Political Risks
Domestic policy shifts and geopolitical uncertainty threaten to undermine credit conditions in many countries.
  • SUMMARY
  • REPORTS

  • SECTOR COMMENT
    16 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Recent US government warnings point to a heightened risk of Iranian cyberattacks. Although predicting which sectors or issuers would be most at risk is difficult, there would likely be a wide range of potential targets. Any credit impact would depend on the scale, scope and duration of the attack.
    SECTOR COMMENT
    06 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The US’s drone strikes in Iraq to kill Iranian Major General Qassim Suleimani represent a significant escalation of tensions between the US and Iran and their respective allies. As a base case, we continue to assume that the US and Iran will avoid an outright military conflict. 

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    27 Nov 2019|Moody's Investors Service
    The lack of a clear majority government will result in policy inertia and weigh on investment, spending and hiring decisions while looser fiscal policy will increase government debt.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    18 Nov 2019|Moody's Investors Service
    Populist political movements and agendas are increasingly shaping national and regional policy debates, particularly in advanced economies. These movements are highly diverse, and their credit implications are likely to be uneven.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    18 Nov 2019|Moody's Investors Service
    Brexit has been a catalyst for the UK government's increasing policy inertia, loss of policy predictability and diminished cohesion, all of which are reducing the country’s institutional strength. These conditions are affecting the operating environment for a range of UK government-related entities, banks and other debt issuers.

    VIDEO
    Video
    29 Oct 2019|Moody's Analytics
    Dan White shares Moody’s Analytics projections for Donald Trump’s chances in the upcoming 2020 US Presidential Election. Read full analysis.