New York, January 29, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned Aa1 ratings to the University System of Maryland, MD's (USMD) proposed $230 million Auxiliary Facility and Tuition Revenue Bonds, 2021 Series A and Refunding Series A (Tax-Exempt) and $108 million 2021 Refunding Series B (Taxable). Both issues are fixed rate and mature in 2051 and 2034, respectively. Concurrently we have affirmed the Aa1 ratings on approximately $1.1 billion of outstanding parity rated debt. The outlook is stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The assignment and affirmation of the Aa1 rating reflects University System of Maryland's statewide presence as the largest provider of four-year public higher education diversified among 11 institutions, with solid operating and capital support from the State of Maryland (Aaa stable). Excellent strategic positioning incorporates the system's substantial $5.2 billion scope of operations and diversity of revenue, including a large research enterprise, with disciplined fiscal oversight leading to sound cash flow and manageable leverage. The system's multiple institutions are facing various degrees of business disruptions caused by the coronavirus pandemic, which is a social risk under Moody's ESG framework due to implications for public health and safety. To date, the overall credit impact has been manageable given the system's expense oversight and elevated collaboration among institutions, in addition to federal revenue and relief funds. Ongoing challenges stem from state-imposed tuition affordability priorities and modest fundraising leading to comparatively moderate financial reserves, as well as a competitive student market and federal research funding environment. The state's large unfunded pension liability adds longer term expense pressure.
RATING OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects our expectation that the system will manage through near term operating performance disruptions maintaining positive operations, with continued state operating and capital support, modest growth in financial resources and manageable plans for future borrowing under the stewardship of a strong management team.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OF THE RATINGS
-Substantial growth in spendable cash and investments to provide stronger support of the very large expense base
-Ongoing notable strengthening of brand evidenced by even stronger student demand, research growth and sustained heightened philanthropy
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO A DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
-Significant deterioration in operating performance and reserves relative to peers
-Substantial reductions in state financial support for operations or capital
-Changes in capital funding strategy, with increasing financial leverage
LEGAL SECURITY
The Auxiliary Facility and Tuition Revenue Bonds are payable from a broad pledge of tuition revenues and certain auxiliary facility fees, with total pledged revenues of $1.8 billion in fiscal 2020. The pledged revenues provide a very strong 12.0x coverage of maximum annual debt service (roughly $139 million), which well exceeds the rate covenant and additional bonds test of 2.0x, respectively.
USE OF PROCEEDS
Proceeds of the 2021 Series A&B bonds will be used to fund approximately $240 million of approved capital projects among system institutions; refund all or portions of the Series 2009D, 2010C, 2011A, 2011B, 2012C and 2014A bonds; and pay costs of issuance.
PROFILE
The University System of Maryland comprises 11 of the 13 four-year degree-granting public higher education institutions in Maryland. In fiscal 2020, the system recorded $5.4 billion in operating revenue and in fall 2020 served an enrollment of 123,956 full-time equivalent (FTE) students.
METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Higher Education published in May 2019 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBM_1175020. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
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Mary Cooney
Lead Analyst
Higher Education
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
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JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
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Dennis Gephardt
Additional Contact
Higher Education
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
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