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Dietmar Hornung
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European Union – Rising Challenges to Growth and Integration


The European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face a challenging growth outlook and the risk of political fragmentation is rising. This page presents Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning growth and stability challenges within the EU.

 

 

 

Highlights

  • 23 Mar 2017
    • French presidential candidates' diverse policies carry mixed credit implications
      The French presidential election candidates' broad range of policy proposals could have material credit implications - both positive and negative - for the country's rated sectors.
      Press Release l Full Report
  • 22 Mar 2017
    • Brexit’s credit impact is modest and manageable for most UK issuers
      The credit implications of the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union are likely to remain modest and manageable for most UK issuers in our central scenario. Press Release l Full Report
  • 10 Mar 2017
    • Fiscal and economic policy will most likely determine France’s post-election credit profile
      Our analysis of the upcoming presidential and legislative elections in France (Aa2 stable) will most likely focus on the credit implications of the outcome for the country's fiscal and economic strength, given the different policies promised by the various presidential candidates. The risk that the outcome will lead to France exiting the euro area remains low. Full Report

Research & Ratings

Research
  DateDocument Type Title Issuer/Entity
22 Mar 2017 Sector Comment Cross-Sector - United Kingdom: Credit Impact of Brexit Will Be Modest and Manageable for Most UK Issuers If Shared Interests of UK, EU Underpin Deal
10 Mar 2017 Issuer In-Depth Government of France: Post-Election Credit Analysis Most Likely To Focus On Fiscal and Economic Policy; Exit Risk Remains Low For Now France, Government of
07 Mar 2017 Sector Comment Euro Area Issuers : FAQ: Insights on How Euro Area Exit Risk is Reflected in Moody's Ratings
03 Mar 2017 Credit Opinion Government of Luxembourg – Aaa Stable: Update following rating affirmation Luxembourg, Government of
03 Mar 2017 Credit Opinion Government of Belgium – Aa3 Stable: Update Following Affirmation of Rating and Outlook Belgium, Government of
02 Mar 2017 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector - Netherlands: Robust Credit Fundamentals Would Withstand Prolonged Political Impasse Netherlands, Government of
02 Mar 2017 Issuer In-Depth Government of Ireland: “Hard” Brexit and US Tax Changes Are Key Risks for Ireland's Otherwise Improving Credit Metrics Ireland, Government of
02 Mar 2017 Issuer Comment Germany's Debt Reduction Accelerates with Third Consecutive Fiscal Surplus Germany, Government of
24 Feb 2017 Credit Opinion Government of Germany – Aaa stable: Update Following Affirmation of Rating and Outlook Germany, Government of
23 Feb 2017 Sector In-Depth European Credit Trends: Rising Political Risk, Slow Economic Growth Cast Shade on Outlook For 2017
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