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Announcement:

Moody's: Tariff rise is credit positive for HKCG

19 Jun 2017

Hong Kong, June 19, 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service says that The Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd's (HKCG, A1 stable) proposed gas tariff hike is credit positive for the company, but will have no immediate impact on its A1 issuer rating and its stable outlook.

"The proposed tariff hike is credit positive for HKCG because this will improve mildly the profit margins of its Hong Kong core operations," says Ralph Ng, a Moody's Analyst.

Moody's estimates the EBITDA margin of HKCG's Hong Kong operations will improve to 52% from 50% after the hike. The Hong Kong operations contributed about 45% of total EBITDA in 2016.

The proposed tariff hike will increase HKCG's annual revenue and EBITDA by about HKD300 million, based on the actual gas sales volume of its Hong Kong operations in 2016.

"However, such an improvement will have a limited financial impact on HKCG, resulting in no immediate effect on the company's rating," adds Ng.

The increments in revenue and EBITDA would account for only about 1.1% and 2.6% of HKCG's total revenue and adjusted EBITDA in 2016, respectively. Therefore, the company's projected credit metrics would still be consistent with Moody's expectations, with adjusted funds from operations/ debt situated around 22%-25% over the next two years.

On 16 June, HKCG announced a proposed rise of HKD1.1 cents per megajoule (MJ) on its basic tariff for the piped gas distribution segment in Hong Kong, equivalent to an average increase of 4.6% -- excluding fuel cost adjustments -- effective 1 August 2017.

The hike applies to its residential, commercial and industrial (C&I) customers in Hong Kong.

The proposed tariff adjustment was prompted by increasing operating costs, including for materials, rentals, and staff. We expect HKCG to maintain the revised basic tariff for the next two years after this adjustment.

The last tariff adjustment of HKD1 cent per megajoule was in August 2015 when HKCG promised to keep the standard tariff unchanged until August 2017.

The tariff adjustment has reinforced the merits of HKCG's automatic cost pass-through mechanism that allows the company to maintain stable profits and cash flow with 100% cost pass-through without government interference. The well-structured tariff mechanism, underpinned by HKCG's proven track record, is one of the key drivers of its A1 rating.

HKCG reviews its Information and Consultation Agreement with the Hong Kong government (Aa2 stable) every three years and the latest agreement will expire in April 2018. Moody's notes that the agreement does not refer to any form of rate of return regulation or tariff setting, nor a license for HKCG to operate in Hong Kong.

HKCG's gas tariff has two components: the standard tariff and fuel cost variation charge (FCVC). Under the agreement, HKCG regularly discloses information, including sales, cost of gas and FCVC adjustments, and consults the government three months prior to a proposed tariff adjustment. The FCVC is an automatic price mechanism that allows HKCG to pass on all feedstock price fluctuations to its customers.

The principal methodology used in this rating was Regulated Electric and Gas Utilities published in December 2013. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

The Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd (HKCG) -- listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -- is mainly engaged in the production and distribution of gas, marketing of gas and appliances, and comprehensive after-sales services in Hong Kong.

The company also operates aviation fuel facilities at the Hong Kong International Airport, and owns a 15.8% stake in the IFC complex in Hong Kong.

This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history.

Ralph Ng
Analyst
Project & Infrastructure Finance
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077

Terry Fanous
MD-Public Proj & Infstr Fin
Project & Infrastructure Finance
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077

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