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Weekly Credit Outlook
May 14, 2012
Start the week informed on all things related to the global credit markets.


Demography Is Destiny
May 10, 2012
European Credits
Under Pressure
Read our latest research on sovereign and other affected credits.
Global Bank Ratings 2012
Read our in-depth reports on how interrelated trends are weakening bank credit profiles.
Moody's Bond and Loan Covenant Service  
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  • Weekly Credit Outlook Weekly Credit Outlook
  • Market Outlook Market Outlook
  • Euro Sovereigns Euro Sovereigns
  • Bank Ratings 2012 Bank Ratings 2012
  • Covenants Covenants
  • 15 May 2012

    US retail sector outlook: modest growth, significant risks

    Our outlook for the US retail sector is stable, as we expect modest 3.5% to 4.5% operating-income growth in 2012, as consumers release pent-up demand and some commodity costs ease. Although driven partly by inflation, the growth in retail will outpace the overall economy. But consumer spending also faces significant risks, mainly from US government fiscal policy... Press Release l Full Report
  • 14 May 2012

    26 Italian banks downgraded as part of wider review of European banks

    We downgraded 26 Italian banks as part of a review for downgrade of various European banks initiated on 15 February 2012. We already took action on seven Portuguese banks in March. We expect to conclude the remaining reviews on other European banking systems by the end of June. This wider review is driven by the difficult European operating environment caused by the prolonged euro area crisis, and the deteriorating creditworthiness of certain euro area sovereigns (including Italy)… Press Release l Special Comment l Bank Ratings Page l Ratings List
  • 14 May 2012

    Credit Markets in Turmoil Following Greek Election

    Exactly 62 years to the day after then-French Foreign Minister Robert Schuman first outlined a European vision of peace through economic integration, the latest phase of that integration showed its most serious signs of crumbling yet, writes Jerry H. Tempelman of Moody’s Analytics. Market-based risk signals of peripheral European government debt, such as 10-year bond yields and CDS-implied EDF (Expected Default Frequency) credit measures, all increased this past week in the wake of elections in France, Greece, and Serbia. Market participants and senior European policymakers alike openly entertained the notion of Greece leaving the euro system... Full Report
  • 09 May 2012

    The U.S. economy moving at a less-than-exciting pace

    Still, real GDP growth remains near 2.5% annualized. With productivity growth slow, employment is likely to expand by more than 2 million jobs by the end of next year, says Moody’s Analytics. Slow growth in the labor force may push unemployment below 8% by the end of this year, and closer to 7% by the end of 2013...Full Report
  • 08 May 2012

    US state and local outlook: Revenue growth slows

    State and local government fiscal conditions are slowly improving but remain stressed and will drag on growth into 2013, says Moody’s Analytics. Long-term risks are to the downside, as state and local governments struggle with post-employment benefits. State taxes benefited most from the strong income gains in the first half of 2011...Full Report
Key Insights on U.S. Public Finance Pensions
Learn more about how Pensions impact
U.S. Public Finance Credit
  • Euro Area Sovereign Crisis & Affected Credits

    Euro area sovereigns continue to be subject to significant market pressure and face economic and policy challenges affecting their credit. Sovereign credit problems affect other issuers in the region. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s rating actions and research related to sovereigns and other credits affected by the crisis.
  • Accounting & Financial Reporting Analysis

    Since its creation in 2002, Moody's Accounting Specialist Group has worked alongside Moody's credit analysts to incorporate accounting, financial reporting and internal control practices more systematically into the credit rating process. The group publishes research comments on issues within its area of expertise which Moody’s believes impact rated issuers’ credit quality. The group also conducts training for Moody’s analysts on relevant financial reporting, accounting and internal control issues which impact ratings. The Accounting Specialist Group is part of broader initiative to bring specialized expertise to Moody’s credit rating process. Along with specialists in accounting, financial reporting and internal controls, Moody’s Enhanced Analytic Group also has specialists with expertise in corporate governance; risk management; and complex financial instruments.
  • Global Macro Scenarios & Risk Analysis

    Moody's global macro-economic and financial risk analysis helps credit professionals to "put the pieces together" in order to develop a robust risk management/investment strategy by analyzing early trends, and by uncovering the linkages between the worlds of politics, economics and finance and their impact on credit.
  • Syndicated Loan Ratings

    Moody’s syndicated loan ratings provide a consistent and independent assessment of credit risk. Loan ratings facilitate relative value comparisons between bank loans and bonds, and can be a tool for investors seeking to maximize returns for taking the least amount of risk. Syndicated loan ratings have become increasingly important as the line between what once were distinct markets continues to blur, and investors look across asset classes for the best return on a risk adjusted basis.
  • Covenants

    Investors have become increasingly concerned about event risk and the absence of meaningful covenant protections, which leaves them exposed to potential credit losses. Moody's covenant snapshots provide an informed opinion of covenant quality for both bonds and loans, helping you make better decisions and saving you time.
© 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. All rights reserved.
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