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Rating Action:

Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to NOVAE Group Plc's Proposed Subordinated Debt Issue

12 Apr 2007
Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to NOVAE Group Plc's Proposed Subordinated Debt Issue

London, 12 April 2007 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has assigned a Ba1, stable outlook, subordinated debt rating to Novae Group plc's (Novae) proposed subordinated notes. The net proceeds of the issue of the bonds will be used by Novae to refinance existing debt and for general corporate purposes. The rating agency said that the Ba1 rating was based on the expectation that there would be no material difference between current and final documentation in relation to the notes.

The proposed notes will constitute Lower Tier 2 capital and will rank at least pari passu with previously issued Lower Tier 2 capital.

Moody's said that the Ba1 stable outlook holding company subordinated debt rating reflected a) the A3, positive outlook insurance financial strength rating (IFSR) on Lloyd's syndicate 2007, which is managed and primarily capitalised by Novae b) the degree of benefit that Moody's believes syndicate 2007 policyholders derive from the Lloyd's Central Fund that does not extend to the Novae holding company c) the impact of policyholder regulatory protection and the structurally subordinated position of the holding company, and d) the subordinated position of the debt-holders to more senior creditors at Novae Group plc.

Taking each element in turn, Moody's said that the A3 IFSR on syndicate 2007 reflected its franchise as a leading syndicate within its core business areas in the Lloyd's market and its excellent business diversification. This is offset by the Novae Lloyd's operation's (including run-off entities) significant gross underwriting leverage and the impact of reserving adjustments to-date on its ongoing business' profitability, albeit that these factors are mitigated by the decreasing level of adverse reserve adjustments and the quality of the reinsurance recoverables.

In terms of rating outlook, Moody's added that the A3 positive outlook IFSR reflects the degree of benefit that syndicate 2007 receives from the presence of the Lloyd's Central Fund, the resources of which are available to syndicate 2007's policyholders but not to Novae's creditors, with the positive outlook assigned to the overall A3 Financial Strength rating of Lloyd's syndicate 2007 therefore not extending to the proposed debt issue. The rating agency elaborated that the rating further factors in the regulatory control at Lloyd's, which is for the protection of policyholders, and which means that there can be significant restrictions on the ability to upstream earnings to the group holding company, especially in times of severe stress.

Moody's added that the notching of holding company debt relative to Novae syndicate 2007's A3 IFSR was consistent with the practice applied by Moody's to debt issuance from the holding company of a P&C insurance Group, which has relatively limited business diversification, notwithstanding the diversification benefits from the group's UK Commercial Lines and Liability orientated subsidiary NICL, and whose operating company has an IFSR in the A range. Finally, the Ba1 subordinated debt rating reflects the subordinated position of the subordinated creditors in relation to more senior creditors within the Novae Group.

Moody's continued that it expects that Novae Group plc, including UK FSA authorised NICL, will maintain its existing levels of gross underwriting leverage on a group basis and that existing debt will be redeemed as planned.

Moody's said that the Ba1 subordinated debt rating has a stable outlook, reflecting Moody's view of the Group's stand-alone credit quality. The rating agency stated that the ratings could see positive rating pressure if the combined Novae Lloyd's operation achieves returns on average equity of at least 5% on its ongoing business, reinsurance recoverables reduce to less than 150% of equity, Novae Group plc's gross premiums written and gross reserves as a % of equity reduce to under 5x and if group financial leverage were to approach 25%. However, Moody's added that negative rating pressure would apply if the combined Novae Lloyd's operation achieves returns on average equity of less than 5% on its ongoing business, Novae Group plc's gross premiums written and gross reserves relative to equity remain over 5x and if adjusted group financial leverage were to be 35% or more.

Moody's most recent rating action on Novae Group plc was on November 10th, 2006, when the rating agency assigned a positive outlook to the A3 insurance financial strength rating of its principal insurance operation Lloyd's syndicate 2007.

Novae Group plc, which is listed on the London Stock Exchange, and which manages and capitalises 94% of Lloyd's syndicate 2007 and owns UK FSA company NICL, reported at YE2006 gross premiums written of GBP281m and shareholders' equity of GBP240m.

The following rating was assigned, subject to final terms and conditions:

Novae Group plc: Ba1 rating, stable outlook, to the proposed subordinated notes.

London
Simon Harris
Managing Director
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

London
Robert Smith
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

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