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Emerging drivers, enduring risks
China is pushing the development of new growth drivers, including electric vehicles and clean energy, but it faces challenges in the road ahead.
It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit.
Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America.
It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit.
China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories.
The technology aligns with Shariah principles on transparency, reducing fraud and streamlining compliance, though digital assets' potential for anonymity and speculation pose a challenge.
Rated real estate companies' aggregate credit metrics will remain stable even as macroeconomic conditions slow. Liquidity remains supported by funding access and long-dated debt maturities.
An update of issuance and performance trends in the Chinese structured finance sector.
We expect economic growth to slow across several major EMs in 2024 as these economies transition to a post-pandemic steady growth path.
Saudi Arabia and Malaysia will lead a decline in issuance volumes in 2024, while Indonesia will drive a slight increase in issuance in 2025.
Policy uncertainties around trade, unforeseen events like coronavirus outbreak, as well as long-term structural challenges pose credit risks to China, increasing credit differentiation between domestic regions and sectors.
Islamic Finance is an important part of global capital markets in view of the rising demand in the Middle East and Asia. The sector seeks to encourage investment and financing that conforms with the ethical and moral principles of the Islamic faith.
Únase a los experimentados analistas y destacados expertos de la industria para comprender a profundidad los factores que influirán en las perspectivas crediticias del país en 2024.
Explore the global economic shifts and delve into the unravelling credit and growth prospects in the GCC and emerging markets. All this, amidst the backdrop of the evolving digital economy.
Moody’s Global Emerging Markets virtual event will delve into the complex dynamics of emerging markets in 2024 and identify credit opportunities across the globe.