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Announcement:

Moody's: Asian Liquidity Stress Index rises to 28.5% in Nov from 27.4% in Oct

10 Dec 2015

Singapore, December 10, 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service says that its Asian Liquidity Stress Index (LSI) rose to 28.5% in November from 27.4% in October.

The increase came as the number of rated high-yield companies with the weakest speculative-grade liquidity score (SGL-4) increased to 35 from 34 while the number of rated high-yield companies decreased to 123 from 124.

The index measures the percentage of high-yield companies with SGL-4 scores as a proportion of high-yield corporate family ratings and increases when speculative-grade liquidity appears to deteriorate.

"The November decline marks the fourth straight month in which the Asian LSI has deteriorated, bringing it to a level last seen in December 2012," says Brian Grieser, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Analyst.

"When combined with trends witnessed -- which includes downgrades consistently outpacing upgrades and the number of issuers with a negative leaning outlook rising -- the situation continues to highlight a broad weakening of the credit profiles of high-yield issuers across the region," adds Grieser.

However, the November index remains well below the record high of 37% reached in December 2008 amid the global financial crisis.

Grieser was speaking on conclusions contained in Moody's just-released report, Asian Liquidity Stress Index, a monthly publication.

The liquidity stress sub-index for North Asian high-yield issuers was 30.1% in November, up marginally compared to 28.8% in October 2015 and 24.0% in December 2014. Within this portfolio, the Chinese sub-index remained at 28.1%, the Chinese high-yield property sub-index remained at 24.3% and the Chinese high-yield industrial sub-index remained at 33.3%.

The liquidity stress sub-index for South and Southeast Asian high-yield issuers weakened to 26.0% in November from 25.5% in October. The Indonesian sub-index decreased to 17.4% in November from 20.8% in October. This reading reflects the number of Indonesian companies with SGL-4 scores reduced by one to 4 and the total number of high-yield Indonesian companies also reduced by one to 23.

Moody's further notes that rated high-yield bond issuance picked up in November after no recorded issuance in September and October. However, Asian high-yield issuance in 2015 remains at the lowest level since 2012.

In addition, in November, Moody's took six downgrade and two upgrade rating actions closing out the month with a downgrade/upgrade ratio of 3.00x, continuing the trend that has seen downgrades exceed upgrades every quarter since Q2 2013.

Across Moody's portfolio of 123 rated high-yield issuers, the percentage of negative leaning outlooks -- meaning ratings with either a negative outlook or on review for downgrade -- increased to 30.9% in November from 30.6% in October and is now at the highest level since December 2012.

Moody's subscribers may access this report here: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBC_186400

NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of our global press information hotlines: New York +1-212-553-0376, London +44-20-7772-5456, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City 001-888-779-5833, São Paulo 0800-891-2518, or Buenos Aires 0800-666-3506. You can also email us at [email protected] or visit our web site at www.moodys.com.

This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history.

Brian Grieser
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077

Laura Acres
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077

Moody's: Asian Liquidity Stress Index rises to 28.5% in Nov from 27.4% in Oct
No Related Data.
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