STABLE OUTLOOK APPLIES TO CURRENT APPROXIMATELY $1.98 BILLION OF OUTSTANDING DEBT
Municipality
SC
Moody's Rating
ISSUE | RATING |
Revenue Bonds, Series 2010A | A1 |
Sale Amount | $187,845,000 |
Expected Sale Date | 11/16/10 |
Rating Description | Senior Lien Revenue Bonds |
|
Revenue Bonds, Series 2010B | A1 |
Sale Amount | $33,775,000 |
Expected Sale Date | 11/16/10 |
Rating Description | Senior Lien Revenue Bonds |
|
Opinion
NEW YORK, Nov 8, 2010 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned a rating of A1 and stable outlook to the
South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure Bank's Revenue Refunding Bonds,
Series 2010. The issue consists of two parts, a $188 million component for new
projects and $33.775 million to advance refund Series 2001A bonds for interest
cost savings, without extending maturity. At the same time, we have lowered the
rating assigned to the SCTIB's outstanding $1.98 billion of revenue bonds, to A1
from Aa3. The rating on these bonds had been recalibrated to Aa3 from a
municipal scale rating of A1 on April 16, 2010.
RATING RATIONALE
The downgrade to A1 reflects the decline in debt service coverage provided by
pledged revenues as well as hospitality taxes that back a portion of loan
payments, and the South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure Bank's (SCTIB)
limited resources compared to the amount of its puttable variable rate debt. The
resulting relatively low coverage level is a function of comparatively lax
constraints on program leverage, as well as revenues that have been undermined
by the recent recession. The new rating recognizes strong oversight of the
program by the State of South Carolina, which is rated Aaa with a stable
outlook. Pledged revenues include economically sensitive truck and motor
vehicle registration fees (on a junior lien basis behind state highway
general obligation bonds), a portion of the South Carolina Department
of Transportation's (SCDOT) federal highway and non-tax revenue funding and
project-specific loan repayments to the SCTBI from entities including the SCDOT
and one county.
Strengths:
-- Diverse stream of pledged revenues from state and local sources
-- Oversight by highly rated state
-- Addition of revenues in recent years
Challenges:
-- Weak additional bonds test allowing consistently high program leverage
-- Vulnerability of pledged revenues to economic pressures affecting motor
vehicle use
-- Exposure to credit weakness of Transportation Infrastructure Bank borrowers
-- Relatively large variable-rate and swap exposure
INFRASTRUCTURE BANK WAS CREATED TO FINANCE LARGE PROJECTS
The South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure Bank (SCTIB) was created in
1997 by the state legislature to finance large transportation projects by making
loans and grants to local governments or other entities. The bank's board
consists of seven directors, including the chairman of the South Carolina
Department of Transportation Commission and two appointees each for the
Governor, the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President of the
Senate Pro Tempore. Approximately $1.98 billion of SCTIB revenue bonds on parity
with the current issues are outstanding. The SCTIB revenue bond master
resolution allows for the issuance of junior-lien bonds, but none are in
existence or planned. To fund SCTIB projects, South Carolina has also issued $60
million of state general obligation bonds. The state issues bonds with a
double-barreled security - consisting of its general obligation (rated
Aaa/stable) and certain pledged transportation revenues - for
transportation projects. Other debt structures, such as a Grant
Anticipation Revenue Vehicles (Garvees), do not play a role in financing
South Carolina's transportation projects. The bank's ability to issue its
revenue bonds is therefore central to statewide transportation financing.
MULTIPLE REVENUE STREAMS PLEDGED TO DEBT SERVICE
Revenues pledged for debt service fall into two categories: ``series'' payments,
consisting of loan repayments from local governments or other project sponsors,
and ``system'' payments, consisting of state truck registration fees, motor
vehicle registration fees, South Carolina Department of Transportation (SCDOT)
federal highway and non-tax revenue, and certain investment income. In 2005, the
state legislature added new sources of pledged revenues. These included the
motor vehicle registration fees, phased in through fiscal 2008, and a new
revenue source derived from SCDOT non-tax revenues, calculated as SCDOT non-tax
revenues equal to 50% of state electric power tax receipts in excess of $20
million. Among system revenue sources, the most significant are
registration fees. Those charged on trucks accounted for 30% of total fiscal
2010 pledged revenues, and those assessed on other vehicles accounted for 20%.
