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Rating Action:

Moody's changes Chugoku Electric's ratings outlook to negative, affirms A3 ratings

 The document has been translated in other languages

17 Oct 2018

Tokyo, October 17, 2018 -- Moody's Japan K.K. has changed Chugoku Electric Power Company, Incorporated's rating outlook to negative from stable, and affirmed the company's A3 issuer and senior secured bond ratings.

RATINGS RATIONALE

"We expect Chugoku Electric's financial metrics will prove weak over the coming 12-18 months," says Mariko Semetko, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer.

As the Japanese utilities industry deregulates, Moody's will increasingly place a higher importance on financial metrics to offset the decline in regulatory protections.

"Chugoku Electric's financial metrics are some of the weakest among the Japanese utilities we rate," adds Semetko. "We do not expect meaningful improvements in the company's credit profile, and anticipate that leverage will remain very high, leaving little cushion for its ratings level."

Moody's says that the company will likely remain highly reliant on debt, and the need to continue to invest in nuclear safety assessments will keep its leverage high and hinder deleveraging.

Chugoku Electric has not received preliminary approvals to restart its Shimane 2 nuclear reactor. Recent restarts of other utilities took about a year after obtaining preliminary approvals. Without a nuclear restart, Moody's expects that the company will have difficulty lowering its tariffs; making customer retention more difficult in the face of deregulation.

The A3 rating reflects the regulatory framework that is supportive of the industry — although increasingly less so — and the company's prominent position in Japan's Chugoku region. The rating also takes into consideration the risks related to nuclear power generation, including delays in restarting its reactors, capital needs for nuclear safety assessments, legal risk, and the ongoing deregulation of the industry.

The negative ratings outlook reflects Moody's expectations that material deleveraging will be difficult without a nuclear restart, especially if unforeseen capital needs arise. Moreover, the company's thin profitability leaves little cushion to protect against unexpected cost increases.

The ratings outlook could return to stable if the company restarts its nuclear power plant, and demonstrates the ability to keep cash flow from operations (CFO) pre-working capital less dividends/debt above 7.0%. Over time, Moody's will likely raise Chugoku Electric's financial metric hurdles as the market deregulates, and upward rating actions will require further material deleveraging.

Downgrade ratings pressure will intensify, if the company does not show a clear path towards deleveraging. Moody's would consider downgrading Chugoku Electric's ratings if the company suffers any adverse changes in the regulatory environment and/or support from financial institutions, or if competition strengthens appreciably. Downgrade pressure will also build if Moody's expects that CFO pre-working capital less dividends/debt will be sustained below 7.0%.

The principal methodology used in these ratings was Regulated Electric and Gas Utilities (Japanese) published in July 2017. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Headquartered in Hiroshima, Chugoku Electric Power Company, Incorporated is one of the 10 major electric utilities in Japan.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Moody's Japan K.K. is a credit rating agency registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and its registration number is FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2. The Financial Services Agency has not imposed any supervisory measures on Moody's Japan K.K. in the past year.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Mariko Semetko
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Japan K.K.
Atago Green Hills Mori Tower 20fl
2-5-1 Atago, Minato-ku
Tokyo 105-6220
Japan
JOURNALISTS: 81 3 5408 4110
Client Service: 81 3 5408 4100

Mihoko Manabe
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 81 3 5408 4110
Client Service: 81 3 5408 4100

Releasing Office:
Moody's Japan K.K.
Atago Green Hills Mori Tower 20fl
2-5-1 Atago, Minato-ku
Tokyo 105-6220
Japan
JOURNALISTS: 81 3 5408 4110
Client Service: 81 3 5408 4100

No Related Data.
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