Action affects approximately $495 million of rated debt outstanding
New York, January 10, 2013 --
Moody's Investors Service has affirmed Elmhurst Memorial Healthcare's
(EMHC) Baa2 long-term rating. The rating outlook is revised
to negative from stable, reflecting EMHC's weak operating
performance in the first quarter (Q1) of fiscal year (FY) 2013 and continued
aggressive debt and swap structure. This action affects approximately
$495 million of rated debt outstanding. Rated debt includes
Series 2008B,C,D,&E variable rate demand obligation
(VRDO) bonds. The Series 2008B,C,D,&E VRDO
bonds are supported by letters of credit (LOC) from JPMorgan Chase Bank,
N.A., RBS Citizens, N.A.,
The Northern Trust Company, and Fifth Third Bank. The LOCs
expire July 15, 2013, although management expects to receive
extensions on the LOCs in the coming weeks (the rating decision factors
our expectation that EMHC successfully will receive extensions/renewals
on its LOCs).
SUMMARY RATING RATIONALE
The affirmation of the Baa2 rating reflects the fact that EMHC is beyond
construction risks as the new replacement hospital opened in June 2011
(on time and under budget, according to management) and factors
EMHC's improved operating performance in full year FY 2012.
The negative outlook reflects EMHC's downturn in operating margins,
from an adjusted operating cash flow margin of 7.4% in full
year FY 2012 to 4.3% through five months FY 2013 (after
EMHC had shown considerable improvement in the second half of FY 2012).
While the decline in performance in interim FY 2013 is due in part to
an increase in non-cash pension expense, core operating challenges
surfaced such as inpatient volume declines (6.4% decrease
in five months FY 2013, compared to the same period FY 2012).
We are particularly sensitive to the weak performance in interim FY 2013
given EMHC's high debt load and debt/swap structure.
STRENGTHS
*While down from historically high levels, EMHC's absolute
level of cash on hand remains favorable at the Baa2 rating level with
adjusted 205 days cash on hand at fiscal year end (FYE) 2012 and 218 days
at September 30, 2012. Management expects to grow cash in
FY 2013 and beyond.
*EMHC's operating cash flow margin improved in full year FY
2012 (7.4% margin) compared to full year FY 2011 (3.8%
margin) and through six months FY 2012 (4.5% margin).
*Favorable service area (the City of Elmhurst's general obligation
rating is Aa1).
*With the replacement hospital operational since June 2011,
EMHC's capital spending plans are manageable in the coming years.
EMHC's average age of plant measured a low 6.4 years at FYE
2012 (all rating median is 10.5 years).
CHALLENGES
*Very leveraged Moody's adjusted debt coverage ratios (136%
debt-to-total operating revenue, 20.2 times
debt-to-cash flow, 1.7 times maximum annual
debt service coverage, 40% cash-to-direct debt,
and 84% cash-to-demand debt based on FY 2012 results).
*Weak operating results in Q1 FY 2013 (4.0% operating
cash flow margin); while improved in subsequent months, based
on adjustments to management prepared interims, EMHC's operating
margins remain modest through five months FY 2013 (4.3%
operating cash flow margin) and significantly behind plan.
*Approximately 50% of EMHC's debt was in VRDO mode at
FYE 2012. EMHC has LOCs with four banks, including RBS (P-2
short-term rating) and Fifth Third Bank (P-2 short-term
rating). EMHC's cash-to-demand and monthly
liquidity-to-demand debt measured modest 84% and
72%, respectively, at FYE 2012.
*EMHC has a sizeable swap program with a total notional amount ($490
million at FYE 2012) that approached EMHC's total debt outstanding
($527 million) at FYE 2012. The swaps are spread among five
counterparties.
*EMHC's defined benefit pension plan was $62 million
underfunded at FYE 2012 (based on FASB accounting) compared to a pension
benefit obligation of $228 million (73% funded ratio).
Management notes that on an IRS funding basis, the plan had a funding
ratio of 120% at January 1, 2012 (due to the different discount
rate methodologies used by the IRS and FASB). Management notes
that while there were no funding requirements to the plan on an IRS basis
in the last two years, EMHC has made employer contributions of $5
million per year over the period.
*Competitive market with multiple hospital providers in EMHC's primary
service area (PSA) and secondary area.
OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects EMHC's downturn in operating margins
in interim FY 2013 (from an adjusted operating cash flow margin of 7.4%
in full year FY 2012 to 4.3% through five months FY 2013).
While the decline in performance in interim FY 2013 is due in part to
an increase in non-cash pension expense, core operating challenges
surfaced such as inpatient volume declines (6.4% decrease
in five months FY 2013, compared to the same period FY 2012).
We are particularly sensitive to the weak performance in interim FY 2013
given EMHC's high debt load and debt/swap structure.
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO UP
Unlikely in the near term given the negative outlook. Over the
longer-term a sustained improvement in operating cash flow that
translates into meaningful strengthening of margins; material improvement
in debt coverage ratios; rebound in balance sheet measures
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO DOWN
Continued modest operating margins; any weakening of debt ratios
leading to violation of financial covenants in LOC reimbursement agreements;
unexpected weakening of cash position; significant market share loss
RATING METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was Not-For-Profit
Healthcare Rating Methodology published in March 2012. Please see
the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this
methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Please see the credit ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and
for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist
between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of
entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to
the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A
member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member
of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation;
however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process
page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning
of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time
before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not
be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that
it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information
that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page
on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Mark Pascaris
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
100 N Riverside Plaza
Suite 2220
Chicago, IL 60606
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Lisa Goldstein
Associate Managing Director
Public Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's affirms Elmhurst Memorial Healthcare's (IL) Baa2 long-term and underlying bond ratings; Outlook revised to negative from stable