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Madhavi Bokil
VP-Senior Analyst/CSR

Elena Duggar
Associate MD – Credit Strategy

Positive Growth Momentum: Fiscal and Monetary Policies, Trade, and Commodity Prices


  • 20 Sep 2018
    • New US tariffs on $200 billion of imports are credit negative for Chinese and US companies
      The new tariffs mark a significant escalation of the ongoing trade dispute between the two countries and apply to a broad spectrum of Chinese products. Full Report​​​​​​​​​
  • 27 Feb 2018
    • Global economic growth will hit a high-water mark in 2018
      We raised our global growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019, incorporating stronger-than-expected economic data and a likely pickup from additional US fiscal stimulus. Growth will peak in 2018 and moderate slightly in 2019 as gently rising inflation prompts tighter monetary policy. Full Report
  • 8 Nov 2017
    • Global growth will be broad-based in 2018
      We expect stable global macroeconomic conditions in the year ahead, allowing for broad-based economic expansion. We forecast 2018 growth of 2% for G20 advanced economies and 5.2% for emerging markets​. Full Report l Infographic

Research & Ratings

  DateDocument Type Title Issuer/Entity
19 Nov 2018 Sector In-Depth Financial Institutions - US: Pulse of Consumer Credit: Solid household debt performance obscures growing risks
15 Nov 2018 Sector In-Depth Government of China: Deleveraging to slow as growth weakens; government to take on more spending responsibilities in the long run
 The document has been translated in other languages

China, Government of
14 Nov 2018 Sector In-Depth Sovereigns – Africa: China's lending supports growth, exacerbates fiscal and external pressures in Sub-Saharan Africa Angola, Governm...
Cameroon, Gover...
China, Governme...
Ethiopia, Gover...
Gabon, Governme...
Ghana, Governme...
Kenya, Governme...
Nigeria, Govern...
Republic of the...
Uganda, Governm...
12 Nov 2018 Outlook Cross-Sector - Global: 2019 Outlook - Global credit conditions to weaken amid slowing growth and rising risks
30 Oct 2018 Sector In-Depth Cross-Sector - Italy: Budget plan fails to provide safeguards for economic growth, a credit negative for domestic issuers
25 Oct 2018 Outlook US Retail : Going positive as investments start bearing fruit and economy boosts growth
24 Oct 2018 Outlook Steel – Russia: Stable outlook on continuing GDP recovery and planned state infrastructure projects
24 Oct 2018 Sector In-Depth Non-financial companies - Russia: Subdued economic growth and sanctions keep key corporate sector outlooks stable
23 Oct 2018 Sector In-Depth Financial Institutions - US: Pulse of Consumer Credit: Charge-off picture continues to improve
23 Oct 2018 Outlook Retail — Europe: Economic conditions continue to support stable outlook despite high competition
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