SCDOT payments accounted for about 31% of 2010 pledged revenues, either as
``series'' payments on specific projects or statutorily determined amounts
related to state gasoline tax collections and electric power tax revenues,
discussed further below.
RECESSION OF 2007-2009 REDUCED PLEDGED TRUCK FEE COLLECTIONS
Truck registration fees made up 46% of ``system'' revenues in fiscal 2010, when
they fell 4.1% to $56.9 million from $59.3 million the prior year. Fees based
on weight range from $30 to $1,600 per property-carrying vehicle and from $12 to
$120 for agricultural vehicles. Revenue from these fees -- which are assessed
biennially and show alternating strength and weakness from year to year
-- posted a minimal gain in fiscal 2008 and fell 2009. For the most recent
two-year period, the average change in truck registration fee revenue was -5.1%,
a deterioration from -2.9% a year ago. This decline reflects the December 2007
to June 2009 recession. To address uneven collection patterns in truck
registration fees, the state established a Revenue Stabilization Fund (RSF) that
receives 75% of excess revenues in strong years, for use in years when
performance weakens. RSF moneys are considered pledged revenues. Truck
registration fees have shown generally positive growth trends on a biennial
basis. The balance was $22 million as of June 30, 2010.
LIEN ON TRUCK AND MOTOR VEHICLE REGISTRATION FEES IS JUNIOR TO STATE G.O. BONDS
The SCTIB revenue bonds have a junior lien on the truck registration and motor
vehicle registration fee revenue. South Carolina highway general obligation
bonds (rated Aaa, with a stable outlook) have a prior lien on these fees, as
well as several other sources of transportation-related taxes and fees. Concerns
about the prior lien are offset by the state's limitation on issuing debt
secured by these revenues. The state constitution limits annual debt service on
these bonds to 15% of the pledged transportation-related revenues.
PLEDGED REVENUES INCLUDE SCDOT'S PAYMENTS DERIVED FROM FEDERAL HIGHWAY AID
REIMBURSEMENTS
SCTIB system payments include two allocations of the SCDOT's federal
highway funds and other non-tax revenues. The larger of these two is statutorily
set at an amount equal to revenues generated by one cent of the state's 16.8
cents-per-gallon gasoline tax. Revenue from this source in fiscal 2010 amounted
to $25.7 million, flat versus the prior year. It fell 2.2% in fiscal 2008, after
increasing 3.6% in fiscal 2007. The second, smaller SCDOT allocation began in
fiscal 2008. It is determined as the amount equal to 50% of state revenues
exceeding $20 million from electric power taxes. South Carolina assesses a
privilege tax of 0.5 mill per kilowatt hour on electric power sales. SCTIB
revenues based on this tax totaled $4.1 million in fiscal 2010, up 7% from the
prior year.
LOAN REPAYMENTS PLEDGED TO DEBT SERVICE
A third of pledged revenues in fiscal 2010 consisted of loan repayments related
to specific SCTIB-funded projects. In most cases, the borrower is SCDOT.
Legally, counties, other municipalities or private entities benefiting from a
project can make repayments that are incorporated into the revenues. In those
cases, the lending standards of the SCTIB and a history of strong state
oversight mitigate risks inherent in the revenues. Such loans must be reviewed
by the state's Joint Bond Review Committee, a 10-member panel of the South
Carolina General Assembly, before becoming pledged revenues. The master bond
resolution includes rating or coverage criteria that must be met, and some
additional comfort is provided by a mechanism that lets the state treasurer
intercept state aid payments to municipalities that fail to meet their loan
obligations. While this is a credit positive, because it reflects the state's
involvement, the provision does not significantly enhance bondholder
security, because the mechanics are not spelled out and it is possible that
any intercept could be made after debt service is due to bondholders.
