Moody's: Negative outlook for European telecoms companies due to weak revenue growth
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Announcement:

Moody's: Negative outlook for European telecoms companies due to weak revenue growth

Global Credit Research - 29 Nov 2011

Madrid, November 29, 2011 -- In an Industry Outlook report published today, Moody's Investors Service says that macroeconomic factors, aggravated by Europe's ongoing sovereign debt crisis, as well as continued regulatory and competitive pressures, are weighing on the ability of European telecoms service providers to grow revenues. As a result, Moody's considers the fundamental credit conditions for European telecoms companies to be negative rather than stable, hence the corresponding change in outlook.

"We expect individual companies' revenue in the next 12 months to range from a decline of 5% to growth of approximately 2%," says Carlos Winzer, a Senior Vice President in Moody's Corporate Finance Group and author of the report. "That translates into an (unweighted) average revenue decline for the sector of between 1%-2%," explains Mr Winzer. "This is the first time our outlook for this sector in Europe has turned negative since we started tallying industry sector outlooks."

Moody's expects that prolonged economic weakness in Europe will continue to affect consumer confidence, making customers more price sensitive and adding to pressure on revenues. Furthermore, companies are finding it increasingly difficult to reduce operating expenses, around 35% of which (on average) are labour costs, to offset that pressure.

Despite underlying growth in some segments such as data (broadband internet), smartphones and payTV, Moody's expects that companies will struggle to monetise that growth and to offset losses in some of the more mature segments, such as fixed-line voice. Companies will have to continue to change their pricing structures -- phasing out unlimited data plans, for example -- to turn those pockets of growth into revenue and profits.

Moody's notes that competition is increasing, especially from cable TV operators, and in the mobile segment. In addition, the rating agency expects that incumbent operators will have to increase capital expenditure (capex) spending to bolster their networks in order to accommodate the expected growth in demand for data-rich services such as video downloading. Moody's estimates that telecoms companies will have to spend EUR60 billion more on network capex in addition to the EUR100 billion currently projected through 2014.

Moody's report, entitled "Weak Economic Outlook, Sovereign Debt Crisis to Weigh on Telecoms Companies' Revenue Growth", is available on www.moodys.com.

NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of our global press information hotlines: London +44-20-7772-5456, New York +1-212-553-0376, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City 001-888-779-5833, São Paulo 0800-891-2518, or Buenos Aires 0800-666-3506. You can also email us at mediarelations@moodys.com or visit our web site at www.moodys.com.

Carlos Winzer
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Espana, S.A.
Calle Principe de Vergara, 131, 6 Planta
Madrid 28002
Spain
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Paloma San Valentin
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Espana, S.A.
Calle Principe de Vergara, 131, 6 Planta
Madrid 28002
Spain
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Moody's: Negative outlook for European telecoms companies due to weak revenue growth
No Related Data.

© 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.


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© 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. All rights reserved.
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