Moody's Investors Service placed under review for possible downgrade the long-term debt and deposit ratings (senior at Aa1) of Deutsche Bank AG and its rated subsidiaries, as well as the bank's B+ financial strength rating. This rating action follows the public announcement that Deutsche Bank plans to acquire in a "cash merger" New York-based Bankers Trust, which is the United States' eighth-largest banking group. Moody's said that the outlook for the Aa1 and B+ ratings has been negative since October 1998. Moody's also announced that the rating review for possible downgrade of Bankers Trust was changed to a review for possible upgrade, commenting on this rating action in a separate press announcement.
If consummated, the $9 billion acquisition of Bankers Trust by Deutsche Bank -- for which the two banks are reportedly in "advanced stages" of talks -- would offer the latter a powerful entry in the US investment-banking market, thus taking the German banking group a long way toward achieving a meaningful presence in the global financial markets. Pointing out to the fact that this has been one of the German banking group's key strategic goals for some time, Moody's stated that its rating review will focus on all the potential gains related to the planned acquisition, and also on the following major challenges:
(1) The extent to which the benefit of increased revenues for Deutsche Bank may compensate for the inherently higher volatility and uncertainty of a large stream of trading and investment banking income.
(2) The overall impact of the Bankers Trust acquisition on Deutsche Bank's business and risk profile and on its financial strength and financial flexibility -- including on the resulting group's economic capitalization.
(3) The strategic and operational hurdles of integrating Bankers Trust's businesses in Deutsche Bank's global franchise.
Regarding the last element, Moody's commented that banking groups with more traditional franchises such as the large European and US financial institutions can expect difficulties in successfully integrating the different culture and priorities of a major investment banking business, especially following acquisitions. The rating agency pointed in this respect to Deutsche Bank's challenges during the steps of building up its European investment banking franchise in London after the acquisition of Morgan Grenfell, but also noted that the process has been equally difficult for many of the German bank's peers. With respect to the planned Bankers Trust acquisition, Moody's cited the additional challenges of the transaction's sheer size and its cross-continental nature.
At the same time, the rating agency pointed out that Deutsche Bank remains one of the stronger financial groups internationally - one characterized by good and stable financial fundamentals, as well as a well-established franchise in banking and financial services in Germany, and to a lesser extent, elsewhere in Europe. In this respect, the group appears to be better positioned than most of its German peers to face the challenges of the upcoming Economic and Monetary Union, in spite of the highly fragmented and competitive structure of Germany's banking system.
Ratings placed under review are the following:
Deutsche Bank AG-- long-term debt, issuer, and deposit ratings of Aa1; and bank financial strength rating of B+,
Deutsche Bank Australia Limited-- guaranteed long-term debt rating of Aa1,
Deutsche Bank Finance N.V. -- guaranteed long-term debt rating of Aa1,
Deutsche Bank Financial, Inc.-- guaranteed long-term debt rating of Aa1, Deutsche Bank Finance (Netherlands) BV-- guaranteed long-term debt rating of Aa1,
Morgan Grenfell & Co. Ltd.-- long-term deposit and issuer ratings of Aa2; and bank financial strength rating of C+,
Europaeische Hypothekenbank der Deutschen Bank -long- term debt and deposit ratings of Aa2; and financial strength rating of B.
Ratings confirmed are the following:
Deutsche Bank AG -- ratings of the bank for short-term deposits and commercial paper at Prime-1,
Deutsche Bank Financial, Inc -- ratings of the company for commercial paper at Prime-1,
Morgan Grenfell & Co. Ltd.-- rating of the company for short-term deposits at Prime-1,
Europaeische Hypothekenbank der Deutschen Bank - Mortgage Pfandbriefe at Aaa; Public-Sector Pfandbriefe at Aaa; rating of the company for short-term deposits at Prime-1
DB, headquartered in Frankfurt, is the largest banking group in Germany, with consolidated assets at mid-year 1998 totaling DM 1,216 billion (US$ 760 billion).
MOODY'S REVIEWS FOR POSSIBLE DOWNGRADE THE LONG- TERM RATINGS (SENIOR AT Aa1) AND B+ FINANCIAL STRENGTH RATING OF DEUTSCHE BANK AG AND ITS RATED SUBSIDIARIES, FOLLOWING THE BANK'S ANNOUNCED "CASH MERGER" PLANS WITH BANKERS TRUST
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