Milan, November 16, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service has today placed on review for downgrade UniCredit's
C- standalone bank financial strength rating (BFSR; mapping
to Baa1 on the long-term rating scale), its A2 long-term/Prime-1
short-term deposit and senior debt ratings, as well as all
other junior debt ratings. The debt ratings and certain standalone
BFSR's of some of UniCredit's subsidiaries were also placed under
review for downgrade. Please refer to the list at the bottom of
this Press Release for further details.
RATINGS RATIONALE
RATIONALE FOR REVIEW OF STANDALONE BFSR
Moody's said that the decision to review UniCredit's standalone
rating for possible downgrade was triggered by its third quarter results
announcement made on November 14th, 2011. Results for the
third quarter of 2011 showed a net loss of EUR 10.6 billion for
the period. The principal cause of this loss was a EUR 10.2
billion write down of goodwill and certain other assets. Additionally,
the bank's operating profit declined, affected by trading
losses and higher loan loss charges.
In its review of UniCredit's ratings, Moody's will focus
on the goodwill impairment and the extent to which it signals lower earnings
expectations in UniCredit's core markets, especially Italy,
as also indicated by the bank's declining operating profit.
At the same time as it announced its results for the third quarter of
2011, UniCredit announced its new strategic plan, and plans
to raise EUR 7.5 billion of equity through a fully underwritten
rights issue. The strategic plan focuses on strengthening the bank's
financial fundamentals over the period running to 2015, through
a number of measures including greater focus on core activities,
improved efficiency, and turning around the performance of the Italian
business. With the fully underwritten EUR 7.5 billion rights
issue the bank has targeted capital adequacy at a level compatible with
both current requirements and Basel III.
Moody's said that both the announcement of third quarter loss and
the strategic plan will be taken into consideration during the review
process.
More specifically, Moody's says that the review of UniCredit's
standalone rating will focus on:
(i) the group's new strategic plan, and the extent to which
this may strengthen the group's key franchises and restore financial
fundamentals to stronger levels;
(ii) the current financial performance of the group, and the potential
for this to further deteriorate in the coming quarters, given the
difficult operating environment, particularly in Italy; and
(iii) the nature of, and impact on the group's financials,
of the write downs of goodwill and other assets announced with the group's
results for the third quarter of 2011
Moody's noted positively the planned capital increase, and
also the fact that UniCredit continues to have considerable liquidity,
despite current market conditions. The rating agency also noted,
however, the relatively long time required to achieve the goals
of the strategic plan and the considerable challenges to achieving these,
given the difficult and highly uncertain operating environment in which
these goals must be delivered.
RATIONALE FOR REVIEW OF LONG-TERM RATINGS
Moody's says that the review for downgrade of UniCredit's long-
and short-term deposit and debt ratings is driven by the review
for possible downgrade of the bank's standalone ratings.
WHAT COULD CHANGE THE RATINGS UP
The standalone rating could be upgraded in the event of a significant
improvement in profitability, particularly in the group's core Italian
business, and of a reduction in the level of non-performing
loans. However, as indicated by the current review for possible
downgrade, Moody's considers this quite unlikely in the short-
to medium-term. An upgrade of the standalone rating could
also lead to an upgrade of the bank's debt and deposit ratings.
WHAT COULD CHANGE THE RATING DOWN
Further to the reasons identified in the review for possible downgrade,
the volatilities in the Italian and European operating environment could
put additional pressure on UniCredit. Any notable weakening in
its funding and liquidity profile, or any significant impact of
the current operating environment challenges on its franchise, business
activities, profitability or asset quality could put further negative
pressure on the standalone rating. A downgrade of the standalone
rating would likely lead to a downgrade of the long-term deposit
and debt ratings.
The ratings of the following subsidiaries of UniCredit were also placed
on review for possible downgrade as a result of the action on their parent:
- UniCredit Leasing
- UniCredit Bank AG
- UniCredit Bank Austria
- UniCredit Luxembourg S.A.
- ATF Bank
- UniCredit Bank Slovakia a.s.
- Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A.
- Yapi ve Kredi Bankasi AS
Full details of these rating actions is given in separate press releases
for each bank.
UniCredit SpA, affected ratings:
- Bank Financial Strength Rating: C-
- Senior Unsecured: A2
- Senior Unsecured MTN: (P)A2
- LT Bank Deposit: A2
- LT Deposit Note/ CD Program: (P)A2
- Subordinate: A3
- Subordinate MTN: (P)A3
- Junior Subordinate: Baa2(hyb)
- Junior Subordinate MTN: Baa2
- Tier III Debt MTN: (P)A3
- Pref. Stock Non-cumulative: Ba1(hyb)
- ST Bank Deposit: P-1
- Other Short Term: (P)P-1
The methodologies used in this rating were Bank Financial Strength Ratings:
Global Methodology published in February 2007, Incorporation of
Joint-Default Analysis into Moody's Bank Ratings: A Refined
Methodology published in March 2007, and Moody's Guidelines for
Rating Bank Hybrid Securities and Subordinated Debt published in November
2009. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of these methodologies.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
The rating has been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s)
and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following :
parties involved in the ratings, and public information.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated
entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing
this review.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it
uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's
considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent
third-party sources. However, Moody's is not
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information received in the rating process.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
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and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may
exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names
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Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating
Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on
the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and
recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on
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Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is
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for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has
issued the rating.
Henry MacNevin
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Italia S.r.l
Corso di Porta Romana 68
Milan 20122
Italy
Telephone:+39-02-9148-1100
Johannes Wassenberg
MD - Banking
Financial Institutions Group
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Releasing Office:
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Moody's reviews for downgrade UniCredit's A2/C- ratings (Italy)