State oversight is balanced against a recent trend of deterioration in the
credit standing of certain portions of the pledged loans. For example, a portion
of the borrowings by Horry County (general obligation bonds rated Aa2) is
insured by Ambac Assurance Corporation, which has a rating of Caa2 and is under
review for an upgrade. The insurer's rating has declined from Aaa in early June
of 2008. The impact on the SCTIB's bonds is limited both by Horry's own credit
strength and the relatively small share of revenue that the Ambac-insured
loan accounts for. Horry's payments are derived from a hospitality fee, the
fiscal 2010 revenues from which fell slightly below payments due on the county's
SCTIB loans. Concern over performance of this revenue source is mitigated by
availability of significant loan reserves. Another instance of credit
deterioration relates to a loan SCTIB entered in connection with a Lexington
County transportation project. The loan agreement was between SCTIB and South
Carolina Electric & Gas Company (SCE&G), and loan payments were
guaranteed by SCE&G's parent corporation, SCANA Corporation. Ratings of both
entities have deteriorated in recent years, to Baa1/negative from A3/stable for
SCE&G and to Baa2/negative from Baa1/stable for SCANA. This loan also
accounts for a small portion of pledged revenues, about 3% in fiscal 2010.
DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE REMAINS ADEQUATE
Maximum annual debt service including the current issue is projected at $161.7
million, in fiscal 2014. Actual fiscal 2010 pledged revenues totaled $191.7
million, or 1.19 times the projected maximum debt service. This represents a
deterioration from 1.26 times a year ago.
The bonds have an additional bonds test that requires 1.35 times net debt
service coverage. To calculate net debt service coverage, series payments are
excluded from pledged revenue and debt service totals, and certain anticipated
interest is also deducted from debt service figures. The additional bonds test
allows substantially greater leverage than constraints in comparable revenue
bond programs, because the coverage test is met on a prospective basis, using
projected future revenues. Based on this calculation method, and assuming growth
in revenues, minimum annual coverage of debt service over the life of the bonds
is projected at 1.48 times in fiscal 2024.
SCTIB has a substantial amount of debt ($360 million, or 18%) in variable rate
form. This debt is hedged by swap agreements with Bank of America, N.A.
(Aa3, negative) and Wachovia Bank, N.A. (Aa2, negative). The banks have posted a
total of $44.25 million of collateral in connection with these agreements. The
mark-to-market value of the swaps is negative $80 million. Liquidity on the
variable-rate bonds is provided through irrevocable, direct-pay letters of
credit that expire on June 17, 2011. Apart from the bank letters, SCTIB's
available liquid resources are weak in relation to puttable debt.
Outlook
The rating outlook for SCTIB's bonds is stable. The outlook reflects the
long-term stability of a diverse pledged revenue stream that is expected to
provide continued adequate coverage of debt service, as well as the importance
of the bank's debt in financing the state's transportation improvements.
What could change the rating - UP:
- Structural changes strengthening the borrowing program, such as a stronger
additional bonds test
What could change the rating - DOWN:
-Weakening of pledged revenues leading to a deterioration of debt service
coverage
- Deterioration in credit of state
- Deterioration in credit of entities making pledged loan repayments
- Addition of pledges from financially troubled obligors
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The rating on the current issue was assigned by evaluating factors we believe
are relevant to the credit profile of the issuer, such as i) the business risk
and competitive position of the issuer versus others within its industry or
sector, ii) the capital structure and financial risk of the issuer, iii) the
projected performance of the issuer over the near to intermediate term, iv) the
issuer's history of achieving consistent operating performance and meeting
budget or financial plan goals, v) the nature of the dedicated revenue stream
pledged to the bonds, vi) the debt service coverage provided by such
revenue stream, vii) the legal structure that documents the revenue stream and
the source of payment, and viii) and the issuer's management and governance
structure related to payment. These attributes were compared against other
issuers both within and outside of South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure
Bank's core peer group. The South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure Bank's
bond ratings are believed to be comparable to ratings assigned to other issuers
of similar credit risk.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Information sources used to prepare the credit rating are the following: parties
involved in the ratings, public information and confidential and proprietary
Moody's Investors Service information.
Moody's Investors Service considers the quality of information available on the
credit satisfactory for the purposes of assigning a credit rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on Moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some Credit Ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's Investors Service's Credit Ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's Investors Service provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see the Credit Policy page on Moodys.com for the methodologies used in determining ratings, further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Analysts
Edward Hampton
Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
Maria Coritsidis
Backup Analyst
Public Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
Contacts
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Research Clients: (212) 553-1653
Moody's Investors Service
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
USA
MOODY'S DOWNGRADES SOUTH CAROLINA TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE BANK REVENUE BONDS TO A1 FROM Aa3, ASSIGNS NEW RATING TO PLANNED $222 MILLION SERIES 2010 ISSUES