. And two contrary forces were at play: Although the percentage of Ba rated bonds, which generally are of worse quality, fell to 21% from 41% the prior month, the covenant quality of lower-rated bonds materially worsened… Full Report
U.S. Fiscal Outlook
Read our research and analysis on the U.S. ratings and related credits.
  • Euro Area Sovereign Crisis & Affected Credits

    Euro area sovereigns continue to be subject to significant market pressure and face economic and policy challenges affecting their credit. Sovereign credit problems affect other issuers in the region. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s rating actions and research related to sovereigns and other credits affected by the crisis.
  • US Fiscal Outlook

    The Aaa rating of the US government carries a negative outlook, which was assigned primarily due to the rapid increase in federal government debt during the past five years and the uncertain debt trajectory in the medium term. The rating outlook will likely be either moved back to stable or the rating downgraded during the course of 2013, depending on the outcome of budget negotiations at the federal level and a further assessment of the resulting medium-term debt trajectory. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to credits with both direct and indirect linkages to the U.S. fiscal outlook.
  • Structured Finance: Effect of 2012 Sovereign and Bank Rating Actions

    Find all of our structured finance rating actions and research relating to our sovereign and bank rating actions here.
  • Accounting & Financial Reporting Analysis

    Since its creation in 2002, Moody's Accounting Specialist Group has worked alongside Moody's credit analysts to incorporate accounting, financial reporting and internal control practices more systematically into the credit rating process. The group publishes research comments on issues within its area of expertise which Moody’s believes impact rated issuers’ credit quality. The group also conducts training for Moody’s analysts on relevant financial reporting, accounting and internal control issues which impact ratings. The Accounting Specialist Group is part of broader initiative to bring specialized expertise to Moody’s credit rating process. Along with specialists in accounting, financial reporting and internal controls, Moody’s Enhanced Analytic Group also has specialists with expertise in corporate governance; risk management; and complex financial instruments.
  • Global Macro-Economic & Financial Risk Analysis

    Moody's global macro-economic and financial risk analysis helps credit professionals to "put the pieces together" in order to develop a robust risk management/investment strategy by analyzing early trends, and by uncovering the linkages between the worlds of politics, economics and finance and their impact on credit.
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