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Early warning signs of default accelerate for speculative-grade companies in EMEA
February 13th, 2020 (6 mins)
Richard Morawetz
Sandra Veseli and Richard Morawetz discuss risks to nonfinancial corporate credit quality in EMEA. Excessive leverage and exposure to a cyclical downturn are among the early warning signs of potential default.​
Early warning signs accelerate as the global economy decelerates
​With defaults set to rise in EMEA, early warning signs exhibited by speculative-grade companies provide advance indicators of potential trouble ahead. Excessive leverage for a company’s rating and exposure to a cyclical downturn are the most prevalent signs, with both particularly pertinent in the context of slower economic growth. ​