Approximately $1.5 billion of debt securities affected
New York, October 19, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service lowered Advanced Micro Devices' ("AMD")
corporate family rating to B1 from Ba3, and the ratings on the senior
unsecured notes to B1 from Ba3. The ratings were also placed under
review for further downgrade. The speculative grade liquidity rating
was lowered to SGL-2 from SGL-1.
The downgrade of the corporate family rating reflects prospects for significantly
weaker than expected operating performance over the next year.
The "increasingly challenging macro environment, weak demand
conditions in the personal computer space, particularly among consumers
and in the lower end segments where tablet devices continue to take wallet-share,
are expected to persist well into 2013", said Moody's
Richard Lane.
AMD is reorienting its business model and implementing a cost realignment
program that, with $450 million of quarterly operating costs,
could achieve breakeven operating profit at $1.3 billion
in sales. With our forecast $1.15 billion of revenue
in the December quarter, followed by typically lower sequential
revenue in the first fiscal quarter and flat second quarter revenue,
we believe AMD will be challenged to achieve quarterly breakeven operating
profit until at least one year from now.
Driven by the outlook for operating losses, we expect adjusted debt
to EBITDA could double over the next year from approximately 4.0
times as of September 2012 (2.7 times at June 2012).
As of September 2012, AMD had nearly $1.5 billion
of cash and marketable securities. AMD does not maintain a committed
revolving credit facility. We now expect AMD will consume some
cash over the next year. This view is driven by projected operational
losses, cash payments of $225 million to AMD's foundry
partner (Global Foundries) in December related to a previously negotiated
wafer supply agreement, and approximately $80 million in
cash outflows related to restructuring activities (headcount reduction)
over the next two quarters. AMD's next debt maturity is a $580
million note (unrated) due May 2015.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The review will focus on AMD's prospects to reorient its business
to address markets beyond its core, legacy personal computer market
to the faster growing server, embedded, and ultra low power
segments. AMD is targeting to grow the latter segments from roughly
15% of revenue presently to 40%-50% of its
revenue over time.
Embedded computation for the gaming, industrial, and communications
currently makes up about 5% of AMD's revenue, and management
outlined a goal to increase that to about 20% by the end of 2013.
While AMD has key design wins in the embedded space that we believe makes
this target reasonable, we are more skeptical of AMD's ability
to drive server materially higher over the near term due to stiff competition
from Intel and long design cycles for mission critical servers.
The review will consider the time frame and financial implications of
AMD's plans to use third party processor cores in future high-end
server products to complement its Sea-Micro server fabric.
We will also assess AMD's prospects to compete in the ultra low
power tablet market where incumbent producers of ARM-based processors
have low power advantages.
In addition to management's strategic reorientation, we will
also assess the ability to reduce AMD's operational cost structure
($80 million in fourth quarter restructuring charges followed by
additional undisclosed restructuring charges next year) without diminishing
the ability to consistently innovate. An additional element of
the ratings review will address AMD's future wafer supply agreement
with Global Foundries, including the existing take-or-pay
contract under which AMD is currently scheduled to pay $500 million
in the fourth quarter.
In addition, Moody's is adding the LGD for the bonds due in
2020. The LGD was previously missing due to an internal administrative
error. An LGD of LGD4-53 was assigned on July 26 2010 when
the bonds were first rated and was changed to LGD4-54 on August
6 2012.
Ratings downgraded:
Corporate family rating to B1 from Ba3
Probability of default rating to B1 from Ba3
$500 million senior unsecured notes due 2017 to B1 (LGD4-54%)
from Ba3 (LGD4-54%)
$500 million senior unsecured notes due 2020 to B1 (LGD4-54%)from
Ba3 (LGD4-54%)
$500 million senior unsecured notes due 2022 to B1 (LGD4-54%)from
Ba3 (LGD4-54%)
Speculative grade liquidity rating to SGL-2 from SGL-1
The principal methodology used in rating Advanced Micro Devices was the
Global Semiconductor Industry Methodology published in November 2009.
Other methodologies used include Loss Given Default for Speculative-Grade
Non-Financial Companies in the U.S., Canada
and EMEA published in June 2009. Please see the Credit Policy page
on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
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The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued
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Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf,
London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
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Richard J. Lane
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Robert Jankowitz
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
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JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
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Moody's lower ratings of Advanced Micro Devices (CFR to B1); under review for downgrade