MOODY'S CHANGES RATING OUTLOOK FOR THE U.S. LIFE INSURANCE INDUSTRY TO NEGATIVE FROM STABLE
Several Groups' Ratings and Outlooks Affected
New York, September 06, 2002 -- Moody's Investors Service has changed its outlook for the US life insurance
industry to negative from stable based on the existence of several negative
trends and credit issues facing the sector. The rating agency has
also placed a number of companies on review for possible downgrade and
changed the outlooks on several other companies.
Moody's will continue to monitor the industry and will take additional
rating and outlook actions as necessary. The rating agency's updated
views on the US life industry will be available early next week in a new
report titled: "Moody's Changes Outlook for U.S. Life
Insurance Industry to Negative".
"The current environment is an especially harsh one for the life insurance
industry, with pressure on its earnings capacity and capital,"
says Robert Riegel, Moody's managing director for life & health
insurance. "Credit losses from companies' investment portfolios
and the impact of depressed stock markets on equity-based products
and businesses, combined with management actions to improve GAAP
earnings and shareholder returns, could put further strain on the
industry's creditworthiness and financial flexibility," Riegel says.
Riegel emphasizes that the industry maintains many significant strengths
supporting its high average ratings (average financial strength rating
at Aa3/A1) including well diversified and high quality investments as
well as solid capital and liquidity, and that some of the negative
trends may dissipate and reverse. However, Moody's believes
that the uncertainty surrounding many of these credit issues warrants
a number of rating reviews and outlook changes at this time.
If the negative trends continue or worsen, Moody's believes some
companies' ratings may have to be adjusted modestly downward as the current
ratings do not incorporate the diminished levels of earnings and capital
formation that are likely under a negative scenario.
"The increased frequency of bond defaults, problem credits,
and rating downgrades despite good portfolio diversification has placed
pressure on investment portfolio performance, with investment losses
eroding a significant portion of some company's core earnings,"
Riegel cautions. "The combination of an uncertain economic environment
with heightened credit concerns about many large issuers of corporate
debt in the telecommunications and energy trading sectors indicates that
investment losses for insurers are likely to remain at elevated levels
over the near-term.
The rating agency adds that the impact of the depressed stock market on
equity-based products, primarily variable annuities,
will continue to be a drag on companies' earnings. Riegel warns
that "not only will earnings fall as the amount of assets under management
declines, but additional charges to earnings and capital are increasingly
likely. This is because of reserve requirements for annuity secondary
guarantees, particularly on guaranteed death benefits, and
the accelerated amortization, or write-off, of GAAP
deferred acquisition costs due to recoverability issues".
Moody's has focused on both the liquidity and spread compression risks
inherent in life insurers' institutional investment product business for
the past few years. The rating agency believes, however,
that these risks are heightened in today's environment of higher credit
losses and the greater potential for market turmoil. These facts
add to the uncertainty involved with funding new business and liquidating
large amounts of investments over a short time period.
Moody's also believes that there is an increasing divergence in the credit
profile and ratings of stock versus mutual life insurers, especially
in the case of recently demutualized companies.
"Stockholder demands for earnings growth and higher returns on equity
are causing companies to redeploy capital, increase their use of
debt, and return excess capital to shareholders through share repurchase
programs-actions which tend to reduce the insurer's capital cushion,
flexibility, and overall creditworthiness," Riegel says.
The vast majority of the rating actions announced today and in recent
weeks affect stock companies.
Moody's cautions, however, that the exposure of life insurers
to these heightened risks must be evaluated on a company-specific
basis, and should include an analysis of its mix of business,
earnings capacity, capital adequacy, use of financial leverage,
and organizational structure (e.g. stock or mutual).
Riegel explains that investment losses will be of less consequence,
and less concerning to Moody's, if the company writes primarily
participating whole life business and has limited financial leverage as
compared to an insurer that sells primarily institutional investment products
and carries significant debt in its capital structure.
It is still possible that the negative trends in credit losses and equity
markets could reverse in the near term, but it is Moody's view that
there will be little improvement in the coming months. Earnings
and capital formation are likely to be constrained for the near term,
Moody's believes, heightening the credit risks for both the policyholders
and creditors of US life insurance companies.
