PODCAST
22 Feb 2023|Moody's Investors Service
Jeromin Zettelmeyer, director of economic policy research firm Bruegel, joins Sarah Carlson of Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group to discuss Europe’s economic outlook as the war enters its second year.
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Issuer In-Depth
18 Jan 2023|Moody's Investors Service
We answer questions on the top macroeconomic, geopolitical and ESG factors that will determine credit performance of global debt issuers in 2023.
Sector In-Depth
07 Dec 2022|Moody's Investors Service
We assess the impact of Europe's ongoing energy shock on the credit profiles of sovereigns, corporates, banks, insurers and utilities.
Sector In-Depth
13 Jul 2022|Moody's Investors Service
An outright half of gas supplies would at least lead to a recession and higher fiscal deficits and public debt.
SECTOR IN-DEPTH
14 Jun 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Covid lockdowns in China and the invasion of Ukraine exacerbated automotive supply chain problems and will hurt vehicle sales for the year.
SECTOR IN-DEPTH
31 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Further energy cuts or cyberattacks are the most likely outcomes of escalating tensions with Russia, but credit-negative effects would be limited to the sovereigns most reliant on Russian energy. However, the unlikely scenario of a wider military conflict involving EU or NATO countries would have much larger credit effects for a wider group.
Outlook
17 Jan 2023|Moody's Investors Service
Geopolitical risks will remain a dominant credit theme for this region as the evolution of Russia's military conflict in Ukraine and related sanctions weigh on neighboring countries.
Outlook
16 Jan 2023|Moody's Investors Service
A recession together with widening fiscal deficits on average will keep debt burdens well above pre-pandemic levels. The energy crisis also poses a prolonged terms-of-trade shock.
SECTOR IN-DEPTH
11 Aug 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Although most countries could avoid rationing energy in response, all would feel the inflationary and negative growth effects of a European gas supply shock.
SECTOR IN-DEPTH
02 Aug 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Inflation in the EU has accelerated to levels not seen since the mid-1980s. Weak policy capabilities heighten risks of inflation becoming engrained in some EU countries.
Sector In-Depth
01 Aug 2022|Moody's Investors Service
The credit effects of reduced Russian gas supply will vary by sector and issuer, with the largest effects on sovereigns and corporates.
Outlook
26 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
We have lowered our global growth projections and raised our inflation forecasts for 2022 and 2023 on the confluence of several negative factors hitting the world economy.
Sector Comment
25 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Key takeaways from the commercial aviation conferences in Dublin.
11 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Aurelien Mali and Kathrin Muehlbronner of the Sovereign team join host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the sociopolitical ramifications of the Russia-Ukraine crisis for the Middle East and Africa by drawing lessons from a similar global food and energy price shock in 2008. Plus, they discuss how the conflict is exacerbating an already precarious situation in Turkey.
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Issuer In-Depth
07 Jun 2022|Moody's Investors Service
The Russian invasion has severely disrupted the economy and public finances. International support is forthcoming but debt will likely prove unsustainable, raising risks of a restructuring.
Outlook
26 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
We have lowered our global growth projections and raised our inflation forecasts for 2022 and 2023 on the confluence of several negative factors hitting the world economy.
Sector In-Depth
25 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
SMEs' relatively small sizes and moderate pricing power, combined in many cases with relatively weaker financials, make them more susceptible to market price shocks than large companies.
Sector In-Depth
10 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service
Facing current high inflation, central banks must anchor inflation over the medium term. This report finds evidence that inflation targeting has had an impact across G-20 economies.
Moody's Analytics
New sanctions imposed on Russian entities and individuals affect supply chains, vendor management, and operations throughout the global business community. Learn how Moody’s Analytics can help you adapt to these rules in a rapidly changing environment.