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Rating Action:

Moody's downgrades European structured finance transactions exposed to Italian sovereign and banks

Global Credit Research - 20 Jul 2012

Moody's also downgrades one transaction with exposure to Italian state and public sector entities

London, 20 July 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has today downgraded the ratings of six structured credit securities that are linked to the ratings of Italy and Unicredit Spa which were downgraded by Moody's respectively on July 13, 2012 and on July 17 2012. Moody's also downgraded one balance sheet CLO exposed to Italian state and public sector entities.

LIST OF AFFECTED TRANSACTIONS

Issuer: Asset Repackaging Trust Six B.V.

....Series 15 EUR 181,734,000 Partly-Paid Pass-Through Credit-Linked Secured Notes due 2028, Downgraded to Baa2; previously on Feb 17, 2012 Downgraded to A3

....Series 16 EUR 367,809,833 Partly-Paid Pass-Through Credit-Linked Secured Notes due 2033, Downgraded to Baa2; previously on Feb 17, 2012 Downgraded to A3

....Series 25 EUR 65,500,000 Fixed Rate Secured Notes due 2017, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jul 2, 2012 Confirmed at Baa1 (sf)

....Series 26 EUR 45,000,000 Fixed Rate Secured Notes due 2017, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 25, 2012 Assigned Baa1 (sf)

Issuer: Entasi S.r.l.

....EUR160M Series 2001-1 Bond, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 15, 2012 Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)

....EUR160M Series 2001-2 Bond, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 15, 2012 Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)

Issuer: C.P.G. Società di Cartolarizzazione a r.l.

....EUR787M Class A2 Notes, Downgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2011 Downgraded to A2 (sf)

For additional information on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to the webpage containing Moody's related announcements http://www.moodys.com/eusovereign.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The reason for Moody's actions is the linkage between the ratings of the structured finance securities and those of the sovereign or Unicredit S.p.A.. This linkage is due to the exposure of the structured finance securities to the declining credit quality of the Republic of Italy which acts as the issuer of collateral securities or to the declining credit quality of Unicredit S.p.A., which acts as the guarantor of the repack notes.

Moody's explained that five of the rating actions taken today are the result of the downgrade of the government of Italy to Baa2 from A3 on July 13, 2012. For further information on the underlying action see the press release titled "Moody's downgrades Italy's government bond rating to Baa2 from A3, maintains negative outlook" on www.moody.com. The remaining two actions were driven by the downgrade to Baa2 from A3 of Unicredit S.p.A. For further information on the underlying actions see the press releases titled "Moody's downgrades Italian banks" issued on 17 July 2012 on www.moody.com.

ASSET REPACKAGING TRUST SIX B.V. SERIES 15 AND 16

Asset Repackaging Trust Six B.V. series 15 and 16 represent the repackaging of a pool of bonds issued by the Republic of Italy (the "Collateral"). Interest received on the Collateral is passed to noteholders and amounts received upon any Collateral maturing will be used to purchase substitute bonds or repay the notes. Each rating is essentially a pass-through of the rating of the underlying security. Noteholders are exposed to the credit risk of the underlying entity and therefore the rating moves in lock-step in each case. No additional cash flow, sensitivity analysis or stress scenarios have been conducted as the rating was directly derived from the rating of Republic of Italy.

ASSET REPACKAGING TRUST SIX B.V. SERIES 25 AND 26

Asset Repackaging Trust Six B.V. series 25 and 26 represent the repackaging of bonds issued by the Republic of Italy (the "Collateral"). The Collateral will then be subject to an asset swap entered into between the Issuer and Deutsche Bank AG, currently rated A2, whereby the Issuer will swap interest proceeds from the Collateral for fixed interest payment amounts due under the Notes. Moody's analysis utilizes an expected loss calculation as described below.

