• On 21 May 2013, Moody’s announced rating actions on MBIA Insurance Corp., National Public Finance Guarantee Corp., MBIA Inc. and other related entities. Because of the large number of credits across several asset classes affected by these rating actions, including Moody's-rated securities that are guaranteed or "wrapped" by these companies, ratings appearing on this website may not yet reflect current information. For current information on affected credits, please visit www.moodys.com/fig.
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KEY CONTACTS

 
Sovereign

Bart Oosterveld
Managing Director
Bart.Oosterveld@moodys.com  
  
Steven Hess
Senior Credit Officer
Steven.Hess@moodys.com
 
Elena Duggar
Group Credit Officer
Elena.Duggar@moodys.com  

  
Financial Institutions
 
David Fanger
Senior Vice President
David.Fanger@moodys.com  
 
Mark LaMonte
Managing Director - CCO
Mark.LaMonte@moodys.com  
 
 
Managed Investments
 
Yaron Ernst
Managing Director
Yaron.Ernst@moodys.com  
 
Daniel Serrao
SVP - Team Leader
Daniel.Serrao@moodys.com  
 
 
U.S. Public Finance
 
Gail Sussman
Managing Director
Gail.Sussman@moodys.com
 
Naomi Richman
Managing Director
Naomi.Richman@moodys.com
 
Anne Van Praagh
Managing Director - CCO
Anne.VanPraagh@moodys.com  

Structured Finance

Jonathan Polansky
Managing Director
Jonathan.Polansky
@moodys.com
 
Nicolas Weill
Managing Director - CCO
Nicolas.Weill@moodys.com  
  
  
Corporate Finance

Mark Gray
Managing Director
Mark.Gray@moodys.com
 
Dan Gates
Managing Director - CCO
Dan.Gates@moodys.com  

 
U.S. Infrastructure
 
William Coley
Senior Vice President
William.Coley@moodys.com  
 

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US Fiscal Outlook

The Aaa rating of the US government carries a negative outlook, which was assigned primarily due to the rapid increase in federal government debt during the past five years and the uncertain debt trajectory in the medium term. The rating outlook will likely be either moved back to stable or the rating downgraded during the course of 2013, depending on the outcome of budget negotiations at the federal level and a further assessment of the resulting medium-term debt trajectory. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to credits with both direct and indirect linkages to the U.S. fiscal outlook.

Highlights

  • 20 May 2013
    • New budget projections are credit positive for US
      The non-partisan US Congressional Budget Office’s updated outlook for the US shows an improvement in government debt-to-GDP trends, assuming no additional policy measures. Despite the still subdued economic performance, the growth outlook appears to be more supportive of fiscal consolidation. Successful budget negotiations would contribute to further downward revisions to the debt trajectory, but their outcome remains uncertain... Full Report​​
  • 15 Apr 2013
    • U.S. credit trend still unclear after Obama budget proposal
      The Obama administration budget proposal is one more step in negotiations over the finances of the U.S. government (Aaa negative) following the adoption of budgets by the House of Representatives and Senate. None of these budgets are likely to be accepted as proposed. All three budgets project reductions in the ratio of federal debt to GDP, but each offers significant differences in how to achieve such reductions, which indicates that a final resolution is still very uncertain... Full Report
  • 18 Mar 2013
    • Dueling budgets mean continuing uncertainty for US government credit
      In the opening moves in budget negotiations, both House and Senate budget committees recently introduced budget resolutions. The credit implications remain uncertain as the outcome of these negotiations is unclear. Adoption of either budget as proposed-highly unlikely-would result in lower budget deficits than the Congressional Budget Office currently projects... Full Report​​

Research & Ratings

Research
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  DateDocument TypeTitleIssuer/Entity
20 May 2013 Issuer Comment New Budget Projections Are Credit Positive for the United States United States of America, Government of
15 May 2013 Credit Opinion United States of America, Government of United States of America, Government of
15 Apr 2013 Issuer Comment After Obama Administration's Budget Proposal, US Credit Trend Is Still Unclear United States of America, Government of
09 Apr 2013 Special Comment The Sequester Series: Low to Moderate Impact on Public Finance Housing
08 Apr 2013 Special Comment The Sequester Series: Medicare Reductions Present New Headwinds for Not-for-Profit Hospitals
28 Mar 2013 Special Comment The Sequester Series: Limited Impact on US Universities and Related Not-for-Profit Organizations
18 Mar 2013 Sector Insights Neither Market Signals Nor Improving Economy Disturbed by Sequester (Capital Markets Research)
18 Mar 2013 Issuer Comment Dueling Budgets Mean Continuing Uncertainty for US Government Credit United States of America, Government of
14 Feb 2013 Issuer Comment Upcoming Fiscal Negotiations to Shape US Government Debt Trajectory United States of America, Government of
05 Feb 2013 Rating Action Moody's changes rating outlooks on 22 Aaa municipal credits indirectly linked to US government AL HFA Coll. Si...
Alabama HFA - T...
Alaska (State o...
Ames (City of) ...
Charleston (Cou...
Charleston Cnty...
Denver (City & ...
Easton (Town of...
ID H&FA-Single ...
ID H&FA-Single ...
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