London, 05 May 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has today assigned provisional ratings to one
class of notes to be issued by BBVA RMBS 15, Fondo de Titulización
de Activos:
....EUR3,280M Series A Notes,
Assigned (P)Aa3 (sf)
The transaction is a securitisation of Spanish prime mortgage loans originated
by Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ("BBVA")
(Baa2 / P-2) to obligors located in Spain. BBVA will service
all loans as a result of the acquisition of UNNIM. The assets being
securitised are all backed by residential properties in Spain.
The rating addresses the expected loss posed to investors by the legal
final maturity of the notes. In Moody's opinion, the structure
allows for timely payment of interest and ultimate payment of principal
for the Series A notes by the legal final maturity. Moody's ratings
only address the credit risk associated with the transaction. Other
non credit risks have not been addressed, but may have a significant
effect on yield to investors.
Moody's issues provisional ratings in advance of the final sale of securities,
but these ratings only represent Moody's preliminary credit opinion.
Upon a conclusive review of the transaction and associated documentation,
Moody's will endeavour to assign definitive ratings to the Notes.
A definitive rating may differ from a provisional rating. Moody's
will disseminate the assignment of any definitive ratings through its
Client Service Desk. Moody's will monitor this transaction on an
ongoing basis. For updated monitoring information, please
contact monitor.rmbs@moodys.com.
RATINGS RATIONALE
BBVA RMBS 15, FTA is a securitization of loans granted by Banco
Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) to Spanish
individuals. BBVA is acting as Servicer of the loans while Europea
de Titulización S.G.F.T., S.A.
is the Management Company ("Gestora").
The ratings of the notes take into account the credit quality of the underlying
mortgage loan pool, from which Moody's determined the MILAN Credit
Enhancement and the portfolio expected loss.
The key drivers for the portfolio expected loss of 5.3%
are (i) benchmarking with comparable transactions in the Spanish market
via analysis of book data provided by the seller and (ii) Moody's outlook
on Spanish RMBS in combination with historic recovery data of foreclosures
received from the seller.
The key drivers for the 18.6% MILAN Credit Enhancement number,
which is in line with other RMBS transactions, are (i) relatively
good WA current LTV (64.3% based on original valuations);
(ii) good seasoning of 5.8 years; (iii) high proportion of
loans with balloon payments optionalities (88.6% based on
the current pool balance, but only 13.6% are using
the optionality as of the cut off date ) which Moody's believes
entails more exposure to default.
According to Moody's, the deal has the following credit strengths:
(i) sequential amortization of the notes (ii) a reserve fund fully funded
upfront equal to 4% of the Series A and Loan B notes to cover potential
shortfall in interest and principal. The reserve fund may amortise
if certain conditions are met.
The portfolio mainly contains floating-rate loans linked to 12-month
EURIBOR and Indices de Referencia de Préstamos Hipotecarios,
conjunto entidades de crédito (IRPH), and most of them reset
semiannually; whereas the notes are linked to three-month
EURIBOR and reset quarterly. There is no interest rate swap in
place to cover this interest rate risk. Moody's takes into account
the potential interest rate exposure as part of its analysis when determining
the ratings of the notes.
Stress Scenarios:
Moody's Parameter Sensitivities provide a quantitative/model-indicated
calculation of the number of rating notches that a Moody's structured
finance security may vary if certain input parameters used in the initial
rating process differed.
The analysis assumes that the deal has not aged and is not intended to
measure how the rating of the security might migrate over time,
but rather how the initial rating of the security might have differed
if key rating input parameters were varied. Parameter Sensitivities
for the typical EMEA RMBS transaction are calculated by stressing key
variable inputs in Moody's primary rating model.
At the time the rating was assigned, the model output indicated
that the Series A notes would have achieved an Aa3 even if the expected
loss was as high as 7.95% and the MILAN CE was 18.6%
and all other factors were constant.
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach to
Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in January 2015.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of this methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Factors that may lead to an upgrade of the rating include a significantly
better than expected performance of the pool, together with an increase
in credit enhancement for the notes.
Factors that may cause a downgrade of the rating include significantly
different loss assumptions compared with our expectations at close due
to either a change in economic conditions from our central scenario forecast
or idiosyncratic performance factors would lead to rating actions.
Finally, a change in Spain's sovereign risk may also result in subsequent
upgrade or downgrade of the notes.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments in this transaction.
Further information on the representations and warranties and enforcement
mechanisms available to investors are available on http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF404877.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to
determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function
that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to
each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step,
Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a
model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments
and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument.
The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario,
weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario
occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
Moody's describes the stress scenarios it has considered for this
rating action in the section "Ratings Rationale" of this press
release.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Rodrigo Gabriel Conde Puentes
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Michelangelo Margaria
VP - Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
Telephone:+39-02-9148-1100
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's Investors Service has assigned provisional ratings to one class of Spanish RMBS notes to be issued by BBVA RMBS 15, FTA