Moody's quantitative analysis of Repacks is designed to estimate the expected loss "EL" borne by the Repack investor, given the transaction structure, the Collateral and any other credit risks arising under the transaction. To this end, Moody's relies on an EL analysis in which we identify and attach probabilities to events that might give rise to losses to Repack noteholders. Moody's EL calculation assesses the probability and severity of each possible loss-inducing event happening at discrete (typically one-year) intervals through the life of the transaction. The EL for each of these time points can then be aggregated to provide a weighted-average EL for the rated notes. No additional cash flow, sensitivity analysis or stress scenarios have been conducted as the rating was directly derived from the rating of the Republic of Italy and Deutsche Bank.

ENTASI S.r.l. SERIES 2001-1, SERIES 2001-2

These transactions are a repackaging of the unrated Trevi Finance N.3 class C notes guaranteed by Unicredit S.p.A. Unicredit S.p.A. provides a complete guarantee on the transactions because of the Entasi's right to sell back the collateral at a fixed price that covers all the possible losses for the noteholders. However in the event of default of Unicredit S.p.A. noteholders will be exposed to a potential swap termination payment and the market value of the collateral. In the structure of the deal, the swap termination is senior to the payments to the noteholders. Because of the potential additional losses to noteholders in case of Unicredit default, Moody's applied stresses to the severity resulting in a rating that is one notch below the current rating of Unicredit. No additional cash flow, sensitivity analysis or stress scenarios have been conducted as the rating was directly derived from the rating of the Unicredit S.p.A.

C.P.G. SOCIETÀ DI CARTOLARIZZAZIONE S.r.l SERIES 2003-1

C.P.G. Societa Cartolarizzazione S.r.l. is a static CLO of loans to Italian public entities, which closed in April 2003. The largest exposure in the portfolio is the Italian government (46%), and this exposure fully covers the current balance of the rated Class A2 notes. Moody's has revised the rating of the Class A2 Notes to Baa1, a one-notch uplift from the current rating of the Italian state, given the substantial over-collateralisation thta exists in the transaction. No additional cash flow, sensitivity analysis or stress scenarios have been conducted as the rating was directly derived from the rating of the relevant affected entities.

Moody's notes that these transactions are subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, which could negatively impact the ratings of the notes, as evidenced by 1) uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy and 2) the acute sovereign and banking crisis in the euro area, which is weakening the credit profiles of banks exposed to the currency union. This crisis accentuates challenges facing banks globally. For more information please refer to "Moody's: Global bank ratings likely to decline in 2012" and "Key Drivers of Rating Actions on Firms with Global Capital Markets Operations." and 3) the recent review of European sovereigns reflecting their susceptibility to the growing financial and macroeconomic risks emanating from the euro area crisis. Moody's also discusses the relationship between sovereign and structured finance ratings in its special report "Assessing the Impact of the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis on Structured Finance Transactions," published in April 2011.

As the Euro area crisis continues, the rating of the structured finance notes remain exposed to the uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy. The deteriorating creditworthiness of euro area sovereigns as well as the weakening credit profile of the global banking sector could negatively impact the ratings of the notes. Furthermore, as discussed in Moody's special report "Rating Euro Area Governments Through Extraordinary Times -- An Updated Summary," published in October 2011, Moody's is considering reintroducing individual country ceilings for some or all euro area members, which could affect further the maximum structured finance rating achievable in those countries.

The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Approach to Rating Repackaged Securities" published in April 2010. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entities or their designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.

Information source used to prepare the ratings is the following: public information.

Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of these transactions in the past six months.

Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entities, obligations or credits satisfactory for the purposes of issuing these ratings.

Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning the ratings is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.

Moody's Investors Service may have provided Ancillary or Other Permissible Service(s) to the rated entities or their related third parties within the two years preceding the credit rating action. Please see the special report "Ancillary or other permissible services provided to entities rated by MIS's EU credit rating agencies" on the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.

In addition to the information provided below please find on the ratings tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com, for each of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the lead rating analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued each of the ratings.

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.

Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation; however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.

Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.

Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.

The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Gabriele Gramazio
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Neelam S. Desai
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

Moody's downgrades European structured finance transactions exposed to Italian sovereign and banks
No Related Data.

 

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