Outlook change reflects negative outlook on HSBC Group
Limassol, March 21, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has today affirmed HSBC Bank Middle East
Limited's (HBME) A2/Prime-1 long-term debt and deposit
ratings and its a2 adjusted baseline credit assessment (BCA); the
baa2 BCA was left unchanged. HBME's A2 ratings incorporate
three notches of uplift from its baa2 BCA, reflecting our assessment
of a very high probability of support from the bank's parent,
HSBC Holdings Plc (A1 LT senior unsecured, negative) being forthcoming
in the event of need. This considers the strategic importance of
HBME as the main operating vehicle for the Middle East operations of the
HSBC group.
The ratings outlook change on HBME to negative from stable reflects the
weakening capacity of HBME's parent, HSBC Holdings Plc,
to provide financial support if needed, as reflected by the outlook
change to negative from stable on the ratings for the Hongkong and Shanghai
Banking Corporation (HBAP, LT deposits Aa2 Negative, LT senior
unsecured Aa2 Negative; BCA aa3) and HSBC Holdings on March 17.
This reflected, in turn, deteriorating operating conditions
in Hong Kong (Aa1 negative), one of the group's key markets,
and Moody's view that Hong Kong's increasing economic and
financial linkages with China (Aa3 negative) give rise to weakened economic
growth.
Please see Moody's separate press release on HBAP and HSBC holdings
https://www.moodys.com/research/--PR_345777
https://www.moodys.com/research/--PR_345833
A list of affected ratings can be found at the end of this press release.
RATINGS RATIONALE
CHANGE IN OUTLOOK TO NEGATIVE FROM STABLE
In separate rating actions on March 17, Moody's changed the
outlook to negative from stable on the ratings for HSBC Holdings (HBME's
100% shareholder) and HBAP, the group's main operating
entity in the Asia-Pacific region. These actions reflected
a deterioration of the bank's operating conditions in Honk Kong,
which is its main market.
As HSBC Holdings' intrinsic financial strength is weakening,
its ability to provide support to HBME and other subsidiaries is reducing.
As a result, Moody's has affirmed the ratings for HBME and
changed its outlook to negative from stable, reflecting the weakening
capacity of the parent to provide support in the event of need.
Moody's currently measures HSBC Holdings' a1 intrinsic financial
strength using the weighted-average of the baseline credit assessments
(BCAs) of its two main operating entities, HSBC Bank and HBAP.
This approach is consistent with the way capital is managed across the
HSBC group, whereby subsidiaries normally pay surplus capital to
the holding company in the form of a dividend, which is subsequently
down-streamed to those entities requiring additional capital.
HBAP represented around 37% of the group's total assets at
end-2015 and accounted for 84% of pre-tax profits
in 2015. In addition, HBAP pays a regular dividend to HSBC
Holdings.
What could move the ratings up/down
Upward pressure on HBME's ratings is unlikely over the next 12-18
months, as indicated by the negative ratings outlook, due
to the weakening of HSBC holdings' intrinsic financial strength.
The ratings could come under pressure from a combination of one or more
of the following: (1) any further deterioration in the financial
strength of HBME's parent; (2) a significant deterioration
in asset quality; (3) a significant weakening in the bank's
regional franchise; and (4) a deterioration in capitalization metrics.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
Issuer: HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
..Affirmations:
.... Long-term Counterparty Risk Assessment,
affirmed A1(cr)
.... Short-term Counterparty Risk Assessment,
affirmed P-1(cr)
.... Long-term Deposit Ratings,
affirmed A2, outlook changed to negative from stable
.... Subordinate Medium-Term Note Program,
affirmed (P)A3
.... Senior Unsecured Medium-Term Note
Program, affirmed (P)A2
.... Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture,
affirmed A2, outlook changed to negative from stable
.... Short-term Deposit Ratings,
affirmed P-1
.... Adjusted Baseline Credit Assessment,
affirmed a2
..Outlook Actions:
....Outlook, Changed To Negative From
Stable
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Banks published in
January 2016. Please see the Ratings Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
The Local Market analyst for this rating is Olivier Panis, +971.4.237.9533.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Nondas Nicolaides
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Cyprus Ltd.
Porto Bello Building
1, Siafi Street, 3042 Limassol
PO Box 53205
Limassol CY 3301
Cyprus
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Sean Marion
Managing Director
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Cyprus Ltd.
Porto Bello Building
1, Siafi Street, 3042 Limassol
PO Box 53205
Limassol CY 3301
Cyprus
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's affirms HSBC Bank Middle East's A2/Prime-1 ratings; outlook changed to negative