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Announcement:

Moody's: CIS companies' 2019 outlook is stable on continuing GDP growth and supportive oil prices

 The document has been translated in other languages

12 Dec 2018

London, 12 December 2018 -- The outlook for non-financial companies in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) for 2019 is stable, Moody's Investors Service said today in its annual outlook on the region.

Moody's report "Non-financial corporates -- CIS: 2019 outlook stable on continuing GDP growth and supportive oil prices (Slides)" is available on www.moodys.com. Moody's subscribers can access this report via the link provided at the end of this press release. The rating agency's report is an update to the markets and does not constitute a rating action.

"The key drivers of the stable outlook are a combination of moderate GDP growth, supportive oil prices and slowing domestic demand," said Artem Frolov, a Moody's Vice President -- Senior Credit Officer.

For Russia, supportive oil prices and low inflation will underpin GDP growth of around 1.6% in 2019 (down from 1.8% in 2018). Expected state-sponsored development projects would support otherwise weak domestic demand, but the threat of new sanctions weighs on business confidence and investor appetite.

For Kazakhstan, supportive oil prices, rising oil output and recovery in non-oil economy will support GDP growth of 3.5% in 2019 (down from 3.7% in 2018), but recent tenge depreciation will weigh on consumer confidence and domestic demand.

For Ukraine, GDP growth will slow to 3.2% in 2019 from 3.5% in 2018 on slowing reforms, political and geopolitical uncertainty weighing on investment, and challenging demographics. While domestic demand improved and inflation declined, event risks remain high and the banking system weak.

Subscribers can access the report at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1153596

NOTE TO JOURNALISTS ONLY: For more information, please call one of our global press information hotlines: London +44-20-7772-5456, New York +1-212-553-0376, Tokyo +813-5408-4110, Hong Kong +852-3758-1350, Sydney +61-2-9270-8141, Mexico City 001-888-779-5833, São Paulo 0800-891-2518, or Buenos Aires 0800-666-3506. You can also email us at [email protected] or visit our web site at www.moodys.com.

This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history.

Artem Frolov
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Limited, Russian Branch
7th floor, Four Winds Plaza
21 1st Tverskaya-Yamskaya St.
Moscow 125047
Russia
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

Victoria Maisuradze
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

No Related Data.
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