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Announcement:

Moody's affirms all Classes of Morgan Stanley Re-REMIC Trust 2010-C30

11 Jul 2012

Approximately $94.5 Million of Structured Securities Affected

New York, July 11, 2012 -- Moody's has affirmed all classes of Certificates issued by Morgan Stanley Re-REMIC Trust 2010-C30 due to the key transaction parameters performing within levels commensurate with the existing ratings levels. The rating action is the result of the recent monitoring actions on the Underlying Certificates and Moody's on-going surveillance of commercial real estate collateralized debt obligation (CRE CDO and Re-Remic) transactions.

Moody's rating action is as follows:

Cl. A3A, Affirmed at Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 3, 2010 Assigned Aaa (sf)

Cl. A3B, Affirmed at Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 3, 2010 Assigned Aaa (sf)

Cl. A3B-1*, Affirmed at Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 3, 2010 Assigned Aaa (sf)

Cl. A3B-2*, Affirmed at Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 3, 2010 Assigned Aaa (sf)

*Exchangeable Certificates

RATINGS RATIONALE

Morgan Stanley Re-REMIC Trust 2010-C30 is a non-pooled Re-REMIC Pass Through Trust backed by $94.5 million, or 27.9% of the aggregate class principal balance of Class A-3 ("Underlying Certificate") issued by Wachovia Bank Commercial Mortgage Trust, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2007-C30.

On June 15, 2012, Moody's affirmed the Underlying Certificate. However, since the ratings of the Certificates are linked to the rating of the Underlying Certificate which in turn are linked to the performance of the underlying commercial mortgage pool's performance, any future rating action on the Underlying Certificate may trigger a review of the ratings of the Certificates.

Within the resecuritization, the weighted average life of the Group I Deposited Underlying Certificates is 1.68 year assuming a 0%/0% CDR/CPR. For delinquent loans (30+ days, REO, foreclosure, bankrupt), Moody's assumes a fixed WARR of 40% while a fixed WARR of 50% for current loans. Moody's also ran a sensitivity analysis on the classes assuming a WARR of 40% for current loans. This did not result in any rating movement to the rated Certificates.

The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the medium term. From time to time, Moody's may, if warranted, change these expectations. Performance that falls outside the given range may indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker than Moody's had anticipated when the related securities ratings were issued. Even so, a deviation from the expected range will not necessarily result in a rating action nor does performance within expectations preclude such actions. The decision to take (or not take) a rating action is dependent on an assessment of a range of factors including, but not exclusively, the performance metrics.

Primary sources of assumption uncertainty are the extent of growth in the current macroeconomic environment and commercial real estate property markets. While commercial real estate property values are beginning to move in a positive direction along with a rise in investment activity and stabilization in core property type performance, a consistent upward trend will not be evident until the volume of investment activity steadily increases, distressed properties are cleared from the pipeline, and job creation rebounds. The hotel sector is performing strongly and the multifamily sector continues to show increases in demand. Moderate improvements in the office sector continue with minimal additions to supply. However, office demand is closely tied to employment, where growth remains slow. Performance in the retail sector has been mixed with lackluster sales driven by discounting and promotions. However, rising wages and reduced unemployment, along with increased consumer confidence, is helping to spur consumer spending. Across all property sectors, the availability of debt capital continues to improve with increased securitization activity of commercial real estate loans supported by a monetary policy of low interest rates. Moody's central global macroeconomic scenario reflects healthier growth in the US and US growth decoupling from the recessionary trend in the euro zone, while a mild recession is expected in 2012. Downside risks remain significant, although they have moderated compared to earlier this year. Major downside risks include an increase in the potential magnitude of the euro area recession, the risk of an oil supply shock weighing negatively on consumer purchasing power and home prices, ongoing and policy-induced banking sector deleveraging leading to a tightening of bank lending standards and credit contraction, financial market turmoil continuing to negatively impact consumer and business confidence, persistently high unemployment levels, and weak housing markets, any or all of which will continue to constrain growth.

The methodological approach used in these ratings is as follows: Moody's applied ratings-specific cash flow scenarios assuming different loss timing, recovery and prepayment assumptions on the underlying pool of mortgages that are the collateral for the underlying CMBS transaction through Structured Finance Workstation® (SFW), the cash flow model developed by Moody's Wall Street Analytics. The analysis incorporates performance variances across the different pools and the structural features of the transaction including priorities of payment distribution among the different tranches, tranche average life, current tranche balance and future cash flows under expected and stressed scenarios. In each scenario, cash flows and losses from the underlying collateral were analyzed applying different stresses at each rating level. The resulting ratings specific stressed cash flows were then input into the structure of the resecuritization to determine expected losses for each class. The expected losses were then compared to the idealized expected loss for each class to gauge the appropriateness of the existing rating. The stressed assumptions considered, among other factors, the underlying transaction's collateral attributes, past and current performance, and Moody's current negative performance outlook for commercial real estate.

The other methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach to Rating Repackaged Securities" published in April 2010. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.

Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.

Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.

Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Jocelyn Delifer
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Michael Gerdes
MD - Structured Finance
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's affirms all Classes of Morgan Stanley Re-REMIC Trust 2010-C30
No Related Data.
© 2019 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

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