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Madhavi Bokil
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Madhavi.Bokil@moodys.com

Elena Duggar
Associate MD – Credit Strategy
Elena.Duggar@moodys.com

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Positive Growth Momentum: Fiscal and Monetary Policies, Trade, and Commodity Prices

Highlights

  • 27 Feb 2018
    • Global economic growth will hit a high-water mark in 2018
      We raised our global growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019, incorporating stronger-than-expected economic data and a likely pickup from additional US fiscal stimulus. Growth will peak in 2018 and moderate slightly in 2019 as gently rising inflation prompts tighter monetary policy. Full Report
  • 8 Nov 2017
    • Global growth will be broad-based in 2018
      We expect stable global macroeconomic conditions in the year ahead, allowing for broad-based economic expansion. We forecast 2018 growth of 2% for G20 advanced economies and 5.2% for emerging markets​. Full Report l Infographic
  • 15 Sep 2017
    • Central banks will unwind monetary accommodation without disrupting markets
      The Fed, ECB and BoJ will take different paths to shrinking their balance sheets and normalizing monetary policy, but a transparent and gradual approach, and a global scarcity of safe assets, will temper the impact on financial markets.   Press Release  l  Full Report

Research & Ratings

Research
  DateDocument Type Title Issuer/Entity
17 May 2018 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector - France: Planned reforms and more sustainable fiscal policy improve outlook for domestic issuers
09 May 2018 Sector In-Depth Regional & Local Governments – India : Development of municipal bond market would support infrastructure investment, but key challenges remain India, Government of
16 Apr 2018 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector - Brazil: Rebounding economy will boost credit fundamentals, but fiscal challenges remain
27 Feb 2018 Outlook Global Macro Outlook: 2018-2019 (February 2018 Update): Growth will hit a high-water mark in 2018 as inflation and interest rates gently rise
08 Jan 2018 Issuer Comment Government of Pakistan: Further currency depreciation would raise financing costs and inflation short term, enhance competitiveness longer term Pakistan, Government of
22 Dec 2017 Issuer Comment Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk (P.T.): Acquisitions of Bitratex and Primayudha Mandirijaya are credit positive Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk (P.T.)
08 Nov 2017 Outlook Global Macroeconomic Update (2018-19): Broadening emerging market recovery and stable growth in advanced economies
13 Sep 2017 Sector In-Depth Monetary Policy - US, Euro Area, Japan: FAQ on central bank policy normalization likely to proceed without market disruption
30 Aug 2017 Outlook Global Macroeconomic Outlook (August 2017 Update): Above-potential growth in advanced economies propels economic expansion
30 Aug 2017 Announcement Moody's: Euro area to achieve above-potential growth over next two years as major economies accelerate
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