Acquisition announcement prompts rating actions
Singapore, April 02, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has placed all of DBS Bank's (DBS) ratings
on review for downgrade.
At the same time, Moody's has affirmed all of Bank Danamon Indonesia's
(Danamon) ratings.
The affected ratings and actions are detailed further below.
On 2 April 2012, DBS Group Holdings (DBSGH; not rated) announced
that it will purchase up to 99% of the shares in Danamon for SGD9.1
billion: (1) 67.37% from Temasek Holdings (Aaa stable)
for SGD6.2 billion to be funded from a new issuance of DBS Group
Holdings shares; and (2) 31.63% from Danamon's
current minority shareholders for an amount of up to SGD2.9 billion,
which DBSGH intends to fund from internal cash resources and senior debt
issuance.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The review of DBS' ratings will evaluate the financial impact of this
relatively large acquisition on the bank's creditworthiness.
DBSGH -- as a holding company -- has limited
earnings capacity whereas it will have higher leverage ratios after this
transaction. Therefore, DBS -- as the group's
principal earnings contributor -- is expected to play a
substantial role in supporting the increased debt burden of its parent.
This will likely require DBS to upstream higher dividends to provide the
bulk of the funds that DBSGH will need to service debt as well as to pay
dividends on its enlarged share capital base.
Importantly, the review will also consider Moody's concerns
that DBS' changing risk profile over time may be indicating an increased
risk tolerance that would be inconsistent with its standalone bank financial
strength (BFSR) of B, which maps to a baseline credit assessment
(BCA) of aa3. By definition, this rating band implies a very
low risk profile and is therefore sensitive to relatively small increases
in risk.
The proposed acquisition of Danamon is consistent with DBSGH' long-term
strategy to generate half of revenue from sources outside Singapore.
While this strategy will improve the diversification of the group's
revenue streams and potentially improve overall profitability, we
are mindful that these high growth regional Asian markets also carry higher
risks.
Additional evidence of DBS' expansion plans was announced at the
same time as the Danamon transaction when DBS also announced that it had
received approval from Bank Negara Malaysia to commence discussions with
Fullerton Financial Holdings, a wholly owned subsidiary of Temasek
Holdings, to acquire its 14% stake in Alliance Financial
Group Berhad in Malaysia.
As for Danamon, Moody's does not expect the new shareholder
to change its strategy or disrupt its positive financial performance trajectory,
especially that Danamon and DBS already affiliates of DBSGH under Temasek
Holdings. While Danamon will also likely have to contribute to
the transaction's financial servicing, its currently strong
financial profile provides a significant buffer. For example it
reported a 16.6% Tier 1 capital ratio and 2.6%
return on assets in 2011. Therefore, Moody's has affirmed
its BFSR of D, mapping to a standalone baseline credit assessment
of ba2, with a positive outlook.
The affirmation of Danamon's credit ratings also indicates Moody's
unchanged assumptions that the bank would enjoy very high systemic support
in times of stress, which largely stems from its significance in
the banking system as the fifth largest bank in Indonesia following the
transaction.
The principal methodologies used in these ratings were Bank Financial
Strength Ratings: Global Methodology" published in February
2007, and "Incorporation of Joint-Default Analysis
into Moody's Bank Ratings: Global Methodology" published in
March 2012. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of these methodologies.
DBS Bank, headquartered in Singapore, had assets of SGD340.8
billion as of end 2011. It is the largest bank by assets in the
country.
Danamon, headquartered in Jakarta, had assets of IDR141.9
trillion as of end 2011. It is the sixth largest bank by assets
in the country.
The following ratings were placed on review for possible downgrade:
DBS: GLC deposit of Aa1; foreign currency long-term
senior debt and deposit of Aa1; foreign currency subordinated debt
of Aa2; foreign currency junior subordinated debt of A1(hyb);
preferred stock of A3(hyb) and BFSR of B which maps to a BCA of aa3.
The following ratings were affirmed:
Danamon: GLC deposit of Baa3; foreign currency deposit of Baa3/Prime-3;
and BFSR of D which maps to a BCA of ba2. The BFSR carries a positive
outlook and all other ratings a stable outlook.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating
Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on
the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and
recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on
which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's
ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available.
Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is
the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available
to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com
for further information.
In addition to the information provided below please find on the ratings
tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com, for each
of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the lead rating
analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued each of the
ratings.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and
for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist
between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of
entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to
the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A
member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member
of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation;
however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process
page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning
of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time
before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not
be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that
it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information
that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page
on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Beatrice Woo
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
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Stephen Long
MD - Financial Institutions
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (65) 6398-8308
Moody's: Multiple rating actions on DBS Bank and Bank Danamon Indonesia