Political Risks
Domestic policy shifts and geopolitical uncertainty threaten to undermine credit conditions in many countries. Governments are enacting policies to contain the damage from the coronavirus, but the pandemic will test the multilateral system.
  • SUMMARY
  • REPORTS

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    PODCAST
    10 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Leroy Terrelonge of the Cyber Risk group and Bill Foster of the Sovereign team discuss the rising cybersecurity risks related to elections, as voting and vote tallying become more digitized in many countries.​​
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    09 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Cyberattackers are increasingly targeting elections in many countries, which can undermine the credibility of elections and potentially exacerbate sociopolitical tensions.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    10 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    We forecast the UK economy to experience its deepest recession in almost a century as a result of the impact of the coronavirus outbreak and associated public health policy response. Although we expect the economy to begin to recover in the second half of the year, a no-deal Brexit at the end of 2020 could significantly damage the UK's nascent economic recovery.

    ISSUER COMMENT
    05 Mar 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The risk of a major change in policy direction from a new coalition government is low given the broad consensus among the mainstream political parties on the basic tenets of economic and fiscal policy. That said, any governing coalition is likely to rely on a small majority which may constrain its ability to pass legislation.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    25 Feb 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Geopolitical risk was the main perceived threat to global credit markets among participants at our credit trend events, cited by 42% of respondents on average. On average, 63% of event participants said slower growth would be the key differentiating credit factor in Europe this year.