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Rating Action:

Moody's affirms ratings of Alleghany Corp. (senior debt at Baa2) and subsidiaries; outlook stable

17 Dec 2013

Affirms IFS ratings of Transatlantic Re and RSUI with stable outlooks.

New York, December 17, 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service has affirmed the Baa2 senior unsecured debt and issuer ratings of Alleghany Corporation (NYSE: Y) as well as the Baa1 senior debt rating of Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. Concurrently, the rating agency has also affirmed its insurance financial strength (IFS) ratings on Transatlantic Reinsurance Company ("TransRe"; IFS at A1), and on RSUI Indemnity Company and Landmark American Insurance Company ("RSUI"; IFS both at A3). The outlooks for the ratings are stable.

According to Alan Murray, lead analyst for Alleghany Corporation, "Since the combination with Transatlantic Holdings in 2012, Alleghany has demonstrated sustained stability in its combined insurance and reinsurance operations, while restoring the holding company's liquidity position, primarily through a high degree of earnings retention and the absence of parent company dividend payments. Furthermore, each of the group's principal subsidiaries operate autonomously, which has minimized integration challenges."

RATINGS RATIONALE

Transatlantic Reinsurance

According to Moody's, TransRe's ratings reflect the company's strong competitive position in the US and international reinsurance markets, its lead or co-lead position on over 50% of its treaties, its well-diversified reinsurance portfolio and its high quality investment portfolio. Partly offsetting these strengths are competitive pressures from other large global reinsurers and the growing presence of alternative reinsurance providers, the company's meaningful catastrophe risk exposure relative to its capitalization and operational leverage, and the firm's meaningful exposure to the risk of future inflation given its high reserve leverage resulting from its long-tail casualty business.

Moody's noted that given the current rating of TransRe, its business and financial profile and the competitive environment in the reinsurance sector, there is limited potential for upward rating movement. However, the following factors could enhance the firm's credit profile: 1) reduced catastrophe risk exposure relative to capitalization; 2) reduction in gross underwriting leverage to levels below 2.5x; and 3) improved business diversification. Conversely, the following factors could lead to a downgrade of TransRe's ratings: 1) consistently weak underwriting results; 2) adverse loss reserve development exceeding 5% of carried reserves; 3) erosion of policyholders' surplus by more than 10% over a one-year period; and 4) significant credit deterioration at Alleghany.

RSUI

Moody's said that the ratings on the RSUI companies reflect their profitable track record and established niche market position in commercial and excess and surplus lines property insurance, as well as their strong asset quality and sound risk-adjusted capitalization. RSUI has maintained statutory combined ratios averaging in the low-80% range over the past five years, which compares favorably with most of its specialty P&C industry peers. The insurer also maintains a balanced underwriting profile of property and casualty risk, with casualty operations focused primarily on management and professional liability, program and excess/umbrella coverages. The ratings also consider the modest debt service requirements at the ultimate holding company that enable RSUI to retain a high percentage of its earnings and the availability of some holding company assets to support internal growth. These strengths are tempered by RSUI's somewhat above-average underwriting risk profile as a specialty insurer in the excess-and-surplus lines and as reflected in its significant underwriting exposures to natural and man-made catastrophes, and to a lesser degree by reliance on reinsurance markets to support its underwriting capacity.

With respect to RSUI Indemnity and Landmark American, factors that could lead to an upgrade include the following: 1) further reduction in gross and net catastrophe exposures, with reduced reliance on catastrophe reinsurance (as measured by modeled losses relative to statutory surplus); 2) consolidated returns on capital at or above 10% over the cycle at RSUI; 3) significantly increased scale and spread of risk. Conversely, factors that could lead to a downgrade include the following: 1) persistent underwriting losses (e.g., combined ratios in excess of 100%); 2) erosion of statutory surplus by more than 10% over a twelve-month period; 3) significantly increased catastrophe risk relative to capital.

Alleghany Corporation

According to Moody's, the affirmation of Alleghany Corporation's debt and issuer ratings primarily reflects the underlying insurance financial strength of TransRe and RSUI, its principal operating subsidiaries, as well as the parent company's manageable financial leverage and good internal liquidity. Alleghany Corporation manages approximately $750 million in other controlling and non-controlling investments at September 30, 2013. The Baa2 ratings also reflect the structural subordination of Alleghany Corporation's creditors to those of Transatlantic Holdings, whose senior debt is rated Baa1 consistent with the application of Moody's standard three-notch spread between the A1 IFS rating of TransRe.

With respect to Alleghany's Corporation's Baa2 senior debt and issuer ratings, factors that could lead to an upgrade on the debt of Alleghany Corporation include the following: 1) rating upgrade of TransRe and/or RSUI; 2) sustained consolidated financial leverage below 20%; and 3) earnings coverage of interest consistently above 8x times. Conversely, factors that could lead to a downgrade include the following: 1) rating downgrade of TransRe and/or RSUI; 2) erosion of equity capital by more than 10% over a twelve-month period; 3) sustained consolidated financial leverage above 30%; 4) earnings coverage of interest below 4x times, and/or cash coverage below 3x.

The following insurance ratings have been affirmed with stable outlooks:

Alleghany Corporation -- senior unsecured debt at Baa2; long-term issuer rating at Baa2;

Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. -- senior unsecured debt at Baa1;

Transatlantic Reinsurance Company -- insurance financial strength at A1;

Landmark American Insurance Company -- insurance financial strength rating at A3;

RSUI Indemnity Company -- insurance financial strength rating at A3.

Alleghany Corporation (NYSE: Y) is a holding company that focuses primarily on domestic and international property & casualty reinsurance (through Transatlantic Reinsurance Company) and specialty insurance (primarily through its RSUI Indemnity and Landmark American subsidiaries and to a considerably lesser degree through Capitol Transamerica Corporation and Pacific Compensation Insurance Company, which together comprise the Alleghany Insurance Holdings operations). For the first nine months of 2013, Alleghany Corporation reported revenues from continuing operations of $3.2 billion and net income of $423 million. Shareholders' equity as of September 30, 2013 was $6.7 billion.

The methodologies used in this ratings were Moody's Global Rating Methodology for Property and Casualty Insurers published in May 2010, and Moody's Global Rating Methodology for Reinsurers published in December 2011. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Alan Murray
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Robert Riegel
MD - Insurance
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's affirms ratings of Alleghany Corp. (senior debt at Baa2) and subsidiaries; outlook stable
No Related Data.
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