Approximately $34.9 Million of Notional Structured Securities Affected
New York, January 24, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the rating of one class of DLJ
Commercial Mortgage Corp., Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 1998-CF1 as follows:
Cl. S, Affirmed Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 14,
2013 Affirmed Caa1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating of the IO class, Class S, was affirmed based on
the weighted average rating factor (WARF) of its referenced classes.
The IO class is the only outstanding Moody's-rated class
in this transaction.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
The rating of an IO class is based on the credit performance of its referenced
classes. An IO class may be upgraded based on a lower weighted
average rating factor or WARF due to an overall improvement in the credit
quality of its reference classes. An IO class may be downgraded
based on a higher WARF due to a decline in the credit quality of its reference
classes, paydowns of higher quality reference classes or non-payment
of interest. Classes that have paid off through loan paydowns or
amortization are not included in the WARF calculation. Classes
that have experienced losses are grossed up for losses and included in
the WARF calculation, even if Moody's has withdrawn the rating.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The methodologies used in this rating were "Moody's Approach to Rating
U.S. CMBS Conduit Transactions" published in September 2000
and "Moody's Approach to Rating CMBS Large Loan/Single Borrower
Transactions" published in July 2000. Please see the Credit
Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
DESCRIPTION OF MODELS USED
Moody's review utilized the excel-based CMBS Conduit Model
v 2.64 which is used for both conduit and fusion transactions.
Conduit model results at the Aa2 (sf) level are driven by property type,
Moody's actual and stressed DSCR and Moody's property quality
grade (which reflects the capitalization rate used by Moody's to
estimate Moody's value). Conduit model results at the B2
(sf) level are driven by a paydown analysis based on the individual loan
level Moody's LTV ratio. Other concentrations and correlations
may be considered in our analysis. Based on the model pooled credit
enhancement levels at Aa2 (sf) and B2 (sf), the remaining conduit
classes are either interpolated between these two data points or determined
based on a multiple or ratio of either of these two data points.
For fusion deals, the credit enhancement for loans with investment-grade
credit assessments is melded with the conduit model credit enhancement
into an overall model result. Negative pooling, or adding
credit enhancement at the credit assessment level, is incorporated
for loans with similar credit assessments in the same transaction.
Moody's uses a variation of Herf to measure diversity of loan size,
where a higher number represents greater diversity. Loan concentration
has an important bearing on potential rating volatility, including
risk of multiple notch downgrades under adverse circumstances.
The credit neutral Herf score is 40. The pool has a Herf of 5,
the same as at prior review.
In cases where the Herf falls below 20, Moody's uses the excel-based
Large Loan Model v8.6 and then reconciles and weights the results
from the Conduit and Large Loan models in formulating a rating recommendation.
The large loan model derives credit enhancement levels based on an aggregation
of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's loan level
LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds include leverage,
loan structure, property type and sponsorship. These aggregated
proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling benefits associated
with loan level diversity, other concentrations and correlations.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the January 15, 2014 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 96% to $34.9
million from $838.8 million at securitization. The
Certificates are collateralized by 15 mortgage loans ranging in size from
1% to 24% of the pool. One loan, representing
7% of the pool has defeased and is secured by US Government securities.
Two loans, representing 25% of the pool, are on the
master servicer's watchlist. The watchlist includes loans
which meet certain portfolio review guidelines established as part of
the CRE Finance Council (CREFC) monthly reporting package. As part
of our ongoing monitoring of a transaction, Moody's reviews the
watchlist to assess which loans have material issues that could impact
performance.
Eleven loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in an
aggregate realized loss of $13.6 million (24% loss
severity on average). Currently, there are no loans in special
servicing.
Moody's was provided with full year 2012 for 100% of the pool.
Moody's weighted average conduit LTV is 88% compared to 86%
at Moody's prior review. Moody's conduit component
excludes defeased loans. Moody's net cash flow (NCF) reflects
a weighted average haircut of 19% to the most recently available
net operating income (NOI). Moody's value reflects a weighted
average capitalization rate of 11.0%.
Moody's actual and stressed conduit DSCRs are 1.02X and 1.49X,
respectively, compared to 1.05X and 1.50X at prior
review. Moody's actual DSCR is based on Moody's NCF
and the loan's actual debt service. Moody's stressed
DSCR is based on Moody's NCF and a 9.25% stressed
rate applied to the loan balance.
The top three exposures represent 65% of the pool. The largest
exposure is the Walgreens Portfolio ($10.8 million --
30.9% of the pool), which consists of five cross-collateralized
and cross-defaulted loans each secured by properties fully leased
to Walgreens. Two are located in California, two in Nevada
and one in Washington. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 87%
and 1.37X, respectively, compared to 96% and
1.24X at the prior review.
The second largest conduit loan is the Shops at Lyndale Phase II Loan
($8.3 million -- 23.8% of the pool),
which is secured by a 108,000 square foot (SF) anchored retail property
in Richfield, Minnesota. As of October 2013, the property
was 77% leased. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are
112% and 1.06X, respectively.
The third largest conduit loan is the Randall's Store Loan ($3.7
million -- 10.6% of the pool), which
is secured by 59,000 SF grocery store located in Sugar Land,
Texas. The property is fully leased to Randalls through November
2022, which extends five years beyond the loan maturity date in
December 2017. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 86% and
1.39X, respectively, compared to 87% and 1.37X
at the prior review.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction
in the past six months.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and
performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected
collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a
second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash
flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement,
loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected
loss for each rated instrument.
Moody's did not use any stress scenario simulations in its analysis.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Matthew Halpern
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Keith Banhazl
VP - Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's Affirms One Interest Only Class of DLJCM 1998-CF1