RATING AFFECTS $35 MILLION IN OUTSTANDING PARTIY DEBT
Municipality
CT
Moody's Rating
ISSUE | RATING |
General Obligation Bonds, Issue of 2011 | Aa2 |
Sale Amount | $14,000,000 |
Expected Sale Date | 08/02/11 |
Rating Description | General Obligation |
|
General Obligation Bond Anticipation Notes, Series 2011 | MIG 1 |
Sale Amount | $51,350,000 |
Expected Sale Date | 08/02/11 |
Rating Description | Bond Anticipation Notes |
|
Opinion
NEW YORK, Jul 25, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned an Aa2 rating to the Town of
Waterford's (CT) $14 million General Obligation Bonds, Issue of 2011 and a MIG 1
rating to $51.4 million General Obligation Bond Anticipation Notes (BANs) (dated
8/11/2011, due March 20, 2012). Concurrently, Moody's has affirmed the Aa2
rating on $35 million of outstanding general obligation debt. The bonds and the
notes are secured by the town's unlimited ad valorem tax pledge. Bond and note
proceeds will refund maturing notes for elementary school renovations and
additions and finance additional projects pertaining to the town's other school
construction projects.
SUMMARY RATING RATIONALE
The Aa2 rating reflects the town's demonstrated ability to manage the fiscal
impact of significant taxpayer concentration while maintaining healthy reserve
levels and operating stability over a long-term period. The long-term rating
also factors the town's sound financial position and healthy reserve levels
guided by formal fiscal policies and the stabilization of the town's taxable
valuation following the settlement of a multi-year appeal from the largest
taxpayer, a nuclear power plant. The MIG 1 rating reflects the
aforementioned underlying long-term credit characteristics with the town's
demonstrated history of market access.
STRENGTHS
-Satisfactory financial reserves
-Stable, moderately-sized tax base
CHALLENGES
-Maintenance of financial reserves despite aggressive pay-go support of ongoing
capital projects
DEMONSTRATED MARKET ACCESS FOR NOTES
The town remains a frequent borrower in the short-term debt market. Solid market
access was demonstrated at the last public note sale, August 2010, at which the
town received six bids. Previously, the town received four bids for its 2009
note sale and five for its 2008 sale. This strong level of market access is
expected to allow the town to roll the current notes at maturity (3/20/2012) or
to refinance them with long-term debt.
SIZABLE AND HIGHLY CONCENTRATED TAX BASE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STABLE
Waterford's tax base has stabilized and benefits from ongoing growth
following the significant valuation decline of its largest taxpayer,
Dominion Nuclear Connecticut's (Dominion Resources Inc. - Sr. Unsec.
Baa2/Stable) Millstone Power Station. Effective fiscal 2003, the town's net
taxable grand list declined 40% to $1.9 billion (from a peak $3.2 billion in the
prior year) due to the deregulation of the nuclear power industry and the
resulting depreciation of the plant's property. Following the significant loss
of value tied to the power plant, the town's net taxable grand list increased by
a healthy 30% in fiscal 2004 with town-wide reassessment. Most recent five-year
average growth from fiscal 2006 through 2010 has since remained stable at 3.2%
due to ongoing commercial and residential development. Additionally, Dominion
annually appealed its $1.2 billion tax assessment and exercised its statutory
right to pay only a portion of the annual tax levy billed by the town. Effective
fiscal 2009 and concurrent with the town's five-year reassessment cycle, the
town reached a settlement with Dominion that secures its current tax assessment
at $1.07 billion. Prior to deregulation, the Dominion plant
represented approximately 85% of the tax base; while the plant now comprises a
more moderate 30%, the town's tax base remains concentrated in this single
taxpayer. Town officials report that the plant's long-term operating stability
is confirmed by its integral role in regional power production - producing
approximately 35% of power in the State of Connecticut (G.O. rated
Aa2/Negative) - and by the recent 20-year extension of the plant's
federal license.
Following the town's reassessment in fiscal 2009, assessed value has remained
stable with annual increases of less than 1%. Equalized net grand list (ENGL)
for fiscal 2010 totaled $5 billion down slightly from the prior year due to the
state's equalization calculation. As such, the continuing growth, albeit
minimal, in the town's assessed value ($3.7 billion for fiscal 2012) is a better
indication for tax base health.
The town's emergence as a regional retail center is anchored by the one million
square-foot Crystal Mall, recently-constructed retail-lifestyle centers, and a
local transportation network that includes Interstates 95 and 395. A majority of
town residents commute to regional employment hubs anchored by health
science, naval defense, and gaming; recessionary contraction in various sectors
has increased town unemployment to 9.0% as of April 2011, above historical
averages but still below the statewide 9.1% rate.
