New York, June 04, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") today
affirmed Gap, Inc. (The) ("Gap") corporate family rating
(CFR) at Ba2, its probability of default rating at Ba2-PD,
and its senior secured rating at Ba2. At the same time, Gap's
speculative grade liquidity rating was upgraded to SGL-1 from SGL-2.
The outlook was changed to stable from negative.
"The change in outlook to stable reflects Gap's significant improvement
in its operations as it recovers from the impact of the pandemic.
A better sales trajectory has been experienced in 2021 at all its major
brands with positive comparable sales at Old Navy and Athleta relative
to 2019" said Senior Vice President, Christina Boni. "The
upgrade of its speculative grade liquidity rating to SGL-1 from
SGL-2 reflects its significant cash generation which was supported
by solid inventory and cost management. The company had $2.5
billion of cash and short term investments at the end of the first quarter
of 2021 and no revolver borrowings" Boni added.
Affirmations:
..Issuer: Gap, Inc. (The)
.... Corporate Family Rating, Affirmed
Ba2
.... Probability of Default Rating,
Affirmed Ba2-PD
....Senior Secured Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Ba2 (LGD3)
Upgrades:
..Issuer: Gap, Inc. (The)
.... Speculative Grade Liquidity Rating,
Upgraded to SGL-1 from SGL-2
Outlook Actions:
..Issuer: Gap, Inc. (The)
....Outlook, Changed To Stable From
Negative
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Gap, Inc.'s Ba2 corporate family rating is supported
by its solid market position in the specialty apparel market with its
ownership of leading specialty apparel brands (Old Navy, Gap,
Banana Republic, and Athleta). The relatively shorter term
of its store leases (approximately five years) has enabled the right sizing
of its mature brands (Gap and Banana Republic) while continuing to add
stores to its higher growth concepts (Old Navy and Athleta). Investments
in its online and mobile business have also strengthened its operational
profile and improved customer experience. The company has managed
the disruption posed by COVID-19 pandemic effectively returning
most of its major brands to growth relative to 2019 (with the exception
of Banana Republic). Continued integration of its online and store
experiences also supports its efforts to increase customer conversion.
Gap's Ba2 CFR also reflects governance considerations which includes the
suspension of its common dividends as well as share repurchases at the
onset of the pandemic and its historically conservative level of funded
debt to cash balances. The company has reinstated a common dividend
at approximately 50% of its historical level (approximately $180
million annually) and has announced a return to modest share repurchases.
The company has very good liquidity evidenced by its free cash flow generation
of over $1.0 billion LTM May 1, 2021 and its cash
balance and short term investments of roughly $2.5 billion
at May 1, 2021 relative to its $2.2 billion of reported
debt.
The company enhanced its liquidity in May 2020 by securing a $1.9
billion asset based revolving credit facility and utilizing a significant
portion of its unencumbered real estate assets and intellectual property
to secure its $2.25 billion of senior secured notes.
Despite the higher funded debt levels, we expect leverage to return
to approximately 2.7x in 2021 as the business continues to recover.
The stable outlook reflects Gap's success at resetting its cost base while
stabilizing its operating performance and maintaining very good liquidity.
The outlook also reflects that Gap will maintain a conservative financial
strategy.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
An upgrade would require consistency of performance at all its major brands,
continued margin expansion and very good liquidity, as well as a
conservative financial policy. Quantitatively, debt/EBITDA
would need to be sustained below 3.5x and EBIT/Interest above 3.5x.
Ratings could be downgraded should operational performance weaken and
not be poised to return to 2019 levels or liquidity deteriorates for any
reason. Ratings could also be downgraded if debt/EBITDA is sustained
above 4.0 or EBIT/Interest is sustained below 2.5x.
The Gap, Inc. is a leading global retailer offering clothing,
and accessories for men, women, and children under the Gap,
Banana Republic, Old Navy, and Athleta. LTM net sales
were approximately $15.7 billion. The Gap,
Inc. products are available for purchase in more than 90 countries
worldwide through 2,997 company-operated stores, 574
franchise stores, and e-commerce sites.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Retail Industry published
in May 2018 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1120379.
Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's
Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of
debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures
in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the
same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant
to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing
ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings
issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain
regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the
support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action
for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's
credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement
provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional
rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may
be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each
case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior
to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have
affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings
tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
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if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
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These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy
for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on
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Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social
and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1263068.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was
issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed
by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt
am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was
issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed
by Moody's Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square,
Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit
rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement
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available on www.moodys.com.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Christina Boni
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Margaret Taylor
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653