Approximately $299.9 Million of Structured Securities Affected
New York, December 15, 2011 -- Moody's has affirmed the ratings of all classes of Notes issued by Sorin
Real Estate CDO IV Ltd. due to key transaction parameters performing
within levels commensurate with the existing ratings levels. The
rating action is the result of Moody's on-going surveillance
of commercial real estate collateralized debt obligation and collateralized
loan obligation (CRE CDO CLO) transactions.
Cl. A-1, Affirmed at Baa2 (sf); previously on
Dec 15, 2010 Downgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Affirmed at Caa1 (sf); previously on
Dec 15, 2010 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Affirmed at Caa2 (sf); previously on
Dec 15, 2010 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. B, Affirmed at Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Affirmed at Ca (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. D, Affirmed at C (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. E, Affirmed at C (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. F, Affirmed at C (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. G, Affirmed at C (sf); previously on Dec 15,
2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
Sorin Real Estate CDO IV Ltd. is a static (the Reinvestment Period
ended in October 2011) cash CRE CDO. As of the October 2011 Trustee
report, the transaction is backed by a portfolio of whole loans
(20.9% of the pool balance), B-Notes (23.1%),
mezzanine loans (9.9%), commercial mortgage backed
securities (CMBS) (37.9%), CRE CDO debt (1.3%),
and Rake bond (6.9%). The aggregate Note balance
of the transaction, including Income Notes, has decreased
to $337.5 million from $400 million at issuance,
with paydown directed to Class A1 Notes, as a result of the combination
of amortization of assets, resolutions and sales of Defaulted Securities,
and failing certain principal coverage tests. Currently,
the transaction is under-collateralized by $26.7
million (6.7% of original aggregate Note balance) mainly
due to realized losses.
There are nine assets with a par balance of $77.8 million
(25.0% of the current pool balance) that are considered
Defaulted Securities as of the October 2011 Trustee report, compared
to thirteen assets (29.0% of the pool balance) at last review.
We are expecting moderate to high losses to occur once they are realized.
Moody's has identified the following parameters as key indicators of the
expected loss within CRE CDO transactions: weighted average rating
factor (WARF), weighted average life (WAL), weighted average
recovery rate (WARR), and Moody's asset correlation (MAC).
These parameters are typically modeled as actual parameters for static
deals and as covenants for managed deals.
WARF is a primary measure of the credit quality of a CRE CDO pool.
We have updated credit estimates for the non-Moody's rated collateral.
The bottom-dollar WARF is a measure of the default probability
within a collateral pool. Moody's modeled a bottom-dollar
WARF of 4,489 compared to 5,149 at last review. The
distribution of current ratings and credit estimates is as follows:
Aaa-Aa3 (16.3% compared to 14.1% at
last review), A1-A3 (0.0% compared to 3.2%
at last review), Baa1-Baa3 (13.2% compared
to 15.9% at last review), Ba1-Ba3 (3.4%
compared to 0.0% at last review), B1-B3 (9.8%
compared to 10.2% at last review), and Caa1-C
(57.3% compared to 56.6% at last review).
WAL acts to adjust the probability of default of the collateral in the
pool for time. Moody's modeled to a WAL of 3.2 years compared
to 4.0 at last review.
WARR is the par-weighted average of the mean recovery values for
the collateral assets in the pool. Moody's modeled a fixed
WARR of 24.5% compared to 30.0% at last review.
MAC is a single factor that describes the pair-wise asset correlation
to the default distribution among the instruments within the collateral
pool (i.e. the measure of diversity). Moody's
modeled a MAC of 16.3% compared to 9.0% at
last review.
Moody's review incorporated CDOROM® v2.8, one of Moody's
CDO rating models, which was released on January 24, 2011.
The cash flow model, CDOEdge® v3.2.1.0,
was used to analyze the cash flow waterfall and its effect on the capital
structure of the deal.
Changes in any one or combination of the key parameters may have rating
implications on certain classes of rated notes. However,
in many instances, a change in key parameter assumptions in certain
stress scenarios may be offset by a change in one or more of the other
key parameters. Rated notes are particularly sensitive to changes
in recovery rate assumptions. Holding all other key parameters
static, changing the recovery rate assumption down from 24.5%
to 14.5% or up to 34.5% would result in average
rating movement on the rated tranches of 0 to 2 notches downward and 0
to 2 notches upward, respectively.
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's forward-looking
view of the likely range of performance over the medium term. From
time to time, Moody's may, if warranted, change these
expectations. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker than
Moody's had anticipated when the related securities ratings were issued.
Even so, a deviation from the expected range will not necessarily
result in a rating action nor does performance within expectations preclude
such actions. The decision to take (or not take) a rating action
is dependent on an assessment of a range of factors including, but
not exclusively, the performance metrics. Primary sources
of assumption uncertainty are the current sluggish macroeconomic environment
and performance in the commercial real estate property markets.
While commercial real estate property markets are gaining momentum,
a consistent upward trend will not be evident until the volume of transactions
increases, distressed properties are cleared from the pipeline and
job creation rebounds. The hotel and multifamily sectors are continuing
to show signs of recovery through the first half of 2011, while
recovery in the non-core office and retail sectors are tied to
pace of recovery of the broader economy. Core office markets are
showing signs of recovery through lending and leasing activity.
The availability of debt capital continues to improve with terms returning
toward market norms. Moody's central global macroeconomic scenario
reflects an overall sluggish recovery as the most likely scenario through
2012, amidst ongoing individual, corporate and governmental
deleveraging, persistent unemployment, and government budget
considerations, however the downside risks to the outlook have risen
since last quarter.
The methodologies used in this rating were "Moody's Approach to Rating
SF CDOs" published in November 2010, and "Moody's Approach to Rating
Commercial Real Estate CDOs" published in July 2011. Please see
the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these
methodologies.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Although this credit rating has been issued in a non-EU country
which has not been recognized as endorsable at this date, this credit
rating is deemed "EU qualified by extension" and may still
be used by financial institutions for regulatory purposes until 31 January
2012. ESMA may extend the use of credit ratings for regulatory
purposes in the European Community for three additional months,
until 30 April 2012, if ESMA decides that exceptional circumstances
arise that may imply potential market disruption or financial instability.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated
entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing
a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it
uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's
considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent
third-party sources. However, Moody's is not
an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate
information received in the rating process.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating
Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on
the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and
recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on
which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's
ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available.
Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is
the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available
to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com
for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has
issued the rating.
Biao He
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Michael M. Gerdes
MD - Structured Finance
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's Affirms All Classes of Sorin Real Estate CDO IV