The Big Picture
Global economic turbulence lies ahead, as growth slows and liquidity tightens. Colliding geopolitical interests, deepening societal fissures, digital disruption and climate risks will also grow in relevance.
  • SUMMARY
  • REPORTS

  • 25 Mar 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Sizeable and growing demand for both mature and market-leading nodes has meant export controls have not had a major impact on chip companies to date.

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    sector in-depth
    13 Mar 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    A series of lower-than-expected rice harvests and a wave of export restrictions in the second half of 2023 have kept rice prices high and renewed food security concerns in the region.


    podcast
    13 Mar 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    The rate will likely decline to 3.6% by the end of 2024, from a 5% peak in January, as central banks begin lowering policy rates.

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    Sector In-Depth
    11 Mar 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    The large number of elections in 2024, against a backdrop of high interest rates, weak growth and geopolitical tensions, increase the risk of policy shifts that could eventually have credit effects.


    podcast
    04 Mar 2024|Moody's Investors Service
    Female labour participation rates have more than recovered losses sustained during the pandemic. The associated boost in economic activity and support to households is positive for a range of issuers.
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    Outlook
    29 Feb 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Easing inflation and slowing growth are laying paths for interest rate cuts, though price pressures could linger. Geopolitical risks are ever-present and add significant uncertainty to global growth.


    podcast
    26 Feb 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Around €300 billion of European spec-grade corporate debt needs refinancing by 2026, but uncertain market access, slower growth and higher interest rates increase risks for some lower rated entities.

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    Podcast
    12 Feb 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Weak credit fundamentals and subdued investor sentiment suggest more governments are likely to default in the coming years.


    podcast
    29 Jan 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Strong policies, innovation and falling costs are set to propel green capital spending this year. However, a busy election calendar and slowing economic growth could temper that momentum.

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    VIDEO
    video
    24 Jan 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Moody’s experts discuss the mixed credit outlook, with interest rate cuts on the horizon but economic growth set to slow and a range of risks keeping markets on edge.


    sector in-depth
    18 Jan 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    We discuss inflation’s last mile, commercial real estate, carbon transition financing gaps, the effects of AI and digital finance growth, and the key political trends apt to affect credit quality.


    Sector In-Depth
    16 Jan 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    But credit conditions will remain near historical norms in the US, UK and euro area, supported by labor markets, corporate profits and other factors. Q1 credit conditions will remain weak in emerging markets.


    Outlook
    08 Jan 2024|Moody's Investors Service

    Six key environmental, social and governance trends will shape credit strength in 2024 and beyond.


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    15 Dec 2023|Moody's Investors Service

    A $4 billion fine for the cryptocurrency exchange Binance indicates greater regulatory focus that could bring more security and confidence to the crypto sector.


    sector in-depth
    06 Dec 2023|Moody's Investors Service

    The conflict's credit effects should be limited to Israeli issuers, but an escalation that disrupts global energy and financial markets would widen the scope significantly.