Coronavirus Effects
The coronavirus outbreak is disrupting economies and credit markets worldwide. The impact on issuers’ credit profiles and the economy will depend on the severity and duration of the crisis.
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  • Series: Credit After Covid
  • Series: Credit After Covid
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    22 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The crisis will put pressure on debt levels to address social issues, encourage countries to reduce their dependence on international markets and increase investment in technology.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    18 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The crisis will likely result in fundamental shifts for economies, societies and companies in the coming years. Potential outcomes include weaker long-term economic growth, a prolonged period of extraordinarily low interest rates, and an acceleration of the digital transformation already under way. Listen to the podcast >>
    The pandemic will compound and accelerate key global trends.

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    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    23 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Three behavioral patterns will likely drive long-lasting changes in US consumption: accelerated digitalization, a greater share of time and consumption spent at home, and a transformation of travel, entertainment and leisure activity.
    PODCAST
    15 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Jody Shenn and Anthony Parry from the Structured Finance team discuss how COVID-19 will cause a paradigm shift for key credit risk components and drivers of the global structured finance market. >> Read the related report 
    Global Ratings Review Summaries
    SECTOR PROFILE
    27 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report highlights our research insights and rating activities in the week ended 24 July.
    SECTOR PROFILE
    10 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report contains a summary of rating actions in our Infrastructure and Project Finance Group for the month of June.
    SECTOR PROFILE
    06 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report contains a summary of non-financial corporate rating actions in the month of June.
    Coronavirus Policy ResponseView more
    SECTOR COMMENT
    29 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    On 28 July, the European Central Bank (ECB) published the results of a vulnerability analysis to assess the effect of two coronavirus-related scenarios (central and severe) on 86 large banks over a three-year period that ends in 2022.
    SECTOR COMMENT
    24 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    We see the amended version agreed last week as having limited impact on the EU credit profile despite the expected sharp rise in borrowings; and we continue to see the Recovery Fund as supportive of member states hardest hit by the coronavirus pandemic.
    Macroeconomic commentaries and scenarios
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    31 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    As coronavirus infections rise and countries impose localized restrictions, July indicators suggest that economic activity and labor market recoveries are leveling off in the US, the euro area and China.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    21 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Recovery momentum in the five largest European economies appears to be weakening, as fear and uncertainty remain high. Pent-up consumer demand after the easing of lockdowns is petering out.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    10 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Key high-frequency indicators point to improvements in US consumer confidence and employment, but renewed localized lockdowns threaten to blunt the positive momentum. Spending across all income groups declined at the end of June.
    OUTLOOK
    22 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    We continue to expect a gradual recovery beginning in the second half of the year. Our forecast assumes the likelihood of new coronavirus outbreaks without a return of widespread lockdown measures.
    Coronavirus impact on sectorsView more
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    30 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The sovereign credit implications of the pandemic will depend on the country's exposure to the shock's various transmission channels and on its policy response to the shock.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    27 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Amid the coronavirus pandemic, migrant workers’ lower remittances to home countries will reduce recipient countries’ balance of payments.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    28 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Passenger volumes will not return to pre-coronavirus levels before 2023 at the earliest, whereas cuts in investment and operating costs will support cash flow and limit the increase in debt.

    OUTLOOK
    24 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The weak global economy as a result of the spread of coronavirus will lead to tighter structured finance underwriting in the second half of 2020, while continuing to weaken performance.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    22 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The coronavirus crisis will hurt sectors reliant on the free movement of people the most at least through 2020. It will also magnify some differences between advanced and emerging economies.