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Default rate in emerging markets varies across countries, reflecting country risk
February 14, 2019(5.34mins)
Joyce Jiang, Sharon Ou
In this episode of Moody’s Talks, Sharon Ou, a Vice President in the Credit Strategy and Standards Group, and Joyce Jiang, an Associate Analyst in the group, discuss the credit performance and default rates of nonfinancial companies in emerging markets. In addition to firm-specific factors, developments at the country level affect emerging market corporate default rates. Amid rising credit challenges, countries with structural weakness and less-strong financial metrics in the corporate sector will show greater vulnerability.​
Nonfinancial Corporates – Emerging Market Corporate Default and Recovery Rates, 1995 - 2018
​​Defaults among emerging market nonfinancial companies are low overall, but tightening global financial conditions and heightened political risks will pose challenges to credit performance.​
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