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Announcement:

Moody's: Asia covenant quality falls to all-time weakest level on Chinese property bonds

18 Nov 2018

New York, November 18, 2018 -- Moody's Investors Service says that the average covenant quality (CQ) score for Asian full-package high-yield bonds that it scored and which cleared the market in Q3 2018 was 3.36 (moderate), a level which is also a new record in weakness.

"The average quarterly score weakened for a second successive quarter to reach the worst average quarterly score in which at least two bonds were scored, and was also weaker than the previous weakest quarterly score of 3.16 (moderate), reached in Q2 2018," says Evan Friedman, a Moody's Senior Vice President and Head of Covenant Research.

"The weakness in the Q3 score -- mainly due to issuance from Chinese property developers -- takes Asia's overall average to 2.71 (moderate) for January 2011 through September 2018," says Friedman.

Moody's conclusions are contained in its just-released report, "Covenants -- Asia: Chinese property bonds bring Q3 covenant quality to new all-time weakest level". A lower score denotes stronger covenant quality on Moody's 1.0 to 5.0 scale.

Chinese property bonds continued to dominate issuance in Q3 as they accounted for five of the six full-package bonds that cleared the market with an average CQ score of 3.52 (weak).

This was also a new all-time weakest quarterly score for such Chinese property bonds, weaker than the previous Q2 average of 3.37 (moderate), which was then the joint all-time weakest score.

The weakest score of Q3 was for Agile Group Holdings Limited's (Ba2 stable) bond, which scored 4.07 (weak), the third weakest CQ score among all full-package bonds since Moody's began scoring in 2011.

The Chinese property average score from January 2011 through September 2018 was 2.97 (moderate), compared to the CQ average of 2.39 (good) for Asia bonds, excluding China property bonds for the same period.

Moody's notes that covenant protection for Asian bonds has weakened since 2011, with only 22% of bonds falling in the strong and good levels in the first three quarters of 2018 compared to 82% in 2011, and 32% of bonds falling in the weak level compared to only 9% in 2011. No full-package Asian bond has ever scored in the weakest level.

Subscribers can read the full report at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1142891

NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of our global press information hotlines: London +44-20-7772-5456, New York +1-212-553-0376, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City 001-888-779-5833, São Paulo 0800-891-2518, or Buenos Aires 0800-666-3506. You can also email us at [email protected] or visit our web site at www.moodys.com.

This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history.

Evan Friedman
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Laura Acres
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

No Related Data.
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