HEALTHY FINANCIAL POSITION SUPPORTED BY FISCAL POLICIES AND LONG-TERM PLANNING
The Town of Waterford's conservative budgeting approach and prudent
management practices have contributed to the maintenance of a healthy financial
position during recent years, despite revenue pressures related to
deregulation and the multi-year assessment appeal of its largest
taxpayer. During fiscal 2008, the town reached a settlement with Dominion that
secures the plant's tax assessment going forward and stabilizes the financial
operations of the General Fund. In June 2008 the town received $9.25 million in
prior-year tax withholdings from Dominion, replenishing the majority of previous
fund balance draws. The balance of unrealized tax revenues from fiscal 2004 to
2007 was offset by the one-time receipt of an additional $3.2 million in System
Benefit Charge (SBC) revenues during fiscal 2009. The SBC is a state-managed
revenue source established to mitigate the impact of deregulation by providing
the town with a revenue subsidy that incrementally declines by 10% annually,
beginning in fiscal 2003 and ending in fiscal 2011, to allow for a phase-in of
the tax-loss impact due to deregulation.
Since its peak in fiscal 2008, the town has opted to use a portion of its ample
reserves towards transfers to its Capital and Nonrecurring Expenditure Fund to
defray costs of its school building project and minimize additional borrowing
per the town's established plans to apply one-time Dominion funds to
non-recurring uses. Outside of these transfers, the town has remained
structurally balanced with operating surpluses offsetting the impact of the
capital transfers on reserves. Fiscal 2010 ended with a healthy unreserved fund
balance of $10.5 million or 14.4% of General Fund revenues, albeit below
its fiscal 2008 peak of $19.4 million or 25% of revenues.
At the close of fiscal 2011 (fiscal year end June 30), the town anticipates an
operating deficit of approximately $262,000 which inclusive of a $1.8 million
capital transfer and unanticipated increases in pension costs. While preliminary
fund balance figures are unavailable due to the implementation of GASB 54, the
town intends to establish a Stabilization Fund of at least 13% of
expenditures which is consistent with their prior policy.
The fiscal 2012 budget, a 3.2% increase over the prior year, is balanced with a
5% property tax increase and no use of fund balance. The budget also includes
the continuation of capital transfers of $1.7 million and the loss of $1 million
SBC subsidy. Going forward, the town continues to address a $2 million deficit
in its self-insurance fund and continued increases in its state-administered
pension plan projected to be in the range of 25% annually.
MANAGEABLE DEBT BURDEN SUPPORTED BY PAY-AS-YOU-GO CAPITAL FUNDING
Moody's anticipates that the town's overall debt burden, at 1.7% of the ENGL,
will remain manageable despite future borrowing plans, given a comprehensive
six-year capital program that includes a substantial pay-as-you-go component.
The current offering is part of the town's comprehensive school expansion and
renovation program, which includes pay-go funding of $27.8 million and local
bonding of $105.1 million over a multi-year period, including debt issuances
through 2016. The town annually dedicates 2 mills of its tax rate for debt
service and pay-go capital projects, including $1.7 million budgeted in
fiscal 2012. Moody's believes that the significant role of pay-go funding,
continuing adherence to adopted fund balance policies, and the currently low
debt burden will allow the town to accommodate the planned additional borrowing
without a material impact on credit quality. Amortization of principal is below
average, with 55% retired within 10 years, however in line with the useful life
of the assets being financed. All outstanding debt is fixed-rate and the town is
not party to any derivative agreements.
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO UP
-Significant improvement of the underlying tax base
-Sizeable fund balance growth
WHAT COULD MAKE THE RATING GO DOWN
-Significant financial deterioration
-Decrease in tax base
KEY STATISTICS
2010 population: 19,517
Fiscal 2010 Equalized Net Grand List: $5 billion
1999 Per Capita Income: $26,807 (93% of the state, 124% of the U.S.)
1999 Median Family Income: $65,659 (100% of the state, 131% of the U.S.)
Debt burden: 1.7%
Payout of principal (10 years): 55%
FY 2010 Total General Fund balance: $11.1 million (15.3% of revenues)
FY 2010 Unreserved General Fund balance: $10.5 million (14.4% of revenues)
Long-term G.O. debt outstanding: $49.1 million
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY USED
The principal methodology used in this rating was General Obligation
Bonds Issued by U.S. Local Governments published in October 2009. Please see the
Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology .
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this
announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating
of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of
debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from
existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued
on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory
disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in
relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional
ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in
relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a
definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the
debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not
changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that
would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings
tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following: parties
involved in the ratings, [and] public information.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated
entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on Moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some Credit Ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's Investors Service's Credit Ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's Investors Service provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see the Credit Policy page on Moodys.com for the methodologies used in determining ratings, further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Analysts
Dora Lee
Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
Geordie Thompson
Backup Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
Naomi Richman
Senior Credit Officer
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
Contacts
Journalists: (212) 553-0376
Research Clients: (212) 553-1653
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
USA
MOODY'S ASSIGNS Aa2 RATING WATERFORD'S (CT) $14 MILLION GO BONDS AND MIG 1 TO $51.4 MILLION GO BOND ANTICIPATION NOTES