London, 26 June 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has today assigned a global-scale
foreign and local-currency issuer rating of Baa2 to the county
(powiat) of Zywiec (Starostwo Powiatowe w Zywcu) in Poland. The
outlook on the rating is stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
"The County of Zywiec's Baa2 issuer rating is underpinned
by its adequate operating performance, as reflected in a gross operating
balance (GOB) of approximately 10% of operating revenue in 2011,
and its manageable debt burden, which remains well within the national
borrowing limits," says Gjorgji Josifov, a Moody's
Assistant Vice President and lead analyst for Zywiec.
An improvement in Zywiec's operating performance over the last two
years was attributable to increasing levels of own-source revenue
and inter-governmental transfers, coupled with slower growth
in operating expenditure. Moody's expects further improvements
in Zywiec's GOB to 12% of operating revenue in the next two
years based on favourable revenue growth and a track record of controlling
expenditure growth.
Moody's notes that Zywiec's presently moderate debt has been
stable at around 49% of operating revenue over the last three years
and is expected to fall to levels of approximately 40% in the next
few years. Debt service, at 7.5% of total revenue
in 2011, should decrease to a manageable 5%-6%
of total revenue as a result.
The rating is constrained by Zywiec's modest financing deficits
recorded over the last four years, low liquidity levels and its
significant infrastructure requirements. However, Moody's
believes that Zywiec's administration will be able to match funding
available from both the national government and the EU with its own capital
expenditure in order to strictly limit further deficits going forward.
Zywiec has historically displayed very low liquidity levels that are dependent
on state transfers. A prudent budgetary approach should help the
county to preserve its current liquidity levels at a low 4.3%
of operating revenues in 2011.
WHAT COULD MOVE THE RATINGS UP/DOWN
Any significant improvement in Zywiec's operating and budgetary performance,
an enhancement in the county's liquidity position and a sustained
decrease in direct debt could exert upward pressure on the rating.
A positive rating action would also require fundamental changes in the
current financial framework, granting counties substantial revenue-raising
capacity along with more flexible operating expenditure.
Any downward movement in the sovereign rating could exert downwards pressure
on Zywiec's rating due to its close linkages with the central government.
Sustained deterioration in the county's operating and financial
performance and an increase in debt levels could also adversely influence
the rating.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The methodologies used in this rating were The Application of Joint-Default
Analysis to Regional and Local Governments published in December 2008,
and Regional and Local Governments Outside the US published in May 2008.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of these methodologies.
With 150,000 inhabitants, situated in south-western
Poland, in the Silesian region, Zywiec is medium-sized
among Poland's 373 counties. As one of the region's economic
hubs, Zywiec benefits from a diversified economy, a skilled
workforce and good location in an economically thriving region in the
vicinity of the Czech and Slovak borders. Zywiec is headquarters
for a number of important enterprises in the region. Because of
its location, climate and natural conditions, the county is
also a very attractive tourist destination, helping to attract a
high proportion of foreign direct investment.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
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Gjorgji Josifov
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Sub-Sovereign Group
Moody's Investors Service Limited Czech Branch
Washingtonova 17
110 00 Praha 1 (Prague 1)
Prague,
Czech Republic
Telephone: +420-22-422-2929
David Rubinoff
MD - Sub-Sovereigns
Sub-Sovereign Group
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Moody's assigns Baa2 issuer rating to Zywiec County; outlook stable