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Rising insecurity in Mexico poses significant credit risks for states, regional economies, and the oil and lodging industries
March 6th 2019 (8.32mins)
Alonso Sanchez Rosario, Sandra Beltran, Matthew Walter
In this episode of Moody’s Talks, Vice President and Senior Analyst Alonso Sanchez Rosario and AVP-Analyst Sandra Beltran, both in the Corporate Finance Group, and Matthew Walter, an AVP-Analyst in the Sub-Sovereign Group, discuss credit challenges stemming from Mexico’s increasing rates of violence, which have been caused primarily by conflicts among drug trafficking organizations as well as clashes with police and the military. In instances where violence weakens state and municipal economic activity, this can create negative spillovers for public finances such as falling tax revenues. In the corporate sector, increasing insecurity, robbery and travel warnings hurt Mexican companies’ top lines and profitability, and will particularly weaken revenue and margins. ​​​​
Non-Financial Companies - Mexico Insecurity poses greatest risk for oil and lodging but causes broad logistical problems
Insecurity in Mexico has intensified. Higher expenses and costs are consequences of business interruption, robbery to businesses, road freight transport, and damage to life and safety.