Affirms Aa2 rating on second lien and Aa3 rating on third lien sales tax revenue bonds
New York, June 27, 2012 -- Moody's downgrades to Aa1 from Aaa the rating on Hennepin County's
(MN) First Lien Sales Tax Revenue bonds, Series 2007A, affecting
$147.5 million in outstanding debt. Concurrently,
Moody's has affirmed the Aa2 rating on the county's Second
Lien Sales Tax Revenue Bonds, Series 2008B, affecting $107.2
million and the Aa3 rating on the county's Third Lien Variable Rate
Sales Tax Revenue Bonds, Series 2008C, affecting $53
million. The ratings have been removed from review. The
ratings were placed under review for possible downgrade on March 27,
2012 in conjunction with the publication of a new rating methodology for
U.S. municipal bonds backed by special tax revenues,
"U.S. Special Tax Methodology." A stable outlook
has been assigned to all the bonds.
SUMMARY RATING RATIONALE
The Aa1 rating on the Series 2007A bonds reflects the large economic base
that generates the pledged revenues, strong nature of special tax
pledge that encompasses tangible personal property and services to final
users, strong debt service coverage, and a minimally funded
debt service reserve fund. The Aa2 rating on the Series 2008B bonds
reflects the strong underlying base, adequate coverage ratios and
lack of a debt service reserve fund. The Aa3 rating on the Series
2008C bonds have weaker but still above sum-sufficient coverage,
variable interest rate risk, and also lacks a debt service reserve
fund. Notably, all the bonds benefit from additional liquidity,
presence of third party trustee (US Bank, long-term issuer
rating Aa2/negative), and strong flow of funds revenues as 1/5th
of principal and 1/10th of interest is required to be deposited monthly.
The stable outlook represents our belief that the ratings will remain
stable given the strong performance of revenue collections and solid coverage
levels.
STRENGTHS
* Hennepin County's (GO rated Aaa/stable) important role in the diverse
Twin Cities economy
* Legislatively approved sales tax dedicated for certain purposes
and sunsets when the bonds are retired or once accumulated reserves are
sufficient to pay the bonds
* Adequate projected debt service coverage on third lien, even
with conservative no-growth assumptions
* Strong flow and timing of funds includes monthly collection by the
state and direct remittance to the trustee, 1/5th principal and
1/10th interest every month
* Additional liquidity partially offsets minimal debt service reserves
for the first lien and lack of debt service reserve requirements for the
subordinate liens
CHALLENGES
* Minimally-funded debt service reserve fund for First Lien,
0.07x coverage on first lien MADs
* Second lien and third lien lack debt service reserve funds
* For third lien bonds, rating covenant that could trigger a
case for termination per Standby Bond Purchase Agreement presents liquidity
risk
OUTLOOK
Given strong performance of revenues and strong underlying base,
we expect that currently strong coverage and additional liquidity provides
cushion against any fluctuating revenues and that coverage will remain
healthy.
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO - UP
- Strengthening of maximum annual debt service coverage on all
debt
- Reduction in exposure to variable rate fluctuations
- Strengthening of, or addition of adequately funded debt
service reserve funds
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO - DOWN
- Declines in pledged revenues, weakening debt service coverage
- Opening of revenues to use towards other purposes than currently
authorized
- Declining liquidity, especially in the Surplus Account
- Breach of covenants or trigger of events for automatic termination
per terms in SBPA
RATING METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was US Public Finance Special
Tax Methodology published in March 2012. Please see the Credit
Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued
by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's
Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf,
London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
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Soo Yun Chun
Associate Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
100 N Riverside Plaza, Suite 2220
Chicago, IL 60606
U.S.A
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Henrietta Chang
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Public Finance Group
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Moody's downgrades to Aa1 from Aaa the rating on Hennepin County's (MN) First Lien Sales Tax Revenue Bonds, Series 2007A; assigns stable outlook