Moody's Affirms ARCap 2003-1 Resecuritization Trust, Collateralized Debt Obligation Certificates, Series 2003-1
Approximately $175.8 Million of Structured Securities Affected
New York, September 11, 2008 -- Moody's Investors Service affirmed the ratings of six classes of Certificates
issued by ARCap 2003-1 Resecuritization Trust as follows:
-Class A, $54,800,000, Certificates
Due 2023, affirmed at Aaa
-Class B, $36,000,000, Certificates
Due 2038, affirmed at Aaa
-Class C, $20,500,000, Certificates
Due 2038, affirmed at Aa1
-Class D, $15,400,000, Certificates
Due 2038, affirmed at Aa2
-Class E, $36,100,000, Certificates
Due 2038, affirmed at A1
-Class F, $13,000,000, Certificates
Due 2038, affirmed at A2
Moody's is affirming this transaction due to overall stable pool
performance.
As of the August 20, 2008 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate collateral balance was $414.4 million, the
same as that at last review. The Certificates are collateralized
by 64 commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) certificates from 13
CMBS deals.
Since last review, of the 42 classes rated by Moody's,
three classes have been upgraded and four classes have been downgraded.
Credit estimates were performed on 22 non-Moody's rated CMBS
classes (34.5% of the pool balance).
Moody's uses a weighted average rating factor (WARF) as an overall indicator
of the credit quality of a CDO transaction. Based on Moody's analysis,
the current WARF is 2,810 compared to 2,543 at last review.
However, the deal has seasoned approximately two years since last
review. Moody's reviewed the ratings or performed credit
estimates on all the collateral supporting the Certificates. The
distribution is as follows: A1-A3 (1.8% compared
to 0.0% at last review), Baa1-Baa3 (0.8%
compared to 0.0%), Ba1-Ba3 (36.9%
compared to 39.1%); B1-B3 (45.5%
compared to 50.6%) and Caa1-NR (15.0%
compared to 10.3%).
The CMBS securities are from pools securitized between 1999 and 2003.
The largest vintage exposures are 2002 (44.3%) and 2001
(28.5%). The largest three exposures are BAFU 2001-3
(10.3%), GECMC 2001-1 (9.2%)
and BACM 2001-PB1 (9.0%).
Moody's periodically completes full reviews in addition to monitoring
transactions on a monthly basis. Moody's prior full review
is summarized in a press release dated September 21, 2006.
Moody's has published rating methodologies outlining our analytical
approach to surveillance and our approach to rating static commercial
real estate collateralized debt obligations (CRE CDOs). In addition,
Moody's has published numerous articles outlining our ratings approach
to the various collateral types customarily deposited within these transactions
along with other articles on credit issues unique to the sector.
The major rating methodologies employed in analyzing this transaction
include:
CMBS: Moody's Approach to Rating Static CDOs Backed
by Commercial Real Estate Securities, June 17, 2004 --
this paper details the evolution of our analytic approach to rating CRE
CDOs touching on the binomial expansion model, extension risk,
correlation, severity rates, pari passu notes, diversity,
and interest shortfalls with a discussion of simulation engines,
cash flow analysis, scenario analysis, and other elements
in Moody's analysis with detailed supplementary information on deriving
a CDO collateral loss distribution by simulating pool loss for each CMBS
transaction and by simulating default probability and severity for each
CMBS certificate; and
The Inclusion of Commercial Real Estate Assets in CDOs, October
8, 1999 -- this paper describes the development of commercial
real estate backed CDOs, speaks to collateral pool analysis including
industry classifications, diversification, credit quality,
recovery rate, and cash flow characteristics, and refers to
other aspects of CMBS as CDO collateral including prepayment risk,
sequential pay structure, ability to defer interest payments temporarily,
servicer advancing, losses, extension risk, recovery
rates, and servicer risk.
These methodologies are available on Moodys.com. The analysis
of this transaction is consistent with Moody's published rating
methodologies.
New York
Michael M. Gerdes
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
New York
Deryk Meherik
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653