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Rating Action:

Moody's affirms Fubon Insurance's A1 IFSR; outlook stable

29 September 2022


Hong Kong , September 29, 2022 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the A1 insurance financial strength rating (IFSR) of Fubon Insurance Co., Ltd. (Fubon insurance).

The outlook on the insurer remains stable.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The affirmation of Fubon Insurance's A1 IFSR reflects Moody's expectation that the insurer will maintain its solid capitalization and strong profitability, despite rising losses on pandemic policies.

Moody's expects the insurer to maintain its solid capitalization, backed by the capital support from Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd. (Fubon Financial, Baa1 stable) and the insurer's strong earnings. The TWD15 billion capital injection from Fubon Financial completed in August 2022 alleviated the capital erosion brought by the TWD19.9 billion retained claims payment and reserves set aside for pandemic policies in the first eight months of 2022. This capital injection raised the insurer's risk-based capital (RBC) ratio to about 300% as of 31 August 2022, which will provide a solid capital buffer above the regulatory minimum of 200% over the next 12-18 months.

The insurer's profitability will deteriorate significantly in 2022 reflecting the rising claims. However, Moody's expects its profitability to gradually recover to its strong level in the next 12-18 months, backed by its stringent risk selection, economies of scale and good investment income. Excluding the pandemic policies, the combined ratio of its domestic business was low compared with its global peers at below 93% in both 2020 and 2021. Besides, Moody's expects the insurer's earnings pressure to ease substantially from the second quarter of 2023 because most in-force pandemic policies carry 1-year term and will mature by then after the insurer stopped selling the product in April 2022.

The affirmation also considers the insurer's leading market position as the largest non-life insurer in the domestic market, with a market share of 24.5% by net premiums in 2021. The insurer's strong brand recognition and extensive distribution network underpin its strong market position.

However, the insurer's geographic concentration exposes it to significant gross catastrophe risks, primarily from earthquakes and typhoons, which could increase earnings volatilities. That said, the insurer has comprehensive reinsurance programs to reduce its net catastrophe exposure to a manageable level relative to its capital.

Fubon Insurance's equity investment exposure is high compared with its global peers, with concentration in several large Taiwanese corporates. This exposes its profitability and capitalization to single-name shocks.

The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectation that Fubon Insurance will maintain its leading market position, solid capitalization and strong profitability over the next 12-18 months.

FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING

Fubon Insurance's credit profile is correlated with, and constrained by, that of Fubon Financial. This is because the credit profiles of the group and its subsidiaries are linked, particularly in terms of financial flexibility, and because Fubon Insurance has the strongest standalone credit profile among the subsidiaries. Therefore, an upgrade of Fubon Insurance's rating is unlikely unless the ratings on other key subsidiaries within the group are also upgraded.

Moody's could downgrade Fubon Insurance's rating if (1) the insurer's capital strength deteriorates, for example, with its gross underwriting leverage (GUL) rising above 3x or its RBC ratio dropping below 300% on a consistent basis; (2) its profitability declines such that its return on capital (ROC) falls consistently below 8%, or the combined ratio of its domestic business rises significantly above 95%; or (3) the ratings on other key subsidiaries within the group, such as Taipei Fubon Commercial Bank Co Ltd (deposits A2 positive, baseline credit assessment baa2) and Fubon Life Insurance Co Ltd (Fubon Life, IFSR A3 stable), are downgraded.

The principal methodology used in this rating was Property and Casualty Insurers Methodology published in August 2022 and available at https://ratings.moodys.com/api/rmc-documents/391814 . Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on https://ratings.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Headquartered in Taipei, Fubon Insurance Co., Ltd. is the largest property and casualty insurance company in the domestic market. The insurer underwrites various business lines, including motor, fire, accident and health, and marine. At the end of 2021, its total assets stood at TWD131.6 billion and shareholders' equity at TWD45.4 billion.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found on https://ratings.moodys.com/rating-definitions .

For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the issuer/deal page for the respective issuer on https://ratings.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

The rating has been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.

This rating is solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website https://ratings.moodys.com.

Moody's considers a rated entity or its agent(s) to be participating when it maintains an overall relationship with Moody's. Unless noted in the Regulatory Disclosures as a Non-Participating Entity, the rated entity is participating and the rated entity or its agent(s) generally provides Moody's with information for the purposes of its ratings process. Please refer to https://ratings.moodys.com for the Regulatory Disclosures for each credit rating action, shown on the issuer/deal page, and for Moody's Policy for Designating Non-Participating Rated Entities, shown on https://ratings.moodys.com.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at https://ratings.moodys.com/documents/PBC_1288235 .

The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on https://ratings.moodys.com.

The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on https://ratings.moodys.com.

Please see https://ratings.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the issuer/deal page on https://ratings.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

The first name below is the lead rating analyst for this Credit Rating and the last name below is the person primarily responsible for approving this Credit Rating.

Kelvin Kwok, CFA
AVP-Analyst
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS : 852 3758 1350
Client Service : 852 3551 3077

Chen Huang
Associate Managing Director
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS : 852 3758 1350
Client Service : 852 3551 3077

Releasing Office :
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS : 852 3758 1350
Client Service : 852 3551 3077

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