RATING ACTIONS
The ratings of the following groups were placed under review for possible
downgrade:
John Hancock Financial Services Inc.-A2 senior debt;
Prime-1 commercial paper
Investors Partner Life Insurance Co-Aa2 insurance financial strength
(IFSR)
John Hancock Life Insurance Company-Aa2 IFSR; Aa3 senior debt;
A1 surplus notes
John Hancock Global Funding II-Aa2 backed debt
John Hancock Variable Life Insurance Co-Aa2 IFSR
Phoenix Companies Inc.-A3 senior debt
Phoenix Life Insurance Company-Aa3 IFSR; A2 surplus notes
The following rating outlooks were changed to negative from stable:
American Enterprise Life Insurance Co-Aa3 IFSR
IDS Life insurance Co-Aa3 IFSR
IDS Life Insurance Co of New York-Aa3 IFSR
AmerUs Group Co--Baa3 senior debt
AmerUs Life Insurance Company-A3 IFSR
American Investors Life Insurance Co-A3 IFSR
Delta Life & Annuity Co-A3 IFSR
Indianapolis Life Insurance Co-A3 IFSR; Baa2 surplus notes
Guardian Life Insurance Company of America-Aa1 IFSR
Guardian Insurance & Annuity Co Inc.-Aa1 IFSR
MetLife Inc.-A2 senior debt; Prime-1 commercial
paper
General American Life Insurance Co-Aa2 IFSR
Metropolitan Life Insurance Company-Aa2 IFSR
Metropolitan Life Global Funding I-Aa2 backed debt
MetLife Investors Insurance Co-Aa2 IFSR
New England Life Insurance Co-Aa2 IFSR
Structured Asset Repackaged Trust Series 2001-3 & 2001-4--Aa2
backed debt
MONY Group, Inc.-Baa2 senior debt; Prime-2
commercial paper
MONY Life Insurance Company-A2 IFSR
MONY Life Insurance Co of America-A2 IFSR
Presidential Life Corp.--Ba1 senior debt
Presidential Life Insurance Company-Baa1 IFSR
The rating outlooks were changed to stable from positive:
Pacific Life Insurance Company-Aa3 IFSR; A2 surplus note
Pacific Life Life & Annuity Co-Aa3 IFSR
Pacific Life Funding LLC-Aa3 backed debt
Security Benefit Life Company-A2 IFSR; Baa1 surplus note
The following rating actions and outlook changes had previously been announced
by Moody's:
Aegon USA Life Insurance Group
AUSA Life Insurance Co, Inc.-changed outlook on Aa3
IFSR to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Stonebridge Life Insurance Co-changed outlook on Aa3 IFSR to stable
from positive on 7/23/02
Life Investors Insurance Co of America-changed outlook on Aa3 IFSR
to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Monumental Life Insurance Co-changed outlook on Aa3 IFSR to stable
from positive on 7/23/02
Monumental Global Funding Ltd-changed outlook on Aa3 backed debt
to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Monumental Global Funding II-changed outlook on Aa3 backed debt
to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Peoples Benefit Life insurance Co-changed outlook on Aa3 IFSR to
stable from positive on 7/23/02
Transamerica Life Insurance & Annuity Co-changed outlook on
Aa3 IFSR to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Transamerica Life Insurance Co-changed outlook on Aa3 IFSR to stable
from positive on 7/23/02
Transamerica Occidental Life Insurance Co-changed outlook on Aa3
IFSR to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Western Reserve Life Assurance Co of Ohio-changed outlook on Aa3
IFSR to stable from positive on 7/23/02
Allmerica Financial Corp-downgraded to Baa2 senior debt on 7/22/02
Allmerica Financial Life & Annuity Co-downgraded to A3 IFSR
on 7/22/02
First Allmerica Financial Life Insurance Co-downgraded to A3 IFSR
on 7/22/02
Premium Asset Trust Series 1999-1; 2000-4--downgraded
to A3 backed debt on 7/22/02
Horace Mann Life Insurance Co-outlook on A2 IFSR was changed to
negative from stable on 7/25/02
Principal Financial Services Inc.-review for downgrade on
8/26/02: guaranteed A2 senior debt; Prime-1commercial
paper
Principal Life Insurance Company-review for downgrade on 8/26/02:
Aa2 IFSR; A1 surplus notes
Principal Financial Global Funding LLC-review for downgrade on
8/26/02: Aa2 backed debt
Principal Life Global Funding I--review for downgrade on
8/26/02: Aa2 backed debt
UnumProvident Inc.-review for downgrade on 8/23/02:
Baa2 senior debt; Prime-2 commerical paper
Colonial Life & Accident Insurance Co-review for downgrade
on 8/23/02: A2 IFSR
First UNUM Life Insurance Co-review for possible downgrade on 8/23/02-A2
IFSR
Paul Revere Life Insurance Co-- review for possible downgrade
on 8/23/02-A2 IFSR
Paul Revere Variable Annuity Ins Co-- review for possible
downgrade on 8/23/02-A2 IFSR
Provident Life & Accident Insurance Co-review for possible
downgrade on 8/23/02-A2 IFSR
UNUM Life Insurance of America-- review for downgrade on
8/23/02: A2 IFSR
NOTE TO JOURNALISTS: For a copy of this report, please contact
New York Press Information +1-212-553-0376;
London Press Information +44-20-7772-5454;
David Frohriep in Paris +33-1-5330-1062;
Juan Pablo Soriano in Madrid +34-91-310-1454;
Michael Buneman in Milan +39-0258-215-599;
Anita Poppi in Sydney +612-9270-8190; Juergen
Berblinger in Frankfurt +49-69-707-30-700;
Tokyo Press Information +813-5408-4110; Hilary
Parkes in Toronto +1-416-214-1635; Lorraine
Yee in Hong Kong +852-2916-1112; Luiz Tess in
São Paulo +55-11-3443-7473; or Benito
Solis in Mexico City +525-261-8784. Clients
may also visit our website at www.moodys.com
New York
Robert Riegel
Managing Director
Life Insurance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
New York
Patrick Finnegan
Senior Vice President
Life Insurance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653