New York, September 17, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned a Aa2 issuer rating to the University of Georgia (UGA). Concurrently we have downgraded the rating on outstanding lease revenue bonds at the UGA Real Estate Foundation issued on behalf of the University of Georgia to Aa3 from Aa2 under review for possible downgrade. This action concludes the review for downgrade initiated on August 4, 2021 in conjunction with the release of the Higher Education Methodology. The outlook has been revised to stable from rating under review. The University of Georgia and its affiliates had approximately $340 million of total debt at fiscal year end 2020.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The assignment of the Aa2 issuer rating incorporates the University of Georgia's excellent brand as Georgia's flagship public university with strong student demand and broad geographic appeal. The comprehensive university has substantial scale generating operating revenue of $1.7 billion in fiscal 2020, and benefits from the revenue diversity from its sponsored research and land grant activities. The rating also acknowledges the university's low financial leverage with fiscal 2020 total debt of $375 million for the university and its component units at 0.2x operating revenue. Sound operating and capital facility investment discipline supports the university's excellent financial strategy. Other strengths include healthy state funding from the Aaa-rated State of Georgia and close alignment with strategic priorities of the Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia, which governs the university. Indirect state support in the form of merit financial aid also aids the university's enrollment management and affordability for resident undergraduate students and contribute to the university's excellent operating environment. Prospects for ongoing wealth gains aided by fundraising also support credit quality.
These strengths are tempered by very limited unrestricted liquidity compared to peers, and growing retirement benefit exposure. The university's reliance on cooperative organizations to fulfill common treasury management tasks such as issuing auxiliary facility revenue bonds and managing liquidity underscores how state limits on carryforward funds and the highly conscribed ability to enter into multi-year commitments under the state constitution complicate its institutional financing structure.
The downgrade of the UGA Real Estate Foundation lease revenue bonds to Aa3 from Aa2 incorporates the university's Aa2 issuer rating and the contingent nature of the obligation with the rental agreement security subject to annual renewal and abatement. Favorably, the Public Private Venture bond program benefits from sound treasury management at the system and university levels and the various financed projects at the University of Georgia benefit from strong essentiality and fundamental demand.
RATING OUTLOOK
The stable outlook incorporates Moody's expectations of continued strong student demand, maintenance of sound operating performance and stable state support for operations and capital.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OF THE RATINGS
- Material growth of total cash and investments per student
- Substantial increase in unrestricted liquidity relative to operating expenses
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO A DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
- Significant deterioration in operating performance especially if combined with a reduction in unrestricted liquidity
- Material increase in financial leverage
- Marked decline in state support
- Any indication from the Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia of a lack of willingness to renew rental agreements supporting lease revenue or modification of leases in a way that impairs bondholder security
LEGAL SECURITY
All of the university's outstanding Public Private Venture (PPV) capital lease obligations are secured by rental revenue paid by the Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia under the terms of annually renewable rental agreements. Those bonds for UGA have been issued through the UGA Real Estate Foundation. The Board of Regents' obligation to make rental payments is an unsecured general obligation of the board, payable from all unrestricted revenue sources. The lease revenue bonds are subject to annual renewal made at the university level as well as abatement risk.
In addition to assessing the relative essentiality of each financed project to the system, Moody's considers the system's reliance on the PPV program. It currently has $2.9 billion of outstanding PPV-related lease revenue bonds that predominantly support student life facilities. While the system has no legal obligation to renew any rental agreement, it has clear strategic interests in stewarding the PPV program. Our ratings incorporate the assumption that the system will take extraordinary steps to renew rental agreements, including agreements for projects whose fundamental business conditions may be weak and require additional support.
PROFILE
The University of Georgia is the flagship and land and sea grant public university located in Athens, Georgia. The university had operating revenue of $1.7 billion in fiscal 2020 and enrollment of approximately 37,000 full-time equivalent students in fall 2020. UGA is a component of the University System, an organizational unit of the State of Georgia. The system includes 26 public colleges and universities and is the dominant provider of higher education in the state.
The UGA Real Estate Foundation (UGAREF) was chartered in 1999. It manages and develops real estate assets on behalf of UGA. UGAREF operates under a cooperative organization agreement with the Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia. UGAREF is the sole member of several special purpose limited liability companies created to aid the university in financing various capital assets on the UGA campus.
METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Higher Education Methodology published in August 2021 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBM_1257002. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
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