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I AGREE
10 Apr 2011
Mexico, April 10, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service and Moody's de Mexico today affirmed the Baa1
and Aaa.mx ratings for Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
("Televisa") upon the company's announcement to invest up
to USD2 billion in the Mexican mobile operator Iusacell, S.A.
de C.V. ("Iusacell", unrated).
The outlook for the ratings is stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
On April 7th, 2011, Televisa announced an agreement with Mexican
mobile operator Iusacell under which Televisa will make an investment
of USD37.5 million in equity and USD1,565 million in convertible
debt of Iusacell. Upon conversion of the debt, which is subject
to regulatory approval and other customary closing conditions, the
equity participation of Televisa in Iusacell will be 50%.
Televisa has also agreed to make an additional payment of USD400 million
to Iusacell if cumulative EBITDA reaches USD3,472 million any time
from January 1st 2011 and up to December 31st 2015. In the event
Televisa invests the additional USD400 million, it does not expect
to increase its equity participation to beyond 50%.
"The size and the structure of the proposed investment in Iusacell
do not affect Televisa's current ratings given that i) the company had
set aside cash for long-term strategic investments and its future
cash flows are not compromised with the announced transaction; ii)
Televisa's liquidity position is strong pro forma for the investment and
no further borrowings that impact debt leverage should be necessary;
and iii) Televisa's debt maturity profile is comfortable. However,
we will closely monitor the company's future investments as they
could jeopardize Televisa's business or credit profile beyond current
levels", said Nymia Almeida, Vice President and senior
analyst at Moody's.
Moody's perceives the investment in Iusacell as strategically beneficial
in the long term, providing Televisa with business opportunities
in the growing mobile telecom industry. The announced transaction
is part of Televisa's ongoing investments in the telecommunications industry
in Mexico, which started in early 2006 with the first steps towards
the consolidation of the cable TV industry and the expansion of its offerings
of pay TV, broadband access and voice bundled services. The
investment in Iusacell should allow Televisa to leverage its infrastructure
and launch the first major quadruple play of converged services in Mexico,
which would include television, fixed and mobile voice and data
services.
Televisa's ratings are supported by the group's strong competitive position
in the Mexican television and pay TV markets, its financial strength
and its stable operating performance. The company's advertisement-heavy
business model has proven resilient during the recent economic downturn
in Mexico, in 2007-2009, and particularly when compared
to the company's international diversified media peers. Televisa's
manageable debt maturity profile for the next several years also support
its ratings. Constraining
Televisa's ratings, however, are its smaller global scale
in terms of revenue when compared to diversified media peers and the company's
lack of transparency over its long-term leverage target.
The stable outlook is based on Moody's belief that Televisa's management
will maintain financial policies appropriate for its current ratings as
it pursues its growth strategy. The stable outlook also reflects
Moody's expectations that Televisa will maintain operating margins and
leverage at around current levels. In 2011, Moody's
expects that, because of the large investments announced recently,
namely Univision in 2010 and Iusacell in 2011, Televisa will refrain
from paying dividends beyond the ordinary amount of MXN0.35 per
share, or approximately USD85 million. Given the recent investments
in Univision and the current Iusacell transaction, the company's
debt capacity has diminished and further investment activities could put
pressure on the ratings.
The group's ratings could experience upward pressure if it increases its
scale and diversification to the point that its credit metrics are less
susceptible to the potential impact of large acquisitions or capex.
Televisa's ratings could come under downward pressure if additional
acquisitions or investments are pursued that may elevate the company's
business or credit risk beyond current levels. In addition,
a ratings downgrade could occur if weak performance of the company's core
TV broadcasting, pay TV systems (DTH and cable) or telecom businesses
leads to credit metrics no longer consistent with the current rating category,
with gross debt to EBITDA sustained over 2.5 times or cash from
operations trending down and sustained below 30% of debt.
In addition, Televisa's ratings suffer downward pressure if cash
on hand falls below USD1 billion.
The last rating action on Televisa's ratings were in October 6th,
2010, when Moody's affirmed the company's ratings upon the
announcement of its planned USD1.2 billion investment in Univision.
The principal methodology used in rating Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
was Large Global Diversified Media Industry rating methodology published
in November 2007. Other methodologies and factors that may have
been considered in the process of rating this issuer can also be found
on Moody's website.
With headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico, Televisa is the
largest diversified media company in the Spanish-speaking world.
Last-twelve-months ("LTM") revenues as of December 2010
amounted to approximately USD3.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin,
as calculated by Moody's, reached 40%. Televisa's
main business is television broadcasting/advertisement, which represented
approximately 38% of revenues and 47% of operating income,
as reported by Televisa, during the LTM. Televisa has interest
in the largest DTH (direct-to-home) satellite service provider
in Mexico as well as in three cable TV companies, which offer video,
broadband and telecommunication services.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Information sources used to prepare the credit rating are the following:
parties involved in the ratings, parties not involved in the ratings,
public information, confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors
Service information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Analytics
information.
Moody's Investors Service considers the quality of information available
on the issuer or obligation satisfactory for the purposes of assigning
a credit rating.
Mexico
Nymia C. Almeida
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's de Mexico S.A. de C.V
JOURNALISTS: 001-888-779-5833
SUBSCRIBERS:52-55-1253-5700
New York
Brian Oak
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's de Mexico S.A. de C.V
Ave. Paseo de las Palmas
No. 405 - 502
Col. Lomas de Chapultepec
Mexico, DF 11000
Mexico
JOURNALISTS: 001-888-779-5833
SUBSCRIBERS:52-55-1253-5700
Moody's affirms Televisa's Baa1/Aaa.mx ratings
No Related Data.
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