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Rating Action:

Moody's assigns an A3 insurance financial strength rating to APICIL Prevoyance. Outlook stable.

02 Jan 2019

Paris, January 02, 2019 -- Moody's Investors Service has today assigned an A3 insurance financial strength rating (IFSR) to APICIL Prevoyance, with a stable outlook. APICIL Prevoyance is a French provident association ("institution de prevoyance") specializing in group health and protection insurance. It also acts as the holding company for several life insurance subsidiaries and it is the largest operating entity of the APICIL group (« APICIL Group ») which also includes health mutuals and another provident association.

The rating of APICIL Prevoyance reflects the combined financial strength of APICIL Group. Although APICIL Prevoyance has no capital link with APICIL Group's health mutuals and other provident association, all group's entities are joined together through financial solidarity links.

RATINGS RATIONALE

The A3 IFSR reflects APICIL Group's well-established market position in the French health and protection market, its diversified and moderate product risk profile as well as its good capitalisation. These strengths are partly offset by a relatively low profitability, also constraining the group's financial flexibility, and a high level of competition prevailing in the French health and protection industry, which has led to recent consolidation in the sector.

APICIL Group is amongst the top 20 largest French life insurance groups with a market share of around 1% as at year-end 2017. Moody's notes positively that APICIL Group has been growing its market share in recent years. Growth was in part supported by acquisitions but APICIL Group has also a well-established position in the health and protection markets which supported organic growth at a more rapid pace than the market in those segments in recent years. Nonetheless APICIL Group faces growing competition from a wide range of players, namely traditional insurers, health mutuals and other provident associations, and the industry is currently going through a period of consolidation which could threaten APICIL Group's relative market share over time.

Commenting on the group's business profile, Moody's mentions that growing diversification and a moderate product risk are APICIL Group's key credit strengths. The group mostly operates in three segments: health (44% of the group's 2017 premiums), protection (14%) and savings (42%). APICIL Group recently acquired several entities mostly operating in the savings business which diversifies well with APICIL Group's historically predominant lines of business (health and protection). In addition, APICIL Group's savings business (representing the bulk of the group's reserves as at year-end 2017) is relatively low risk thanks to a strong focus on unit-linked products (36% of the group's reserves) and a relatively low average guaranteed rate on guaranteed products. According to Moody's, the health business linked to the reimbursement of medical costs is also low risk as it is short-tail, while the protection business, mostly occupational disability where claims develop over several years, is more risky.

Moody's adds that diversification in the savings business has benefitted the group's overall profitability and has supported the group's performance. Conversely combined ratios in the health and protection segments have been higher than 100% since 2015. In addition, competition is increasing in health and protection, which should limit the profitability of this business. Commenting further on profitability, Moody's expects APICIL Group's results to deteriorate significantly in the protection segment in 2018, as the industry has been facing a material increase in claims frequency and severity in occupational disability. More positively, Moody's acknowledges that APICIL Group is implementing price increases to restore profitability as early as 2019, demonstrating the group's commitment to target technical profits, without any significant negative impact on the group's market share. Moody's expects APICIL Group to generate a level of return on capital of around 3% or more in the long-run.

APICIL Group's credit profile is also supported by a good capitalisation, as evidenced by a group's Solvency II ratio of 181% excluding transitional measures at year-end 2017. The ratio will decrease, in part as a result of the acquisition of OneLife, announced in August 2018 and that APICIL Group expects to complete in 2019, but Moody's expects APICIL Group to maintain a solvency ratio higher than 150% excluding transitional measures going forward.

APICIL Group has issued €150 million of subordinated debt in November 2015 and the group's adjusted financial leverage ratio is currently low (13.5% at year-end 2017). Nonetheless, Moody's considers APICIL Group's financial flexibility to be somewhat restricted by its low profitability level which constrains the group's earnings coverage ratio in case of additional debt issuance.

WHAT COULD CHANGE THE RATING UP / DOWN

APICIL Prevoyance's rating could be downgraded in case of (1) a material deterioration in the group's market share, or (2) a deterioration in its asset quality, or (3) an increase in the volatility of its results and a consolidated return on capital sustainably below 3%, or (4) a group's Solvency II ratio sustainably below 150% excluding transitional measures, or (5) a decrease in the group's earnings coverage ratio consistently below 3x.

Conversely, positive pressure could be exerted on the rating in case of (1) a significant increase in market share, and (2) an improved profitability as evidenced by a return on capital consistently above 5%, and (3) a Solvency II ratio consistently above 175% excluding transitional measures.

APICIL Group reported gross premiums written of €2.4 billion in 2017 and had total assets of €14.2 billion at year-end 2017.

PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY

The principal methodology used in this rating was Life Insurers published in May 2018. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Benjamin Serra
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's France SAS
96 Boulevard Haussmann
Paris 75008
France
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

Antonello Aquino
Associate Managing Director
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

Releasing Office:
Moody's France SAS
96 Boulevard Haussmann
Paris 75008
France
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454

No Related Data.
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