$1.2 billion of notes rated
New York, October 01, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service assigned a B2 rating to the $1.2
billion of notes offered by HDTFS, Inc. The proceeds of the
notes, along with drawings under a $750 million term loan
and approximately $650 million in cash on hand, will be used
to fund The Hertz Corporation's (Hertz) $2.6 billion
acquisition of Dollar Thrifty Automotive Group, Inc. Until
the closing of the acquisition, the proceeds will be held in escrow
and be pledged as security for the notes. Upon closing the notes
will be assumed by Hertz and will rank pari passu with the company's
existing senior unsecured debt that is also rated B2.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The B2 rating of the notes reflects the priority of claim that the obligations
will have as senior unsecured debt within Hertz' capital structure,
as well as the company's B1 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and Probability
of Default Rating (PDR). The B1 CFR and PDR reflect our expectation
that the strategic benefits from the acquisition of Dollar Thrifty Automotive
Group (Dollar) will enable the company to maintain a sound competitive
position in the North American car rental industry. In addition,
Hertz's credit metrics should remain near current levels despite
the addition of approximately $1.9 billion of acquisition-related
debt.
The acquisition will provide Hertz with a well-established and
highly competitive position in the value segment of the US car rental
market -- a segment in which Hertz's current position lags
that of its rivals. Moreover, the company has identified
a minimum of $160 million of cost synergies that it expects to
achieve over the next 24 months. Beyond these savings, Hertz
also anticipates that there will be additional growth opportunities resulting
from the acquisition. The B1 CFR anticipates that Hertz will achieve
a large portion of the planned synergies.
Notwithstanding these planned synergies, the $1.9
billion of additional debt taken on by Hertz should not result in a material
erosion of its current credit metrics. This capacity to retain
metrics near current levels despite the added debt is due largely to the
modest leverage and competitive return measures of Dollar. The
key credit metrics for Hertz vs. Dollar for the last-twelve-months
(LTM) through June 2012 include: pre-tax income/sales of
6.1% vs. 19.8%; EBIT/interest
of 1.7x vs. 3.5x; and debt/EBITDA of 3.8x
vs. 2.8x. (All metrics reflect Moody's standard adjustments).
Dollar's stand alone credit metrics are considerably stronger than those
of Hertz. As a result, when the entities are combined on
a pro forma basis with the addition of $1.9 billion of acquisition
debt, the resulting metrics do not reflect any material weakening
from Hertz's current stand alone metrics.
Pro forma for the additional debt and assuming no synergy benefits,
these LTM measures approximate the following: pre-tax income/sales
of 6.8%; EBIT/interest of 1.7x; and debt/EBITDA
of 4.0x. These pro forma measures support the B1 CFR.
Moreover, as Hertz achieves the planned synergies it will demonstrate
the strategic soundness of the transaction and will further strengthen
its credit profile.
A key factor supporting the rating is our expectation that Hertz will
maintain a sound liquidity profile. This is a critical consideration
given the sizable ongoing refunding requirements the company will face
in supporting its rental fleet. Pro forma for the acquisition,
Hertz's key liquidity source will include a $1.8 billion
ABL facility that matures in 2016, approximately $600 million
in unrestricted cash, and the proceeds from the sale of vehicles
and equipment. The key use of cash will include vehicle and equipment
purchases. Funding these purchases will require Hertz to renew
various maturing asset-backed-security (ABS) facilities
on an ongoing basis. We believe that the company's existing sources
of liquidity, its solid operating performance, the appetite
of the ABS market for securities supported by car rental assets,
and Hertz's pro-active strategy of planning facility renewals well
in advance of maturity will help preserve an adequate liquidity profile.
Healthy industry fundamentals are also a consideration in the rating.
We expect that the car rental sector will benefit from a number of factors.
Vehicle residual values should be supported by the disciplined approach
that automotive OEMs have adopted in better matching production levels
with retail demand. These values should also be supported by the
historically modest levels of off-lease vehicles likely to enter
the market over the intermediate term. Although pricing in the
car rental sector will remain competitive, the environment should
benefit from the consolidation that has taken place and by the increasing
focus of car rental companies on improving returns by reducing costs rather
than by growing share position through discounting. Finally,
demand in the equipment rental sector has improved significantly relative
to the levels experienced during 2009. Although there may be some
softening during 2013, demand should remain well above that of 2009.
Hertz's rating outlook could be changed to positive if the company were
to demonstrate clear progress in integrating Dollar and achieving the
planned synergies. Credit measures that might support a change
in outlook include pre-tax income/sales remaining above 7%
and EBIT/interest exceeding 2x. Any improvement in Hertz's outlook
or rating would also be dependent upon the company maintaining a prudent
liquidity profile.
There would be pressure on Hertz's rating if the company can not demonstrate
synergistic benefits of the acquisition. Metrics that might indicate
rating pressure include pre-tax income/sales below 5% and
EBIT/interest below 1.5x.
The principal methodology used in rating Hertz was the Global Equipment
and Automobile Rental Industry Methodology published in December 2010.
Other methodologies used include Loss Given Default for Speculative-Grade
Non-Financial Companies in the U.S., Canada
and EMEA published in June 2009. Please see the Credit Policy page
on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued
by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's
Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf,
London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
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Bruce Clark
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
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Michael J. Mulvaney
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
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Releasing Office:
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Moody's assigns B2 rating to Hertz acquisition notes; outlook is stable