Standalone Baseline Credit Assessment upgraded to ba1 from ba2
Frankfurt am Main, July 18, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has today affirmed Sparkasse KoelnBonn's
(SKKB) Aa3 long-term deposit ratings and the bank's A2 long-term
debt ratings with a stable outlook. The Prime-1 short-term
deposit ratings of SKKB, its Baa2 subordinate debt rating and its
Aa3(cr)/Prime-1(cr) Counterparty Risk (CR) Assessment were also
affirmed. At the same time, Moody's upgraded SKKB's
Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) to ba1 from ba2, and affirmed the
bank's baa1 Adjusted BCA.
A full list of affected ratings can be found at the end of this press
release.
RATINGS RATIONALE
IMPROVEMENT OF SKKB'S STANDALONE BCA REFLECTS ACCESS TO ADDITIONAL
CAPITAL
The upgrade of SKKB's standalone BCA by one notch to ba1 reflects
the bank's improved capital, also considering increasing high-quality
additional capital reserves allowed by German GAAP (§340f reserves)
and a binding agreement reached earlier in 2016 that provides SKKB's
management full discretion to convert silent participation instruments
into new common equity. While Moody's considered the bank's
firmly committed access to additional common equity in its assessment,
the rating agency has not preempted such a conversion in its determination
of the BCA.
SKKB has entered into an agreement with its owners, the cities of
Cologne (unrated) and Bonn (unrated), that allows SKKB to convert
EUR500 million of existing silent participations into common equity.
Moody's currently includes these instruments as deeply subordinated
components of its Advanced Loss Given Failure (LGF) Analysis, and
not as part of Tangible Common Equity in its assessment of the bank's
intrinsic financial strength. SKKB's ability to convert these
silent participations at any time into common equity is supportive of
SKKB's ba1 BCA.
AFFIRMATION OF THE ADJUSTED BCA REFLECTS REDUCED AFFILIATE SUPPORT UPLIFT
Concurrent with the upgrade of the BCA, the rating agency reduced
the affiliate support uplift included in SKKB's Adjusted BCA to
three from four notches previously. The reduced uplift is based
on Moody's unchanged assumption of a very high support probability
of Sparkassen-Finanzgruppe's (S-Finanzgruppe,
Corporate Family Rating Aa2 stable, BCA a2) institutional protection
scheme (IPS) in the case of need. As a result of SKKB's improved
standalone credit strength and the narrowing gap to the credit strength
of S-Finanzgruppe, the rating agency's unchanged affiliate
support assumptions provides less uplift to SKKB's baa1 Adjusted
BCA.
AFFIRMATION OF SKKB'S DEBT AND DEPOSIT RATINGS WITH A STABLE OUTLOOK
The affirmation of SKKB's long-term debt and deposit ratings
reflects the agency's unchanged results from its Advanced LGF analysis,
taking into account the bank's liability structure at end-2015.
The analysis indicates an extremely low loss-given-failure
for the bank's deposits, leading to a three notch uplift from
its baa1 Adjusted BCA. For the bank's senior unsecured debt,
the analysis indicates a low loss-given-failure for the
bank's deposits, leading to a one notch uplift from its baa1
Adjusted BCA. This assessment is supported by the bank's
adequate volume of senior unsecured debt including those registered bonds
Moody's considers to rank pari passu with senior unsecured instruments,
as well as the amount of subordinated liabilities.
The stable rating outlook incorporates Moody's view that SKKB will
maintain the volume for the individual liability classes and that upon
a conversion of the silent participations, rising future loss severities
for the individual debt classes will be fully offset by a further BCA
improvement on the back of stronger common equity levels.
WHAT COULD MOVE THE RATINGS UP / DOWN
An upgrade of SKKB's debt and deposit ratings would require an upgrade
of its BCA accompanied by an unchanged loss-given-failure
resulting from Moody's LGF analysis. SKKB's BCA could
be further upgraded following a significant increase of its capitalization
(by several percentage points) for example as a result of the conversion
of the bank's EUR500 million of silent participations into common
equity. However, because the conversion of silent participations
into common equity would reduce the volume of deeply subordinated instruments
and therefore increase the loss-given-failure of senior
debt and deposits Moody's expects upward pressure on the BCA to
be offset by an increase in the loss severity for these instruments.
SKKB's long-term ratings may be downgraded if Moody's
LGF analysis results a higher loss-given-failure for SKKB's
individual debt classes than Moody's currently anticipates.
Such higher loss severities may result from a continued reduction in senior
and subordinated debt volumes outstanding. A future downgrade of
SKKB's BCA may not directly translate into a downgrade of SKKB's
long-term ratings if Moody's assumption of a very high support
probability by S-Finanzgruppe's IPS remains unchanged.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
The following ratings were affirmed:
....Adjusted Baseline Credit Assessment,
affirmed at baa1
....Long Term Counterparty Risk Assessment,
affirmed at Aa3(cr)
....Short Term Counterparty Risk Assessment,
affirmed at P-1(cr)
....Long Term Bank Deposit Ratings affirmed
at Aa3, outlook remains Stable
....Short-Term Bank Deposit Ratings,
affirmed at P-1
....Senior Unsecured Rating affirmed at A2,
outlook remains Stable
....Senior Unsecured Medium-Term Note
Program Rating, affirmed at (P)A2
....Subordinate Rating, affirmed at
Baa2
....Subordinate Medium-Term Note Program
Rating, affirmed at (P)Baa2
The following rating input was upgraded:
....Baseline Credit Assessment, upgraded
to ba1 from ba2
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Banks published in
January 2016. Please see the Ratings Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Bernhard Held
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Deutschland GmbH
An der Welle 5
Frankfurt am Main 60322
Germany
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Carola Schuler
MD - Banking
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Deutschland GmbH
An der Welle 5
Frankfurt am Main 60322
Germany
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's affirms Sparkasse KoelnBonn's Aa3 deposit and A2 debt ratings; outlook stable