Approximately $17.7 Million of Structured Securities Affected
New York, January 26, 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the ratings on four classes in
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Corp.,
Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2003-LN1
as follows:
Cl. H, Affirmed A2 (sf); previously on May 12,
2016 Affirmed A2 (sf)
Cl. J, Affirmed B1 (sf); previously on May 12,
2016 Affirmed B1 (sf)
Cl. K, Affirmed Ca (sf); previously on May 12,
2016 Affirmed Ca (sf)
Cl. X-1, Affirmed Caa3 (sf); previously on May
12, 2016 Affirmed Caa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating on Class H was affirmed because the transaction's key
metrics, including Moody's loan-to-value (LTV) ratio,
Moody's stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and the transaction's
Herfindahl Index (Herf), are within acceptable ranges.
The ratings on Classes J and K were affirmed because the ratings are consistent
with Moody's expected loss. Class K has already experienced
a 49% realized loss as result of previously liquidated loans.
The rating on IO class, Class X-1, was affirmed based
on the credit performance (or the weighted average rating factor or WARF)
of its referenced classes.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 0.0%
of the current balance, compared to 34.0% at Moody's
last review. Moody's does not anticipate losses from the
remaining collateral in the current environment. However,
over the remaining life of the transaction, losses may emerge from
macro stresses to the environment and changes in collateral performance.
Our ratings reflect the potential for future losses under varying levels
of stress. Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now
4.0% of the original pooled balance, compared to 4.1%
at the last review. Moody's provides a current list of base
expected losses for conduit and fusion CMBS transactions on moodys.com
at http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF215255.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's forward-looking
view of the likely range of performance over the medium term. Performance
that falls outside the given range can indicate that the collateral's
credit quality is stronger or weaker than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a significant
amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in the pool's
share of defeasance or an improvement in pool performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a decline
in the performance of the pool, loan concentration, an increase
in realized and expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans
or interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower CMBS"
published in October 2015. Please see the Rating Methodologies
page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
DESCRIPTION OF MODELS USED
Moody's analysis used the excel-based Large Loan Model.
The large loan model derives credit enhancement levels based on an aggregation
of adjusted loan-level proceeds derived from Moody's loan-level
LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds include leverage,
loan structure and property type. Moody's also further adjusts
these aggregated proceeds for any pooling benefits associated with loan
level diversity and other concentrations and correlations.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the January 17, 2017 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 98.5% to
$17.7 million from $1.26 billion at securitization.
The certificates are collateralized by three mortgage loans ranging in
size from 3.5% to 87.5% of the pool.
Two loans, constituting 12.5% of the pool, have
defeased and are secured by US government securities.
Thirteen loans have been liquidated from the pool, contributing
to an aggregate realized loss of $47.9 million (for an average
loss severity of 56%).
As of the January 17, 2017 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $2.04 million and Classes J and K did not
receive monthly interest proceeds. Moody's anticipates interest
shortfalls will continue due to principal shortfall logic caused by a
previously liquidated specially serviced loan. Interest shortfalls
are caused by special servicing fees, including workout and liquidation
fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan modifications
and extraordinary trust expenses.
The pool contains one performing non-defeased loan, representing
87.5% of the pool balance. The performing loan is
the Piilani Shopping Center Loan ($15.7 million),
which is secured by a 66,000 square foot (SF) retail center located
on the western coast of Maui in Kihei, Hawaii. As of September
2016, the property was 94% leased, compared to 98%
at year-end 2015. The collateral is shadow anchored by a
Safeway grocery store. The loan has an anticipated repayment date
(ARD) in July 2018 and final maturity date in July 2033. Moody's
LTV and stressed DSCR are 49.6% and 1.96X,
respectively, compared to 52.2% and 1.87X at
the last review.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and
performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected
collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a
second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash
flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement,
loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected
loss for each rated instrument.
Moody's did not use any stress scenario simulations in its analysis.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Nicola Gomes
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Matthew Halpern
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653