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Late cycle risks will build in US consumer ABS in 2019
December 13th 2018 (6.24mins)
Nicky Dang, Jody Shenn
In this installment of our series, Moody’s Senior Vice President Nicky Dang and Vice President Jody Shenn discuss our outlook for the US Consumer ABS market next year.
Consumer ABS – US 2019: Outlook – Credit quality will be stable to weakening, as late cycle risks build and economy buoys performance
Many factors will affect the credit quality and performance of US consumer ABS next year, some of which will cut across sectors while others will be specific to individual asset classes.
View Previous Episodes
Green financing in the structured finance market Moody's issues its first green bond assessment for a covered bond US mortgage originations show continued strength but vulnerabilities are growing RMBS - Europe: Anglo-Dutch mortgage market trends will extend into other countries A discussion on the use of utility cost recovery through securitization and its credit benefits Covered bonds - Luxembourg: New legal framework offers dual recourse credit strength for renewable energy funding An introduction to the CLO market Risks of shrinking TPR reviews UK Open Banking initiative’s implications for UK consumer underwriting Securitized transactions face the challenge of high household debt levels in Australia, New Zealand, Korea and China Spectrum and Wireless Tower ABS - Supporting mobile communication An introduction to the US credit card ABS market REITs – US: Multifamily REITs’ credit profiles remain strong, despite pressure from higher supply Interest-only mortgages - United Kingdom older loan borrowers face refinancing risk; equity release product is an option for some Covered bonds – Europe: Europe moves closer to credit positive harmonization of covered bond standards ABS backed to battery electric vehicle leases face higher residual value uncertainty Decreased affordability will lead to a slowdown in UK house price growth Rising household indebtedness and a weaker macro outlook will weaken UK consumer deal performance How the US retail industry’s evolution affects CMBS and other securitizations Analysis of the key credit drivers in equipment ABS Which key features create stronger non-performing loan transactions
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