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Moody's: Near-Term Refinancing Risks In US and Asia Are Benign, But EMEA Is More Of A Concern

Global Credit Research - 13 Dec 2011

New York, December 13, 2011 -- The overall refunding need posed by nearly $1.8 trillion of rated corporate bonds maturing in the three major markets by 2015 does not appear daunting relative to normal market capacity, according to a new report from Moody's Investors Service. The report is a recap of the refinancing reports recently issued in the three regions.

Eighty percent of the combined maturities of nonfinancial corporate bonds in the US, EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) and Asia are investment grade, and Moody's believes those issuers should be able to access the credit markets as needed for the most part.

"The possible exception may include some areas of EMEA, such as issuers located in the "periphery" for which market access has been deteriorating very recently," said Kevin Cassidy, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer and one of the authors of the report. "But even in this region, we believe the vast majority of investment grade issuers should be able to access the capital markets absent a further material deterioration in the global environment."

The lowest-rated speculative-grade issuers may have some difficulties.

"The turmoil in the sovereign-debt arena and intermittent periods of elevated uncertainty may prove problematic for these companies across all regions." said Tiina Siilaberg, a Moody's analyst and co-author. "The US, in particular, has the most issuers rated Caa or lower," she said.

With roughly $850 billion in bond maturities, EMEA has the largest amount of debt coming due between 2012 and 2015. The large refinancing needs could take place at a time when the borrowing needs of large sovereign issuers intensify. Further deterioration in the macroeconomic environment could also challenge refinancing in EMEA's bond markets when reliance on these markets is increasing.

"The capacity of EMEA's bond markets may become tested to a greater extent as banks are expected to remain constrained in providing credit," noted Cassidy. EMEA corporates have an additional $572 billion of bank debt maturing through 2015.

For more information please see the full report "Global Recap of Corporate Refunding Risk and Needs: Near-Term Risks In US and Asia Are Benign, But EMEA Is More Of A Concern " on www.moodys.com. The report is available on the new Refunding & Maturities topic page, which presents Moody's global research on debt maturities and refunding needs for fundamental issuers.

***

NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of our global press information hotlines: New York +1-212-553-0376, London +44-20-7772-5456, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City 001-888-779-5833, São Paulo 0800-891-2518, or Buenos Aires 0800-666-3506. You can also email us at mediarelations@moodys.com or visit our web site at www.moodys.com.

Kevin Cassidy
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Tiina Siilaberg
Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's: Near-Term Refinancing Risks In US and Asia Are Benign, But EMEA Is More Of A Concern
No Related Data.

 

© 2013 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.

 


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