USD 3.25 billion of rated debt affected
DIFC - Dubai, April 11, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service has today upgraded to Baa3 from Ba1 the long-term
foreign and domestic currency ratings of DP World Limited ("DP World"
or "the company") and the rating on the USD 1.5 billion sukuk issued
by DP World Sukuk Limited and due 2017. All ratings have a stable
outlook.
RATINGS RATIONALE
"Today's one-notch upgrade of DP World into investment
grade reflects Moody's view that the company has achieved credit
metrics that are commensurate with a higher rating category and are likely
to be maintained over the medium term," says Franck Nowak,
Associate Analyst at Moody's in Dubai. Specifically,
Moody's notes (1) the company's rapid recovery in terms of
operating performance over 2010 and continuing into 2011; (2) the
sound industry fundamentals for the port operators; and (3) material,
credit-positive actions taken by DP World to adhere to self-assigned
financial targets. These factors incorporate the prospect of this
performance being maintained in the medium term. More specifically,
gross throughput for the group rose by 14% in 2010 compared to
the previous year while DP World reported strong EBITDA margins --
above 46% for 2010 as adjusted by Moody's -- which have
helped cash generation. Moreover, the disposal of the company's
Australian assets, with USD 1.5 billon of proceeds earmarked
for debt reduction, is also credit-positive and reflects
DP World's commitment to reducing and maintaining its leverage (expressed
as net debt to EBITDA as reported by the company) to below 4.0x.
Moody's says that the current Baa3 ratings are sustained by the
company's diversified global operations, the expected growth in
international container traffic as well as solid profitability and a strong
liquidity profile. The Baa3 ratings also rest on the expected improvements
in DP World's financial profile through the adherence to its leverage
target, as well as the built-in flexible approach to future
growth spending so as to ensure anticipated improvements in the capital
structure. The ratings remain constrained by the inherent volatility
of the industry and risks that are linked to its strong correlation to
global trade volumes. Event risk is also a constraint, although
Moody's expects DP World to refrain from large-scale acquisitions.
The stable outlook is based on Moody's expectation that DP World will
maintain its position as a global leading port operator, maintain
operating margins at historical levels with an unchanged share of captive
origin and destination revenues, and prudently manage and use its
currently strong liquidity position. In addition, Moody's
expects DP World to remain within the boundaries of its leverage target
by avoiding large acquisitions, and gradually improving cash generation
by limiting expansion and related cash outflows to those earmarked to
the capital expenditures plan (USD2.5 billion to the end of 2012)
as well as to moderate shareholder returns. This would, in
Moody's opinion, translate into FFO interest cover that is
constantly above 3.0x and retained cash flow to net debt in the
low teens (%) in the medium term. Lastly, Moody's
continues to assume the absence of negative interference from DP World's
parent or the government of Dubai as the ultimate majority owner.
Moody's does not expect any upward pressure on the company's rating
or outlook over the near term. Nevertheless, the rating could
be upgraded or outlook changed to positive if DP World's financial
profile strengthens materially and if the company establishes a track
record of higher-than-expected cash generation that would
result in FFO interest cover above 3.5x and retained cash flow
to net debt in the mid teens (%).
Although Moody's also does not anticipate this in the near term,
negative pressure on DP World's rating or outlook could result from
weaker liquidity management, a departure from the expected positive
or close-to-breakeven free cash flow generation, or
from persistently higher leverage, with FFO interest cover below
3.0x and retained cash flow trending to below 10%.
Furthermore, the rating or outlook could be negatively affected
if DP World changes its current financial policy guidelines or embarks
on higher-risk development projects or greater M&A activity
than is currently envisaged.
PREVIOUS RATING ACTION & METHODOLOGY
Moody's previous rating action on DP World was implemented on 2 November
2010, when the rating agency changed the outlook on the company's
Ba1 rating to positive from stable and affirmed the rating.
The principal methodology used in this rating was Government-Related
Issuers: Methodology Update published in July 2010.
DP World, incorporated in the Dubai International Financial Centre
(DIFC) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), ranks amongst the world's
four largest container terminal operators by capacity and throughput.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Information sources used to prepare the credit rating are the following:
parties involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential
and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.
Moody's Investors Service considers the quality of information available
on the issuer or obligation satisfactory for the purposes of maintaining
a credit rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses
in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources
Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate,
independent third-party sources. However, Moody's
is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or
validate information received in the rating process.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on Moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some Credit Ratings were first released goes back to
a time before Moody's Investors Service's Credit Ratings were fully digitized
and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's
Investors Service provides a date that it believes is the most reliable
and accurate based on the information that is available to it.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com
for further information.
Please see the Credit Policy page on Moodys.com for the methodologies
used in determining ratings, further information on the meaning
of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
DIFC - Dubai
Martin Kohlhase
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Middle East Limited
Telephone: 00971 4237 9536
London
David G. Staples
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
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Moody's upgrades DP World to Baa3; outlook stable