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Madhavi Bokil
VP-Senior Analyst/CSR
Madhavi.Bokil@moodys.com

Elena Duggar
Associate MD – Credit Strategy
Elena.Duggar@moodys.com

Positive Growth Momentum: Fiscal and Monetary Policies, Trade, and Commodity Prices

Highlights

  • 20 Sep 2018
    • New US tariffs on $200 billion of imports are credit negative for Chinese and US companies
      The new tariffs mark a significant escalation of the ongoing trade dispute between the two countries and apply to a broad spectrum of Chinese products. Full Report​​​​​​​​​
  • 27 Feb 2018
    • Global economic growth will hit a high-water mark in 2018
      We raised our global growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019, incorporating stronger-than-expected economic data and a likely pickup from additional US fiscal stimulus. Growth will peak in 2018 and moderate slightly in 2019 as gently rising inflation prompts tighter monetary policy. Full Report
  • 8 Nov 2017
    • Global growth will be broad-based in 2018
      We expect stable global macroeconomic conditions in the year ahead, allowing for broad-based economic expansion. We forecast 2018 growth of 2% for G20 advanced economies and 5.2% for emerging markets​. Full Report l Infographic

Research & Ratings

Research
  DateDocument Type Title Issuer/Entity
24 Sep 2018 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector - US and China: Tariff escalation will take a toll on Chinese and US industries, particularly for US companies with large China exposure
19 Sep 2018 Sector Comment Cross-Sector - US and China: New US tariffs on $200 billion of imports are credit negative for Chinese and US companies
18 Sep 2018 Issuer In-Depth Government of China: Renminbi depreciation has no immediate credit impact; expanded policy tools to manage rise in volatility over time
 The document has been translated in other languages

China, Government of
12 Sep 2018 Sector In-Depth State of the US Consumer: Trends & credit implications (Presentation)
05 Sep 2018 Issuer Comment Government of South Africa : Economy's slide into recession increases policy challenges South Africa, Government of
29 Aug 2018 Sector Comment State and local government - US: Infrastructure spending remains low relative to GDP, a credit negative
29 Aug 2018 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector – India : Fiscal and external pressure from higher oil prices and interest rates mitigated by robust growth and domestic savings
22 Aug 2018 Outlook Global Macro Outlook: 2018-19 (August 2018 Update): Growth will remain solid in the near term, but early indications suggest it has peaked
20 Aug 2018 Sector Comment Cross-Sector - US: New US law widens restrictions on foreign investment in the US and exports of US-developed technology, a credit negative
14 Aug 2018 Sector In-Depth Financial Institutions - US: Pulse of Consumer Credit: Household debt growth comes further in line with GDP growth, a credit positive
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